How far will jjgold get in the 128 Man Handicapping Tournament?

yisman · 08-30-09, 02:14 AM

jjgold is not the favorite.

I am confident that he will not make the final four.

fearless · 08-30-09, 02:46 AM

Originally posted by yisman

jjgold is not the favorite.

I am confident that he will not make the final four.

That's no way to talk about the poster of the year. He's the favorite until someone knocks him off, just ask Nicky Santoro. I hope he chimes in on this topic.

fearless · 08-30-09, 05:18 AM

Odds are posted above.

jjgold · 08-30-09, 06:26 AM

I have been doing well in contests

check my page

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fearless · 08-30-09, 06:29 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

I have been doing well in contests

check my page

http://www.sbrpicks.com/trackpicks/jjgold/

You can bet on yourself.

Fishhead · 08-30-09, 06:30 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

I have been doing well in contests

check my page

http://www.sbrpicks.com/trackpicks/jjgold/

Great job Gold!!!

I'm contending in the NFLX $500 contest that pays the top five places............in 4th place with two games remaining.

jjgold · 08-30-09, 06:32 AM

Fishhead your a professional player

Fearless I do not bet with other posters

I use sbrpicks only to bet

LVHerbie · 08-30-09, 06:49 AM

I'm assuming there is no action if he doesn't play and you will pay out on a payment plan if you get hammered?

I'll take no on "jjgold eliminated in the round of 128" at -110 for the max (22 to win 20) ...

fearless · 08-30-09, 06:55 AM

Originally posted by LVHerbie

I'm assuming there is no action if he doesn't play and you will pay out on a payment plan if you get hammered?

I'll take no on "jjgold eliminated in the round of 128" at -110 for the max (22 to win 20) ...

Right and right.

That bet is actually 20 to win 18. You can bet up to 20 SBR points on this (one bet per poster).

LVHerbie · 08-30-09, 07:02 AM

you also might want to adjust your no odds further up before non-suckers like me get ahold of them... Coach is clearly the favorite but I'm pretty sure there is some slight value betting no to win in a 128 man field at -1000... Might want to add some zeros on some of those...

fearless · 08-30-09, 07:09 AM

Originally posted by LVHerbie

you also might want to adjust your no odds further up before non-suckers like me get ahold of them... Coach is clearly the favorite but I'm pretty sure there is some slight value betting no to win in a 128 man field at -1000... Might want to add some zeros on some of those...

I'm not too worried with a limit of 20 SBR points per bet. A bet at -700 to -1000 pays 2 to 3 points, I don't think many people will be interested. If I get hammered the odds will change fast.

LVHerbie · 08-30-09, 07:09 AM

Originally posted by fearless

Right and right.

That bet is actually 20 to win 18. You can bet up to 20 SBR points on this (one bet per poster).

20 to win 18 will work... lock of the year..

fearless · 08-30-09, 07:23 AM

Originally posted by LVHerbie

20 to win 18 will work... lock of the year..

yisman doesn't think so. I bet he'd make a big SBR points bet with you on that.

fearless · 08-30-09, 07:36 AM

Originally posted by LVHerbie

20 to win 18 will work... lock of the year..

I can see this is the feeling of the majority (including me) so the odds have changed:

jjgold eliminated in the round of 128

No -150
Yes +130

All bets are final of course.

Mudcat · 08-30-09, 09:18 AM

SBR employees are not usually allowed in contests (except as a side-thing in Beat The Prick where they aren't interfering with the customers). Are all the SBR people in this 128 man thing? I really don't know.

I would guess jj will come up with some zany reason to pull out. Having jj in the contest would be like a restaurant having a contest and giving the prizes to their waitresses. Not generally SBR's style.

yisman · 08-30-09, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by fearless

I'm booking action on jjgold's performance. You can bet up to 20 SBR points on this (one bet per poster). I obviously don't have tons of SBR points but I expect to get approximately even action so I'll be gaining points from posters who lose their bets and giving those points to those who win their bets. These odds are a total shot in the dark as we don't know the rules or opponents yet but it'll be fun to try being a bookie for the first time. All bets are final. If you edit the post that contains your bet, your bet will become an automatic loser. These odds are subject to change at any time (I'm trying to guess what kind of action I'll get, these are not what I believe to be the true odds). Rules for rounding payouts: 14.50 to 14.999... = 15, 14.4999... to 14.0 = 14, etc.

How far will jjgold get in the 128 Man Handicapping Tournament?

jjgold wins tournament

No -1000
Yes +700

jjgold eliminated in the final

No -900
Yes +600

jjgold eliminated in the final four

No -800
Yes +500

jjgold eliminated in the elite eight

No -700
Yes +400

jjgold eliminated in the sweet sixteen

No -500
yes +300

jjgold eliminated in the round of 32

No -240
Yes +200

jjgold eliminated in the round of 64

No -200
Yes +170

jjgold eliminated in the round of 128

No -150
Yes +130

Can I bet to win 20 points?

And I want to bet he doesn't advance to a certain point. Any lines on that? These one round bets are jacked.

jjgold · 08-30-09, 10:33 AM

I have entered many contests lately and doing well.

paco · 08-30-09, 10:43 AM

JJ is Pro. Has been doing good as of late. He is like the Yankees 2nd half of the season

fearless · 08-30-09, 09:39 PM

Originally posted by yisman

Can I bet to win 20 points?

