NFL Wild Card Picks and Write-Ups

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  • thomorino
    Restricted User
    • 06-01-17
    • 45842

    #1
    NFL Wild Card Picks and Write-Ups
    I keep my playoff record seperate every year in every sports thread. All bets are still to win 5 units unless otherwise stated. I have regular season and playoff futures pending and they will be graded in my regular season or playoff thread depending on what kind of bets they were.

    Bills -3.5 -115 - The Patriots peaked midseason, the Bills are peaking now. The Patriots only beat the Bills in Buffalo because of the 50 mile winds that made it almost impossible to throw. Teams have figured out how to defend Mac Jones and the Patriots defense has been inconsistent the second half of the year. The Patriots cleaned up against weaker teams all year but couldn't beat any of the top teams with the exception of the weather game against Buffalo I just mentioned. Allen plays at a different level in big games because he will run more since he's more willing to risk injury in big games at the end of the year.

    Bengals-Raiders over 49.5 - The Raiders defense had some decent games early in the year, and the defensive line is solid but the Raiders defense is bad, the Bengal should move the ball easier. Waller is back for the Raiders and they have adjusted to Ruggs being out. The Bengals defense has been inconsistent, giving up 41 to the Chargers and 30 to an inconsistent Chiefs offense.

    Tampa Bay -5.5 - Jalen Hurts hasn't had a single good game when the Eagles haven't been able to run and Tampa Bay's run defense is elite. The loss of Brown and Goodwin will likely hurt the Bucs against better defenses, but the Eagles defense has struggled on the road and the defensive line of the Eagles hasn't been as good in the second half of the season. The Bucs offense looked fine without Brown and Goodwin against Carolina. The Eagles also rested almost all their key starters on offense the final week of the season and likely will start slow here.\

    Cowboys-49ers Under 51 - The Cowboys defense has looked great since Lawrence and Gregory came back the final month of the season and the Cowboys offense has struggled the second half of the year, Dak's big game against the Eagles was against 3rd string players. The 49ers want to run the ball and slow the game down, they don't want to get in a shootout. The Cowboys run defense is solid despite the Arizona game, and the 49ers don't have the passing game Arizona does, Dallas will be able to load the box.

    Arizona +4 - Arizona's weakness is their run defense, but the Rams running game is weak. Murray plays better in big games because he's more willing to run and risk injury. Arizona's pass defense is strong and the Rams can't run the ball consistently. Stafford has always struggled against good defenses with turnovers, the pressure is all on Stafford and the Rams here, Arizona's season is a success just getting to the playoffs with this young team.
  • Mackballs
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-01-16
    • 5810

    #2
    2-3
    Comment
    • thomorino
      Restricted User
      • 06-01-17
      • 45842

      #3
      Originally posted by thomorino
      +58.2 Units in the Regular Season

      I keep my playoff record seperate every year in every sports thread. All bets are still to win 5 units unless otherwise stated. I have regular season and playoff futures pending and they will be graded in my regular season or playoff thread depending on what kind of bets they were.

      Bills -3.5 -115 - The Patriots peaked midseason, the Bills are peaking now. The Patriots only beat the Bills in Buffalo because of the 50 mile winds that made it almost impossible to throw. Teams have figured out how to defend Mac Jones and the Patriots defense has been inconsistent the second half of the year. The Patriots cleaned up against weaker teams all year but couldn't beat any of the top teams with the exception of the weather game against Buffalo I just mentioned. Allen plays at a different level in big games because he will run more since he's more willing to risk injury in big games at the end of the year.

      Bengals-Raiders over 49.5 - The Raiders defense had some decent games early in the year, and the defensive line is solid but the Raiders defense is bad, the Bengal should move the ball easier. Waller is back for the Raiders and they have adjusted to Ruggs being out. The Bengals defense has been inconsistent, giving up 41 to the Chargers and 30 to an inconsistent Chiefs offense.

