Have you ever looked more forward to an NFL season than this year??.....

[MonkeyF0cker]

compared to you, I'm Billy Walters..

Really? Are you modelling with ** sims, least squares regression, or some other form of regression, Nicky?

[smitch124]

sometimes hard to find 2 let alone 3 +EV sides lately on those...

[MonkeyF0cker]

anybody have +180 for 3 teamers?

same as +100 on 2 just more variance, but it's preferable to a 2 teamer at -110.

lots of places online still have it, but they are getting harder.

Not sure offhand actually. I only know that a bunch of books moved from -110 to -120 on 2-teamers this year. I'm gonna have to make my rounds next week and figure out each books teaser odds off the board. I'm not sure if anyone moved their odds on their weekly teaser cards either...

[MonkeyF0cker]

Usually, the teaser cards are worthless though. They don't put up the better +EV numbers on them normally. If a team is +2.5 off the board, they'll tease it at +0.5. You're usually forced to take the other side.

[durito]

ah, the pinnacle/5dimes strategy

actually pinnacle isn't taking any preseason NFL teasers

[onthewhat]

Durito is +180 +EV on 3-teamers? Is anything other than Wongs profitable? You can PM me if you don't want it spewed over the forum. Is -110 on 2 teamers THAT bad?

[onthewhat]

ah, the pinnacle/5dimes strategy

actually pinnacle isn't taking any preseason NFL teasers

Are these the only books that shade lines to avoid teasers?

[MonkeyF0cker]

Durito is +180 +EV on 3-teamers? Is anything other than Wongs profitable? You can PM me if you don't want it spewed over the forum. Is -110 on 2 teamers THAT bad?

They can still be profitable at -110 but even used to be the standard. And the term "Wong teaser" implies profitability, meaning any teaser that is +EV would be categorized as such.

[durito]

Durito is +180 +EV on 3-teamers?

Sure, on some teasers (ie like wongs)

Is anything other than Wongs profitable?

Yes.

Is -110 on 2 teamers THAT bad?

No, but +180 and 3 teamers is almost always preferable

[onthewhat]

Tell me other profitable teasers and I will be nice to you.

[durito]

Are these the only books that shade lines to avoid teasers?

No, but they are the only ones blatant about it.

You'll never see a line of +1.5 to +2.5 at pinnacle on an NFL game they will stay at +1 +120

[durito]

Tell me other profitable teasers and I will be nice to you.

Look at games with low totals.

[jjgold]

Should be a great year, we even have Brady back

[WileOut]

Looking forward to Jett Favre:

[Nicky Santoro]

Should be a great year, we even have Brady back

jj, that's the 4th one i was looking for.. i went blank,but brady is one too.. how will the pats now do with brady.. no one knows. will they go 8-8, or 15-1 again.. this too should be fun.. along with the favre, vick and T.O.. can't wait..

[WileOut]

Going to add some fun to the football season because college football is going to be Florida wire to wire national champs. Breeze. Even if they slip up and lose 1 during the season, they still will be in the championship. This may be the best college team since the Miami teams earlier this decade that were 3 deep in NFL talent at every position. Except Florida has one of the all time great QB's to ever play college ball. Get your future money down now on Florida to win it all. +220 or so. SEC east is weaker than usual. SEC West is a little stronger than usual though.