And I want to bet he doesn't advance to a certain point. Any lines on that? These one round bets are jacked.

You can bet up to 20 points. Maybe you don't understand these lines. For example, if you bet on this:

jjgold eliminated in the round of 32

No -240
Yes +200

If you choose "No" that means that if he's eliminated in any round except the round of 32 then you win. So, if you want to bet he doesn't advance to the sweet 16 for example, then you'd bet No on the sweet 16 line:

jjgold eliminated in the sweet sixteen

No -500
yes +300

If you bet No on that, it means you think he'll be eliminated before the sweet 16 or after the sweet 16 but he won't be eliminated exactly in the sweet 16.

Make sense?

SamsNCharge99 · 08-30-09, 09:41 PM

JJ Gold wins tourney..

NO -1000 for the max..let me know how much

fearless · 08-30-09, 09:45 PM

Originally posted by SamsNCharge99

JJ Gold wins tourney..

NO -1000 for the max..let me know how much

You're betting 20 points to win 2.

UntilTheNDofTimE · 08-30-09, 09:47 PM

jjgold eliminated in the round of 128

No -150
Yes +130

Yes for 30 points

SamsNCharge99 · 08-30-09, 09:53 PM

Originally posted by fearless

You're betting 20 points to win 2. Sucker.

ohh, max is 20, i thought it was to win 20....in that case....OK I'll keep it anyway

cheap 2 points...lol

fearless · 08-30-09, 10:12 PM

Originally posted by UntilTheNDofTimE

jjgold eliminated in the round of 128

No -150
Yes +130

Yes for 30 points

That's 20 to win 26. You can bet up to 20 SBR points on this (one bet per poster). You just changed the line, btw, now it's

jjgold eliminated in the round of 128

No -130
Yes +100

UntilTheNDofTimE · 08-30-09, 10:15 PM

Originally posted by fearless

That's 20 to win 26.

deal

yisman · 08-30-09, 10:23 PM

I will not bet on these bogus lines. How am I supposed to know exactly which round he'll be eliminated in? And the no does not pay out anything worthwhile.

I will instead offer to bet anyone that jjgold does not make the Sweet 16.

I am taking no.

I am offering yes at +300.

Any amount of points that you'd like to bet.

fearless said jjgold is the clear favorite, so it should be a given that he'll reach the Sweet 16. Clear favorites don't bow out early.

fearless · 08-30-09, 10:30 PM

Originally posted by yisman

I will not bet on these bogus lines. How am I supposed to know exactly which round he'll be eliminated in? And the no does not pay out anything worthwhile.

I will instead offer to bet anyone that jjgold does not make the Sweet 16.

I am taking no.

I am offering yes at +300.

Any amount of points that you'd like to bet.

If you want to make that bet, you can make it here, take No on this line:

jjgold eliminated in the sweet sixteen

No -700
yes +600

Taking No on that line means that you're saying jjgold won't reach the sweet 16 (you also have the added insurance that just in case he makes it to the sweet 16, if he wins that round you'll also win the bet).

yisman · 08-30-09, 10:35 PM

but since you won't allow betting of any real amount of points, it's a worthless bet for me.

I can bet to win 2 points.

Not interested.

fearless · 08-30-09, 10:37 PM

Originally posted by yisman

but since you won't allow betting of any real amount of points, it's a worthless bet for me.

I can bet to win 2 points.

Not interested.

I'll change the rules then. If I change the rules so you can bet to win 20 points on a dog and you can bet up to 20 points on a favorite (up to the sweet 16 only). Would you want to do it then?

yisman · 08-30-09, 10:42 PM

the odds are pretty slanted, but I guess I'll take it.

Betting to win 20 points that jjgold is not eliminated in the Sweet 16.

I guess I would owe you 140 points if he was.

If I change the rules so you can bet to win 20 points on a dog and you can bet up to 20 points on a favorite

Pretty sure you mean the other way around.

To win 20 on a favorite and risk 20 on a dog.

Counting all my wins today, I still have about 225 more to risk with anyone who wants to wager with me on the outcome of this contest.

fearless · 08-30-09, 10:44 PM

Originally posted by yisman

the odds are pretty slanted, but I guess I'll take it.

Betting to win 20 points that jjgold is not eliminated in the Sweet 16.

I guess I would owe you 140 points if he was.

Ok good deal. I'll change the rules now.

fearless · 08-30-09, 10:45 PM

Originally posted by yisman

To win 20 on a favorite and risk 20 on a dog.

I think I said that. I'll make it very clear now in the original post.

yisman · 08-30-09, 10:51 PM

Originally posted by fearless

I'll change the rules then. If I change the rules so you can bet to win 20 points on a dog and you can bet up to 20 points on a favorite (up to the sweet 16 only). Would you want to do it then?

Originally posted by fearless

I think I said that. I'll make it very clear now in the original post.

You said it the other way around.

fearless · 08-30-09, 10:54 PM

Originally posted by yisman

You said it the other way around.

At least you understood me. lol

I think you made a good bet. Remember, if he gets past the sweet 16 you still win.