      Tampa Bay -5.5 - Jalen Hurts hasn't had a single good game when the Eagles haven't been able to run and Tampa Bay's run defense is elite. The loss of Brown and Goodwin will likely hurt the Bucs against better defenses, but the Eagles defense has struggled on the road and the defensive line of the Eagles hasn't been as good in the second half of the season. The Bucs offense looked fine without Brown and Goodwin against Carolina. The Eagles also rested almost all their key starters on offense the final week of the season and likely will start slow here.\

      Cowboys-49ers Under 51 - The Cowboys defense has looked great since Lawrence and Gregory came back the final month of the season and the Cowboys offense has struggled the second half of the year, Dak's big game against the Eagles was against 3rd string players. The 49ers want to run the ball and slow the game down, they don't want to get in a shootout. The Cowboys run defense is solid despite the Arizona game, and the 49ers don't have the passing game Arizona does, Dallas will be able to load the box.

      Arizona +4 - Arizona's weakness is their run defense, but the Rams running game is weak. Murray plays better in big games because he's more willing to run and risk injury. Arizona's pass defense is strong and the Rams can't run the ball consistently. Stafford has always struggled against good defenses with turnovers, the pressure is all on Stafford and the Rams here, Arizona's season is a success just getting to the playoffs with this young team.
      The number for the Raiders-Bengals game is 48.5 not 49.5, typo
      Comment
      • KRIT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-11-14
        • 12878

        #4
        Gl Morino's proving the haters wrong.

        I like Bills also, not sure if I will bet them, but it's Bills or no play for me.
        Comment
        • thomorino
          Restricted User
          • 06-01-17
          • 45842

          #5
          Originally posted by KRIT
          Gl Morino's proving the haters wrong.

          I like Bills also, not sure if I will bet them, but it's Bills or no play for me.
          This Bills midseason struggles made this team stronger, they are peaking at the right time, the defense has adjusted to White being out too.
          Comment
          • thomorino
            Restricted User
            • 06-01-17
            • 45842

            #6
            Originally posted by thomorino
            +58.2 Units in the Regular Season

            I keep my playoff record seperate every year in every sports thread. All bets are still to win 5 units unless otherwise stated. I have regular season and playoff futures pending and they will be graded in my regular season or playoff thread depending on what kind of bets they were.

            Bills -3.5 -115 - The Patriots peaked midseason, the Bills are peaking now. The Patriots only beat the Bills in Buffalo because of the 50 mile winds that made it almost impossible to throw. Teams have figured out how to defend Mac Jones and the Patriots defense has been inconsistent the second half of the year. The Patriots cleaned up against weaker teams all year but couldn't beat any of the top teams with the exception of the weather game against Buffalo I just mentioned. Allen plays at a different level in big games because he will run more since he's more willing to risk injury in big games at the end of the year.

            Bengals-Raiders over 49.5 - The Raiders defense had some decent games early in the year, and the defensive line is solid but the Raiders defense is bad, the Bengal should move the ball easier. Waller is back for the Raiders and they have adjusted to Ruggs being out. The Bengals defense has been inconsistent, giving up 41 to the Chargers and 30 to an inconsistent Chiefs offense.

            Tampa Bay -5.5 - Jalen Hurts hasn't had a single good game when the Eagles haven't been able to run and Tampa Bay's run defense is elite. The loss of Brown and Goodwin will likely hurt the Bucs against better defenses, but the Eagles defense has struggled on the road and the defensive line of the Eagles hasn't been as good in the second half of the season. The Bucs offense looked fine without Brown and Goodwin against Carolina. The Eagles also rested almost all their key starters on offense the final week of the season and likely will start slow here.\

            Cowboys-49ers Under 51 - The Cowboys defense has looked great since Lawrence and Gregory came back the final month of the season and the Cowboys offense has struggled the second half of the year, Dak's big game against the Eagles was against 3rd string players. The 49ers want to run the ball and slow the game down, they don't want to get in a shootout. The Cowboys run defense is solid despite the Arizona game, and the 49ers don't have the passing game Arizona does, Dallas will be able to load the box.

