Fishhead & Nicky: Feed Me Plays

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 08:46 AM

Ok, start scalping!!!!!

If you can predict ANY type of line movement in baseball, you will profit.

Look for BAD LINES that some fool has abandoned...........seldom a day goes by where I do not profit from Matchbook.

FH

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 08:48 AM

Got MIL at -175 earlier.......look at the line now.

Deuce · 08-26-09, 08:49 AM

Originally posted by Fishhead

Got MIL at -175 earlier.......look at the line now.

-190 at Matchy

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 08:53 AM

Originally posted by Deuce

-190 at Matchy

Don't let the line services fool you.....it is actually higher as there is less than $200 offered at that price currently.

Nearly every shop is at least -200.

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 08:55 AM

Originally posted by Fishhead

Don't let the line services fool you.....it is actually higher as there is less than $200 offered at that price currently.

Nearly every shop is at least -200.

Actually debating whether or not to gobble up the -189 and -190 sitting there right now..........but I'm sitting well on the game as is and will just let it go probably.

It will probably settle in at around at around -194 in a few minutes.........that's my guess.

onthewhat · 08-26-09, 08:58 AM

Not interested in scalps

Nicky give me advice. How many cents better do I need at matchy compared to pinny?

Should I post offers or accept offers?

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 09:01 AM

Originally posted by onthewhat

Not interested in scalps

Nicky give me advice. How many cents better do I need at matchy compared to pinny?

Should I post offers or accept offers?

OTW....you take what is given you.

If there is a BAD LINE, you gladly pay the 0.6% commission.

You would be absolutely naive to not scalp at Matchbook because you DO NOT HAVE TO TIE UP ONE CENT OF YOUR MONEY IF YOU BET BOTH SIDES OF A GAME.

For instance, you could lay -150 for $8,000 and come back and wager $8,000 at +159 and YOUR ENTIRE BEGINNING BALANCE WILL STILL BE AVAILABLE.

It takes only a few minutes to make money sometimes.........it's like playing a casino game.

FH

PS- I'm on Matchy 16+ hours a day

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 09:06 AM

Like right now you could pay 0.6 percent and take Mil -190........in a few minutes put an offer on the other side for +194 or higher and if accepted you just made a few bucks and your entire balance is intact for other wagers.

Obviously the bigger balance and/or offers you have the more money you can make.

I can usually nail down the correct line moves around 93% of the time and if not, can get off quickly for a very, very small loss.

FH

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 09:13 AM

One big advantage Nicky and myself have at MB is simply our experience there.........it takes newbies at MB a few weeks to figure what the hell is going on, and in that time these newbies can be taken advantage of.

ONNER--Take your time, play small for a couple weeks until you understand the ENTIRE PROCESS and how it works.

One good thing is you have Nicky and myself to answer most of your questions regarding MB.

onthewhat · 08-26-09, 09:17 AM

Fishhead you are sick pal

Yes I am confused, I scalped money into MB from another book last night.

onthewhat · 08-26-09, 09:23 AM

Fishhead PM me your cell number and what time tonight is convenient for you if you could give me a quick walkthru of Matchy.

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 09:24 AM

Originally posted by onthewhat

Fishhead you are sick pal

Yes I am confused, I scalped money into MB from another book last night.

Yes, very sick........and been so for many years, more than most posters ages here.

Chi_archie · 08-26-09, 09:59 AM

Originally posted by Fishhead

I can usually nail down the correct line moves around 93% of the time and if not, can get off quickly for a very, very small loss.

FH

that's absolutely amazing

Sam Odom · 08-26-09, 10:04 AM

"Bet on all the home teams in the National League and all the away teams in the American League"

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by Fishhead

Actually debating whether or not to gobble up the -189 and -190 sitting there right now..........but I'm sitting well on the game as is and will just let it go probably.

It will probably settle in at around at around -194 in a few minutes.........that's my guess.

It is at -197 now........as expected.

Onner, I gave you a heads-up on this one and passed on it(got -175 and -177 already)........you could have paid 0.6% and bought the -190(which equates to being around -191.3 with commissions) and now put in an offer at +196 and get paid 0.1 commission on that(making it +196.2 roughly)...........so you would have had a four cent scalp with NO MONEY TIED UP NOW BECAUSE BOTH WAGERS CANCEL EACH OTHER OUT AND NOW YOU CAN USE THAT MONEY FOR SOME OTHER GAME.

As it looks, I will obtaining what looks to be at LEAST a 20 cent scalp on this game after laying the -176.

onthewhat · 08-26-09, 01:14 PM

I can't bet during day

Where the fuk is Nicky?

fsugolf · 08-26-09, 01:18 PM

hmmm maybe he's not on right now....

