[in the tennis] ATP/WTA Miami (hard surface) [everybody welcome]

[flabrah5]

You slamming that Med +135 line? At +210 now down 0-30. You got your wish. Fire away.

Edit - now +265 down 0-40. Gonna miss your chance.

Took it to deuce. I almost hedged, but keeping the Agut faith. That'd be nice two +300 line essentially.

[Doug tushyterror]

Don't think you're gonna get any +750-+1000s for Agut. Haha. Set 1 was +265 as well. Just insane value.

Are you on this match at all? I have a unit on the over live so guess it's a hedge or double win, but 3 units on Agut @ +278 and another +336 live. Not sure how these numbers were there, but they were. Hope it's not a jinx.

Would've def. been on Med. if didn't bust a few weeks ago actually betting against RBA by going all in live on Thiem in Dubai. Actually depleted my savings the next to go DKs Sportsbook in AC to load up on a Zags/Nets Future. (11,850/80,375) So far so good, but long way to go. Same applies to your bet but I would never count out Med.& I've seen RBA squander plenty of 1 set & a break leads. GL hope this isn't one of those matches

[BeatTheJerk]

You slamming that Med +135 line? At +210 now down 0-30. You got your wish. Fire away.

Edit - now +265 down 0-40. Gonna miss your chance.

Took it to deuce. I almost hedged, but keeping the Agut faith. That'd be nice two +300 line essentially.

How much total you hit live ? 100k

[flabrah5]

Would've def. been on Med. if didn't bust a few weeks ago actually betting against RBA by going all in live on Thiem in Dubai. Actually depleted my savings the next to go DKs Sportsbook in AC to load up on a Zags/Nets Future. (11,850/80,375) So far so good, but long way to go. Same applies to your bet but I would never count out Med.& I've seen RBA squander plenty of 1 set & a break leads. GL hope this isn't one of those matches

No prob man, easy win for Agut. I know the feeling. Fognini is that guy for me.

Almost out a half unit on Agut in straights. Was almost +600.

6-4, 6-2 what a bashing. Make that 3-0 vs Med. Alot of people won't be able to say that, especially of he retires undefeated against him.

Gl to you as always! Love that bet. Will same some prayers to the gambling gods

[flabrah5]

How much total you hit live ? 100k

I was on Agut. Whatcha mean? Didn't mess with props - sets or straights. Wish I did. Great win, Med was shook on some unlucky net shots and the humidity seemed to take effect. Had 4 units on Agut, 3 lrematch and 1 at +343 when Med served 1st and went up 1-0. Couldn't believe that line movement.

[Doug tushyterror]

No prob man, easy win for Agut. I know the feeling. Fognini is that guy for me.

Almost out a half unit on Agut in straights. Was almost +600.

6-4, 6-2 what a bashing. Make that 3-0 vs Med. Alot of people won't be able to say that, especially of he retires undefeated against him.

Gl to you as always! Love that bet. Will same some prayers to the gambling gods

Appreciate that, I've never needed a bet to hit as much as this one. Great call on RBA!..as consistent as he is, he's one of the toughest guys for me to get a read on. He lost in straight sets twice in 2019 to De Minaur and now he's 3-0 agains Med. Go figure.

[Vyasports]

Regret not being able to watch/bet it live but had a pre-match RBA one set winner that will calm me down...

[Vyasports]

I was on Agut. Whatcha mean? Didn't mess with props - sets or straights. Wish I did. Great win, Med was shook on some unlucky net shots and the humidity seemed to take effect. Had 4 units on Agut, 3 lrematch and 1 at +343 when Med served 1st and went up 1-0. Couldn't believe that line movement.

I feel calm now knowing that at least one of us was present!

[degennn]

Nomnomnomnom

[flabrah5]

I feel calm now knowing that at least one of us was present!

Great bet. I went large prematch. If I didn't take some time off, I would have taken a huge stab at the +1.5 sets. Great bet.

I regret not going in more live. He dominated everywhere. 1st Set Winner, 2nd set winner, anything Agut during both sets. Was a great match for this value, but hey, we won something so can't be mad at it, although these come only a few times a season. Public inflated Medvedev so much, I can't believe Agut was even +4.5 games. Comical.

Cheers to your W

[flabrah5]

I'll also add, this is Rublevs to win. Wish I bet him to take the trophy before this match bc Med always gets the better of those best friend matches. Rublev has mixed emotions since they are almost like brothers, but I know he's relieved seeing it's his for the taking.

Anyone know what Rublev to win Miami was before this match? And what's it now with Medv out? Gotta be a crazy swing. Wasn't even thinking about the implications of Medv losing here for the Rublev line.

[flabrah5]

What are we thinking with Sakkari? She killed me Pegula live +270s, can't remember. Could have put 2k on Sakk at +1670 but didn't think Pegula would not serve out the macth, nor let her hold like she did 5 match points in a 16 min game of deuce.