            Arizona +4 - Arizona's weakness is their run defense, but the Rams running game is weak. Murray plays better in big games because he's more willing to run and risk injury. Arizona's pass defense is strong and the Rams can't run the ball consistently. Stafford has always struggled against good defenses with turnovers, the pressure is all on Stafford and the Rams here, Arizona's season is a success just getting to the playoffs with this young team.
            The Tamp Bay line is obviously a first half line
            Comment
            • thomorino
              Restricted User
              • 06-01-17
              • 45842

              #7
              CED
              Thu, 13 Jan 202213:11

              EVENT
              1st Half Spread Alternate 1Pro Football: Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

              SELECTION
              Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5) @ -110

              BET COST
              $250.00

              PAYOUT
              Pending
              Comment
              • thomorino
                Restricted User
                • 06-01-17
                • 45842

                #8
                ACED
                Thu, 13 Jan 202213:11

                EVENT
                Total Points Over/UnderPro Football: Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals

                SELECTION
                Over (48.5) @ -110

                BET COST
                $250.00

                PAYOUT
                Pending
                Comment
                • thomorino
                  Restricted User
                  • 06-01-17
                  • 45842

                  #9
                  ACED
                  Thu, 13 Jan 202213:11

                  EVENT
                  Total Points Over/UnderPro Football: San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys

                  SELECTION
                  Under (51.0) @ -110

                  BET COST
                  $250.00

                  PAYOUT
                  Pendin
                  Comment
                  • thomorino
                    Restricted User
                    • 06-01-17
                    • 45842

                    #10
                    CED
                    Thu, 13 Jan 202213:11

                    EVENT
                    SpreadPro Football: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

                    SELECTION
                    Buffalo Bills (-4.0) @ -110

                    BET COST
                    $252.00

                    PAYOUT
                    Pending
                    Comment
                    • thomorino
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-01-17
                      • 45842

                      #11
                      I post at available lines at the time I post so some of the lines were different when I placed my bet then at the time I posted these picks.
                      Comment
                      • goduke
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-17-10
                        • 11580

                        #12
                        Originally posted by thomorino
                        +58.2 Units in the Regular Season

                        I keep my playoff record seperate every year in every sports thread. All bets are still to win 5 units unless otherwise stated. I have regular season and playoff futures pending and they will be graded in my regular season or playoff thread depending on what kind of bets they were.

                        Bills -3.5 -115 - The Patriots peaked midseason, the Bills are peaking now. The Patriots only beat the Bills in Buffalo because of the 50 mile winds that made it almost impossible to throw. Teams have figured out how to defend Mac Jones and the Patriots defense has been inconsistent the second half of the year. The Patriots cleaned up against weaker teams all year but couldn't beat any of the top teams with the exception of the weather game against Buffalo I just mentioned. Allen plays at a different level in big games because he will run more since he's more willing to risk injury in big games at the end of the year.

                        Bengals-Raiders over 49.5 - The Raiders defense had some decent games early in the year, and the defensive line is solid but the Raiders defense is bad, the Bengal should move the ball easier. Waller is back for the Raiders and they have adjusted to Ruggs being out. The Bengals defense has been inconsistent, giving up 41 to the Chargers and 30 to an inconsistent Chiefs offense.

                        Tampa Bay -5.5 - Jalen Hurts hasn't had a single good game when the Eagles haven't been able to run and Tampa Bay's run defense is elite. The loss of Brown and Goodwin will likely hurt the Bucs against better defenses, but the Eagles defense has struggled on the road and the defensive line of the Eagles hasn't been as good in the second half of the season. The Bucs offense looked fine without Brown and Goodwin against Carolina. The Eagles also rested almost all their key starters on offense the final week of the season and likely will start slow here.\

                        Cowboys-49ers Under 51 - The Cowboys defense has looked great since Lawrence and Gregory came back the final month of the season and the Cowboys offense has struggled the second half of the year, Dak's big game against the Eagles was against 3rd string players. The 49ers want to run the ball and slow the game down, they don't want to get in a shootout. The Cowboys run defense is solid despite the Arizona game, and the 49ers don't have the passing game Arizona does, Dallas will be able to load the box.

                        Arizona +4 - Arizona's weakness is their run defense, but the Rams running game is weak. Murray plays better in big games because he's more willing to run and risk injury. Arizona's pass defense is strong and the Rams can't run the ball consistently. Stafford has always struggled against good defenses with turnovers, the pressure is all on Stafford and the Rams here, Arizona's season is a success just getting to the playoffs with this young team.
                        I'm hoping that tampa line is a typo. -5.5 was never available
                        Comment
                        • thomorino
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-01-17
                          • 45842

                          #13
                          Originally posted by goduke
                          I'm hoping that tampa line is a typo. -5.5 was never available
                          Its explained the thread that the line is a first half line.
                          Comment
                          • rake922
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-23-07
                            • 11692

