Hedge, Middle or Let it Ride?

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  • asiagambler
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-23-17
    • 6827

    #36
    Originally posted by Mr. Peepers
    I am getting flashbacks of the Bills winning last year in Minny as 16pt dogs...Granted that was a little different scenario with Josh Allen on the up and up and Kirk Cousins/ Minny being over valued but it does happen
    Wasn't this two years ago ?

    I also remember something crazy happened to Minnesota the night before that game, a player was threatening to kill someone and was arrested or something like that
    Comment
    • Mr. Peepers
      SBR MVP
      • 09-22-09
      • 1425

      #37
      Originally posted by biggie12
      Let it ride.... cashout and use the money for your kid. He deserves it after all it was his selections.
      He is getting a Raptor Power wheel for Christmas if this hits!
      Comment
      • Mr. Peepers
        SBR MVP
        • 09-22-09
        • 1425

        #38
        Originally posted by Hman
        The age-old question.

        Everyone's situation is different.

        You have to ask yourself these questions:

        *How important is the money to you when it comes to being won or lost

        *How much will you kick yourself if you don't hedge & lose, or even hedge and the greed makes you have regrets that you did
        Great questions to ask oneself. $8000 is a good chunk of dough. It would hurt for a few days of the play would lose but wouldn’t cause me to lose my house, cars, etc. Majority of the sting would come from knowing 8000 in the account would allow me wager enough to generate more wealth while also still being able to display good BR Management (complete opposite of what I just did).

        I would have some frustration if I didn’t hedge atleast a little if by chance the Jets won just because a few hundred on the Jets ML goes such a long way. I am leaning 3-4 hundo. To back the Jets for 800 bucks seems nuts regardless of the payout
        Comment
        • Mr. Peepers
          SBR MVP
          • 09-22-09
          • 1425

          #39
          Originally posted by eidolon
          They aren't offering it at +500 or more?
          I have a local at +550 and Nitrogen is +578
          Comment
          • Orbison
            SBR MVP
            • 09-07-20
            • 4691

            #40
            Originally posted by Mr. Peepers
            I have a local at +550 and Nitrogen is +578
            $800 Jets ML @ +578 = 4,624 profit

            current ML parlay risk amount = 4,700
            current ML parlay profit amount = 3,200

            so if Hawks win and you hedge with Jets ML, you profit 3,200 - 800 = 2,400

            but if Jets win and you hedge with Jets ML, you profit 4624-4700 = -76
            Comment
            • DiggityDaggityDo
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 11-30-08
              • 81450

              #41
              Originally posted by hotcross
              Let's ask Diggity
              Comment
              • Mr. Peepers
                SBR MVP
                • 09-22-09
                • 1425

                #42
                After plenty of thought I have decided to let my parlay ride on the Seahawks tomorrow. The value on the Jets ML is very intriguing at +650 but I can’t come to terms with laying money on the lowly Jets. Any other team (minus the Jags) I think I would hedge here but I can’t think of scenario or angle to why the Hawks shouldn’t come out victorious. The facts are Hawks need to win to stay in the division hunt and the Jets need to lose to stay in the Lawrence hunt....I could end up regretting this decision mightily but have to go with my gut here....GO HAWKS!!!
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #43
                  Good luck
                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82839

                    #44
                    Wait until 1H is over. You may not need to hedge if the Seahahwks are up by 3 TDs.
                    Comment
                    • Orbison
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-07-20
                      • 4691

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Mr. Peepers
                      After plenty of thought I have decided to let my parlay ride on the Seahawks tomorrow. The value on the Jets ML is very intriguing at +650 but I can’t come to terms with laying money on the lowly Jets. Any other team (minus the Jags) I think I would hedge here but I can’t think of scenario or angle to why the Hawks shouldn’t come out victorious. The facts are Hawks need to win to stay in the division hunt and the Jets need to lose to stay in the Lawrence hunt....I could end up regretting this decision mightily but have to go with my gut here....GO HAWKS!!!
                      up to +750 now at Betonline

                      now you would only need to risk $626 on the Jets ML to win the risked $4,700 back

                      even if the Jets lose, you'd still profit $2,574 (instead of $3,200)
                      Comment
                      • ace7550
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-08-15
                        • 3729

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Orbison
                        up to +750 now at Betonline

                        now you would only need to risk $626 on the Jets ML to win the risked $4,700 back

                        even if the Jets lose, you'd still profit $2,574 (instead of $3,200)
                        Sharp post. It would be a no brainer for me. It's the NFL. Anything can happen. Hedge it.
                        Comment
                        • ace7550
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-08-15
                          • 3729

                          #47
                          +830 at Heritage
                          Comment
                          • Orbison
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-07-20
                            • 4691

                            #48
                            yep, now only $566 required to hedge

                            locks in either of profit of $3200 or $2634, or a $0 loss

                            seems like a simple decision if he's even one bit unsure
                            Comment
                            • TheLock
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-06-08
                              • 14427

                              #49
                              Anyone rooting for the Jets? Be honest.
                              Comment
                              • Mr. Peepers
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-22-09
                                • 1425

                                #50
                                As initially leaning I decided to let it ride on the Hawks ML. Made a very small play on Jets ML and also teased Jets to +23.5 and the Packers -1.5 just so today isn’t potentially a complete catastrophe. Let’s GO!
                                Comment
                                • Orbison
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-07-20
                                  • 4691

                                  #51
                                  cool good luck hope you sweep
                                  Comment
                                  • Mr. Peepers
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-22-09
                                    • 1425

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Orbison
                                    cool good luck hope you sweep
                                    Thank you. No chance if the Jets can’t make a FG
                                    Comment
                                    • Mr. Peepers
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-22-09
                                      • 1425

                                      #53
                                      Feels good to be on the right side of things! Thank you for all the advice and input SBR Nation!
                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388179

                                        #54
                                        Good win!
                                        Comment
                                        • Mr. Peepers
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-22-09
                                          • 1425

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                          Good win!
                                          Thanks Mr. Gold!
                                          Comment
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