MonkeyF0cker · 08-26-09, 01:20 PM

LOL @ 4 cent scalp.

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 01:21 PM

Originally posted by onthewhat

I can't bet during day

Where the fuk is Nicky?

What you looking for, a play??

If so, you know NICKY loves the Angels this afternoon.

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

LOL @ 4 cent scalp.

Well, I got 20+...........

Having said that, even a mere 4 cent scalp gives one a free shot to win $40 for every $1000 wagered on both sides.......all with money that is not tied up at all, which is vastly important.

Most of my scalps involve more than $1,000 and on average usually produce 4 cents at the MINUMUM...........and some cases, large ones like the 20 cents with this game.

fh

MonkeyF0cker · 08-26-09, 01:41 PM

You have some fuzzy fukkin math, Fishhead. A $1000 -191 wager yields $8.84 on each side if you fully arb at +196. Not only are you not maximizing expected growth by arbing, but not tying up money is only beneficial to those with tiny bankrolls, which is no doubt your case...

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 01:45 PM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

You have some fuzzy fukkin math, Fishhead. A $1000 -191 wager yields $8.84 on each side if you fully arb at +196. .

What I stated is that if ONE WANTED to they could put themselves in a breakeven or win $40 situation with a 4 cent scalp......not an indication of what it was worth.

By the way, money that is not tied up is ALWAYS beneficial, whether one has a $100 bankroll or a $200,000 bankroll.

FH

tacomax · 08-26-09, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

You have some fuzzy fukkin math, Fishhead. A $1000 -191 wager yields $8.84 on each side if you fully arb at +196. Not only are you not maximizing expected growth by arbing, but not tying up money is only beneficial to those with tiny bankrolls, which is no doubt your case...

You're just jealous you didn't get the 4c arb. Just man up and admit it.

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 01:51 PM

Originally posted by tacomax

You're just jealous you didn't get the 4c arb. Just man up and admit it.

Tacohead, easy on the insults, the SBR awards are not for another year, save your artillary and perhaps you can win the award named after you........I think you have a great chance to reclaim the title.

FH

MonkeyF0cker · 08-26-09, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by Fishhead

What I stated is that if ONE WANTED to they could put themselves in a breakeven or win $40 situation with a 4 cent scalp......not an indication of what it was worth.

By the way, money that is not tied up is ALWAYS beneficial, whether one has a $100 bankroll or a $200,000 bankroll.

FH

Wrong. There are only so many +EV opprtunities per day. What good does money sitting in an account do if there is nothing of value to bet on? I'd much rather maximize my growth. I know that must sound really weird to you...

MonkeyF0cker · 08-26-09, 01:56 PM

And it would be $26.18 and breakeven. Not $40.

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

And it would be $26.18 and breakeven. Not $40.

FOUR CENT scalp

+EV......1000 TO WIN 1000
+104 ...1000 TO WIN 1040

Breakeven or win 40

MonkeyF0cker · 08-26-09, 02:02 PM

Moron. The line is -191/+196. Try again.

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 02:10 PM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

Moron. The line is -191/+196. Try again.

What I meant is if you were to use 1,000 as the TO WIN fiugre on the favorite.

If not, you are 100% correct with your math.

When explaining to newbies, I like to use base figures for better understanding..........maybe I'm not giving the newbies enough credit(but then again, your not a newbie), so perhaps I will continue to use the base figure.

FH

tacomax · 08-26-09, 02:11 PM

Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker

Moron. The line is -191/+196. Try again.

It's like trying to teach that monkey not to piss in it's mouth.

MonkeyF0cker · 08-26-09, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by tacomax

It's like trying to teach that monkey not to piss in it's mouth.

MonkeyF0cker · 08-26-09, 02:26 PM

Originally posted by Fishhead

What I meant is if you were to use 1,000 as the TO WIN fiugre on the favorite.

If not, you are 100% correct with your math.

When explaining to newbies, I like to use base figures for better understanding..........maybe I'm not giving the newbies enough credit(but then again, your not a newbie), so perhaps I will continue to use the base figure.

FH

Yeah. You've made it a habit of trying to teach people the wrong way of doing a lot of things here...

onthewhat · 08-26-09, 02:27 PM

Im trying to get advice to beat the books.

Mods can you get rid of all this crap in here?

Fishhead · 08-26-09, 02:43 PM

Originally posted by onthewhat

Im trying to get advice to beat the books.

Mods can you get rid of all this crap in here?

Monkey is a friend of mine, he is just busting my balls.

He is good people.

OTW---Forums, PM's, phones, are not good instruments to explain things .................hopefully I get to Indiana soon and THE GENERAL, you, and I can hook-up for awhile at a legendary Indiana casino to hash the finer points of +ev gaming.

FH