                            #14
                            Comment
                            • BeatTheJerk
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-19-07
                              • 31794

                              #15
                              Thomorino posting tickets. GL today sir.
                              Comment
                              • trobin31
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-09-14
                                • 9853

                                #16
                                Morino I like the picks...best of luck
                                Comment
                                • thomorino
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-01-17
                                  • 45842

                                  #17
                                  What a stupid spike of the ball with 30 seconds left, no reason at all to not run a play there
                                  Comment
                                  • trobin31
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-09-14
                                    • 9853

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by thomorino
                                    What a stupid spike of the ball with 30 seconds left, no reason at all to not run a play there
                                    Yeah I got jobbed on the over too...oh well
                                    Comment
                                    • Covering the #
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 02-19-17
                                      • 967

                                      #19
                                      Will give out a little secret. Almost every time a total of 48 or 48.5 for NFL is on the table, take the under. Seems like it hits like clockwork. I had it as part of a parlay with Bills moneyline.
                                      Comment
                                      • KRIT
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-11-14
                                        • 12878

                                        #20
                                        Gl Morino, hopefully the winnings keep pouring in, ignore the haters.
                                        Comment
                                        • thomorino
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 06-01-17
                                          • 45842

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by KRIT
                                          Gl Morino, hopefully the winnings keep pouring in, ignore the haters.
                                          Just dumb for the Raiders to spike the ball with 30 seconds left
                                          Comment
                                          • clockwise1965
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-01-13
                                            • 6753

                                            #22
                                            Good luck
                                            Comment
                                            • thomorino
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 06-01-17
                                              • 45842

                                              #23
                                              Bills winner

                                              Bengals Raider total somehow goes under

                                              -.4 units
                                              Comment
                                              • GunShard
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-05-10
                                                • 10031

                                                #24
                                                I hope you had these in a 5 team parlay. There's a good chance all of these win.
                                                Comment
                                                • thomorino
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 06-01-17
                                                  • 45842

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by GunShard
                                                  I hope you had these in a 5 team parlay. There's a good chance all of these win.
                                                  Bengals Raider total somehow lost, we will see
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Sam Losco
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-03-16
                                                    • 3858

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by thomorino
                                                    Bengals Raider total somehow lost, we will see
                                                    somehow? it went under thats how
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 11-29-07
                                                      • 26068

                                                      #27
                                                      ...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • thomorino
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 06-01-17
                                                        • 45842

                                                        #28
                                                        Unbelievable a veteran quarterback like Carr would spike the ball with 30 seconds left at the ten
                                                        Comment
                                                        • thomorino
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 06-01-17
                                                          • 45842

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by thomorino
                                                          Bills winner

                                                          Bengals Raider total somehow goes under

                                                          -.4 units
                                                          Tampa Bay 1h winner

                                                          +4.5 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • trobin31
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-09-14
                                                            • 9853

                                                            #30
                                                            Morino can fuk even limp
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jjgold
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 07-20-05
                                                              • 388179

                                                              #31
                                                              good start
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevenash
                                                                Moderator
                                                                • 01-17-11
                                                                • 65604

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by trobin31
                                                                Morino I like the picks...best of luck
                                                                Yeah.
                                                                I'm on the under big (for me)
                                                                I got 52 right after it opened.

                                                                Only bet I'm on the other side is I like the Rams.

                                                                I wish all well.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • trobin31
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-09-14
                                                                  • 9853

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                  Yeah.
                                                                  I'm on the under big (for me)
                                                                  I got 52 right after it opened.

                                                                  Only bet I'm on the other side is I like the Rams.

                                                                  I wish all well.
                                                                  jj watt is playing now...how effective he'll be idk, but guy is a leader
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                                    • 11581

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Probably could've just rolled with a 6 team home ML parlay. SF is the only one I see with a good shot. Arizona couldn't even beat Seattle at home w/the division on the line or INdy with half their team out. Rams have tried to buy a team and that never seems to win a SB, but should be enough to beat Arizona. Oh well. Woulda shoulda coulda
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thomorino
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 06-01-17
                                                                      • 45842

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by trobin31
                                                                      jj watt is playing now...how effective he'll be idk, but guy is a leader
                                                                      Yeah I agree, him coming back will have an impact even if he doesn't play that much
                                                                      Comment
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