Sakkari made a statement vs Osaka. Normally would have went with an over there but took time off after Pegula (big bet for me, and I could have hedged for alot both outcomes).

I'm afraid to take Sakkari now in general, but that comeback and that Osaka beating- is it her time?

Blindly, might be rolling with it. Barty great, but she's not used to Florida humidity hot. AUS feels like an oven, hot no doubt. FL feels like you're in a steam room 24/7 (I'm from FL and visited AUS, prefer 125 degree AUS heat over 85 and humid FL stuff, brutal difference).

I think we all agree Rublev holding the trophy? BFF Medv is out, only gut that gives him trouble. Agut can rally, but Rublev return game gonna cause alot of trouble if they meet on Aguts serves.

[degennn]

I'll also add, this is Rublevs to win. Wish I bet him to take the trophy before this match bc Med always gets the better of those best friend matches. Rublev has mixed emotions since they are almost like brothers, but I know he's relieved seeing it's his for the taking.

Anyone know what Rublev to win Miami was before this match? And what's it now with Medv out? Gotta be a crazy swing. Wasn't even thinking about the implications of Medv losing here for the Rublev line.

I got him at +300 yesterday. Med was +167

[degennn]

I got him at +300 yesterday. Med was +167

But now that med is out and lines are :

+236 tsitsi rublev
+325 RBA
+383 sinner

I'm looking at sinner.

[degennn]

Adreescu in womens +275

Good on sakkari for thrashing naomi but osaka didnt look great all tourney despite scorelines.

Andreescu is on a mission.

[flabrah5]

Adreescu in womens +275

Good on sakkari for thrashing naomi but osaka didnt look great all tourney despite scorelines.

Andreescu is on a mission.

I agree. Andreescu 1st set ML down 0-3 at +431 and ML after set down down 1-2 on serve +118 was amazing to hit both. They fired up the 4 unit play on Agut.

She looked GASSED though. Haven't watched her much. She just have that kinda demeanor this past week? She did alter her game style alot vs Sorribes spin. Maybe if was a combo of that not used to just firing shots up half a mile on the air to setup a return winner when Sorribes didn't get her fill hit.

[BeatTheJerk]

I was on Agut. Whatcha mean? Didn't mess with props - sets or straights. Wish I did. Great win, Med was shook on some unlucky net shots and the humidity seemed to take effect. Had 4 units on Agut, 3 lrematch and 1 at +343 when Med served 1st and went up 1-0. Couldn't believe that line movement.

My bad I misunderstood I was drunk when I posted that. How much did you win on Agut +343 ?

[flabrah5]

My bad I misunderstood I was drunk when I posted that. How much did you win on Agut +343 ?

Haha no worries, 11 units. Did you by chance read my BM thread? I usually just keep to.units talk in the forums. It was very, very nice, especially taking some time off on NCAAB where I had a bad, bad day. Sticking back to the roots with these fine fellas and tennis. Where it all began

[flabrah5]

Hows everyone feeling about first matchup today? Hurkacz always gives Tsitsi some trouble. Tempted for that normal over 22.5 @ -104 and Hurkacz +1.5 sets @ +103.

Lines never change even though those have both hit 5 of 6 times in their H2H (Tsitsi 5-1 in the final results). Tempted to just go with it again at those generous odds.

Thoughts?

Edit - Going to feel stupid if I lay off this one and it happens for the 6th time out of 7 matches dating back to 2018, Hurkacz has been no pushover this year, or in Miami. Straights over Kudla, Shap, and a 3 setter over Raonic is nothing to look past.

Tsitsi has had an easy ride with Dzumhur, Nishi (i know, up and down current form), and Sonego.

[flabrah5]

Hurkacz +1.5 Sets @ +103 for me. Not gonna shy away.

BOL to all. Depending how the match looks, targeting a value live ML on Hurk if his service game is on.

[Vyasports]

Hows everyone feeling about first matchup today? Hurkacz always gives Tsitsi some trouble. Tempted for that normal over 22.5 @ -104 and Hurkacz +1.5 sets @ +103.

Lines never change even though those have both hit 5 of 6 times in their H2H (Tsitsi 5-1 in the final results). Tempted to just go with it again at those generous odds.

Thoughts?

Edit - Going to feel stupid if I lay off this one and it happens for the 6th time out of 7 matches dating back to 2018, Hurkacz has been no pushover this year, or in Miami. Straights over Kudla, Shap, and a 3 setter over Raonic is nothing to look past.

Tsitsi has had an easy ride with Dzumhur, Nishi (i know, up and down current form), and Sonego.

it depends whether Tsitsi wants to have another go to beat Rublev...
i'll watch it live ... can't decide anything for pre-match...

