Analyzing Consensus

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  • Lineman
    SBR MVP
    • 11-21-09
    • 2594

    #36







    Phili split decision between SBR and Visan....going with SBR.....Phili

    Some of the over under are interesting like; Cinci/GB over........Hou/NE under
    Comment
    • Lineman
      SBR MVP
      • 11-21-09
      • 2594

      #37





      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #38
        Betting Splits only accurate numbers
        Comment
        • Lineman
          SBR MVP
          • 11-21-09
          • 2594

          #39
          Thanks JJ






          really having a tough time to pick a side.....but the over looks interesting....
          Comment
          • Lineman
            SBR MVP
            • 11-21-09
            • 2594

            #40














            After all said and done:

            Sbr public
            3W - 7L.....Wise Money 4W - 2L.

            VISAN Sides: % Bets
            10W - 3L...% Handle 0W - 2L.
            Totals:
            7W - 6L... 2W - 3L.

            DraftKings maybe in red this week.
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #41
              A lot of money line favorites won
              Comment
              • Lineman
                SBR MVP
                • 11-21-09
                • 2594

                #42







                From Las Vegas Contest:

                Tennessee Jacksonville 3.21
                NY Jets Atlanta 2.49
                LA Rams Seattle 2.34
                New Orleans Washington 2.23
                Miami Tampa Bay 1.98
                San Francisco Arizona 1.60
                Buffalo Kansas City 1.21
                Cleveland LA Chargers 0.58
                New England Houston 0.61
                Chicago Las Vegas 0.66
                Indianapolis Baltimore 0.78
                Denver Pittsburgh 0.81
                Philadelphia Carolina 0.82
                Detroit Minnesota 0.84
                NY Giants Dallas 0.92
                Green Bay Cincinnati 0.92

                So then going with Bal and under.....Baccarat also on Bal.
                Comment
                • Lineman
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-21-09
                  • 2594

                  #43






                  I am gonna follow the SBR on this one if no changes...PHI and OVER
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #44
                    Phila can win
                    Comment
                    • Lineman
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-21-09
                      • 2594

                      #45
                      weird game jj....I guess we were on the right side.....

                      Comment
                      • Lineman
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-21-09
                        • 2594

                        #46







                        Not sure about SBR's public this week, heavy on Chi, Was....completely opposite VSIN...
                        Car and Min wise money may be right...
                        They have to be right on some....maybe Det?
                        LAR big line move.....?
                        Comment
                        • Lineman
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-21-09
                          • 2594

                          #47
                          htt
                          Las Vegas and Circa contests picks ratio...
                          > 0, higher number, higher interest...
                          and vice versa...

                          ps://imgur.com/fIb0Rqc
                          Comment
                          • Lineman
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-21-09
                            • 2594

                            #48


                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #49
                              Keep this thread alive all year even hoops I believe they have it for all sports
                              Comment
                              • Lineman
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-21-09
                                • 2594

                                #50





                                Big discrepancies Dal/NE game...some Ari/Cle....
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #51
                                  If you fade the big lopsided consensus you’ll probably win or hang in there
                                  Comment
                                  • Lineman
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-21-09
                                    • 2594

                                    #52
                                    No promises JJ, thanks for the support....
                                    Comment
                                    • Lineman
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-21-09
                                      • 2594

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                      If you fade the big lopsided consensus you’ll probably win or hang in there
                                      Was just curious about these games, let's see how they do....
                                      Comment
                                      • Lineman
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-21-09
                                        • 2594

                                        #54



                                        Ari/Cle under game very costly for me today!
                                        Anyway moving on, going with Pit and under....
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #55
                                          Do those dollar amounts change in real time?
                                          Comment
                                          • Lineman
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-21-09
                                            • 2594

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                            Do those dollar amounts change in real time?
                                            Don't think so...I just refresh every now and than...
                                            Comment
                                            • Lineman
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-21-09
                                              • 2594

                                              #57











                                              Fading SBR made you good money this week....
                                              DraftKings made up his losses from sides with over unders......
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388179

                                                #58
                                                Good work
                                                Comment
                                                • vivablu
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 03-25-21
                                                  • 129

                                                  #59
                                                  Betting the reverse line movement or line staying put even when majority of the public is betting one side doesn't work anymore. The data is not accurate. It was one of the easiest way to make money back in the days....before 2010.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Lineman
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-21-09
                                                    • 2594

                                                    #60
                                                    You have a point vivablu. Sometimes it's shocking to see the public on one site than I stay away from these. Like KC line not moving to 7 but when you look at SBR you see a different picture. I am assuming SBR's data comes from SBR's sportsbook. JJ?

                                                    I am not giving up yet, I think we can still find some gems. Besides it's helping me to pick winners so far for whatever reason and I have JJ's support ...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Lineman
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-21-09
                                                      • 2594

                                                      #61






                                                      If you are a trend follower than Buf......???
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388179

                                                        #62
                                                        Take Tenny
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Lineman
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-21-09
                                                          • 2594

                                                          #63
                                                          Thanks JJ, still debating, tough to bet against Monday night home underdog, especially Tennessee, they are pretty solid if you ask me...but the line moving to 6 is stopping me from backing them up. I am gonna go Buf and under, something small, just to enjoy, without much stress, if that's possible. ; ))
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Lineman
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-21-09
                                                            • 2594

                                                            #64




                                                            They were not updating it all day so .....???? Over unders public did great....not so on the sides......





                                                            If you followed the money in the am games you went 7 - 1.....







                                                            PM games public 3 - 1....money 1 - 3....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Lineman
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-21-09
                                                              • 2594

                                                              #65

                                                              I followed the money....
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jjgold
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-20-05
                                                                • 388179

                                                                #66
                                                                Good report
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Lineman
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-21-09
                                                                  • 2594

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Thanks JJ! I think you have a perfect record on this site with your picks!!!!



                                                                  Las Vegas + Circa combined picks, they went 9 - 5.... I showed the Las Vegas contest's lines also, as you know it matters a lot....Like tonight's game line is 9.5 and they are on KC....
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jjgold
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                                    • 388179

                                                                    #68
                                                                    This stuff is just as good as any other to try to come up with a plan
                                                                    Comment
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