[SamsNCharge99]

Hows everyone feeling about first matchup today? Hurkacz always gives Tsitsi some trouble. Tempted for that normal over 22.5 @ -104 and Hurkacz +1.5 sets @ +103.

Lines never change even though those have both hit 5 of 6 times in their H2H (Tsitsi 5-1 in the final results). Tempted to just go with it again at those generous odds.

Thoughts?

Edit - Going to feel stupid if I lay off this one and it happens for the 6th time out of 7 matches dating back to 2018, Hurkacz has been no pushover this year, or in Miami. Straights over Kudla, Shap, and a 3 setter over Raonic is nothing to look past.

Tsitsi has had an easy ride with Dzumhur, Nishi (i know, up and down current form), and Sonego.

Hurkacz plays Tsitsipas tough. 3 straight 3 setters and 4/5

[Vyasports]

There you go tsitsi breaks early. He's motivated.
No play for me so far. .

[flabrah5]

Hurkacz plays Tsitsipas tough. 3 straight 3 setters and 4/5

Agreed.

@Vyasports this is how it always happens between these two, time will tell, time will tell. If I won the first break everytime, I would be on my yacht watching for fun haha.

Edit - come to think of Hurk, I always feel like he takes an early beating and then turns it around. Whenever I back him I regret it earlier in Set 1, then he surprises. His 1st serve is at 58% right now. We know that typically doesnt last for the man. In this matchup, I dont ever consider his games, always a set or over. Decided just to go with a +1.5 sets in this one. Lot of tennis left today, going to be the only play here. Many times Ive taken him live after losing 1st with Tsitsi, get the 2nd and feel like its gonna be a big one, then he just loses.

Who knows, though (we all just guessing). Today will be a GREAT day for all of us. I feel it. Keep the commenting going, good to hear from everyone regardless of their side. More communication, the merrier. Feel like when we are all talking, we hit the winners.

[Vyasports]

Agreed.

@Vyasports this is how it always happens between these two, time will tell, time will tell. If I won the first break everytime, I would be on my yacht watching for fun haha.

fair enough, i'm just giving my thoughts... he's saving energy. over may be in danger.

[BeatTheJerk]

Haha no worries, 11 units. Did you by chance read my BM thread? I usually just keep to.units talk in the forums. It was very, very nice, especially taking some time off on NCAAB where I had a bad, bad day. Sticking back to the roots with these fine fellas and tennis. Where it all began

You usually just keep it to units in threads ? You made a thread saying you won 3 million dollars @ BM recently pal ? So I ask you again how much did you win on that nice size dog ...

[BeatTheJerk]

I lost my ass on that tennis match Live play with Med. That c o c k sucker showed no grit in the South Florida heat, he’s dry as f u c k.

[Vyasports]

I lost my ass on that tennis match Live play with Med. That c o c k sucker showed no grit in the South Florida heat, he’s dry as f u c k.

when exactly did you live bet on that match if you dnt mind me asking...

[degennn]

You usually just keep it to units in threads ? You made a thread saying you won 3 million dollars @ BM recently pal ? So I ask you again how much did you win on that nice size dog ...

Are you the IRS?

[flabrah5]

Welp, my gut said stay away and let Tsitsi/Hurk play out. Gut was right again.

Goodbye 2 units +1.5 sets at +103.

Good move, Vyasports. Just crazy theyve played 6 times and 5 of 6 have a 3 setter over, BUT the line never has changed once. Always the same. Tells you something. Maybe future Tsitsi/Hurk matches are going to have those #s even out to 50% soon. Think about it, 5 of 6 3 set overs. Tsitsi takes it in 2 here thats 2 of 7 2 set unders. Gonna even out eventually, next time blindly taking the Tsitsi straights and under. 50% is usually what vegas wants.

[jjgold]

Herky being put in his place today

Thought it would be closer

[flabrah5]

Herky being put in his place today

Thought it would be closer

Herky making a come back. Took that live over 18.5 thinking hed at least get a break and he did. Dont count out the 3 setter again, I spoke too soon.

Cmon Hurk! I believe in you. A TB win would be lovely. That missed BP to take a 4-2 lead was huge. Way close than I thought, though. So happy to even be in it at this point.

Hes making his shots now. Hes had many chances to break Tsitsi. Just glad I dont have the over bc if 2nd set ends in a TB id be more upset than the +1.5 sets at + money. Well both would be bad beats considering that chances hes had to break just as much.

[flabrah5]

Dont tell me over 18.5 isnt gonna hit now haha. A BP for 4-2 to now this crap.

[jjgold]

Greek has trouble closing

[flabrah5]

Hurky +1.5! Always, I take back my previous statements. Just going to bet over and +1.5 on Hurky until it fails. Right now its 7 for 8 in their H2Hs, with only one Hurk win. Insane.