Fading the ESPN experts system..

[beefcake]

Ok, object is to take every OPENING LINE from sbrodds.com where its a pick to -3 and whatever the ESPN pundits take in a high majority to go entirely the opposite way.Their are 10 pickers on there so I will only look at games rated as having 0,1,2 times picked by the pickers and go with those teams where the spread is pk to -3 at the opener. Plays will be rated 3 being the best to 1 being the smallest depending on picked.
So for week 1 we have

3 star pick...Falcons +1-110..0\10 picked
1 star...Carolina +3-110 2/10
1 star rams +2 -110 2\10

Bears have 3 picked from the experts..so I guess a lean there but not an official pick

Object is to cut down on the amount of picks having only 0-2 and a line of pk to 3..either Fav or dog...as we go throughout the season I will filter the results so we can have a better breakdown of say home away...dog and fav

Edit::for record keeping will use money line prices at time of post..

Falcons +105
Carolina +135
Rams+115

[JayLA]

Ok, object is to take every OPENING LINE from sbrodds.com where its a pick to -3 and whatever the ESPN pundits take in a high majority to go entirely the opposite way.Their are 10 pickers on there so I will only look at games rated as having 0,1,2 times picked by the pickers and go with those teams where the spread is pk to -3 at the opener. Plays will be rated 3 being the best to 1 being the smallest depending on picked.
So for week 1 we have

3 star pick...Falcons +1-110..0\10 picked
1 star...Carolina +3-110 2/10
1 star rams +2 -110 2\10

Bears have 3 picked from the experts..so I guess a lean there but not an official pick

Object is to cut down on the amount of picks having only 0-2 and a line of pk to 3..either Fav or dog...as we go throughout the season I will filter the results so we can have a better breakdown of say home away...dog and fav

Edit::for record keeping will use money line prices at time of post..

Falcons +105
Carolina +135
Rams+115

so falcons is the fade? or are you picking the falcons?

[jjgold]

all this means nothing

eventually 50% and lose vig

[beefcake]

so falcons is the fade? or are you picking the falcons?

Fading the Seahawks..Falcons are the play

[Otters27]

Sound cool. Good luck

[Art Vandelay]

Great chance to be profitable!

[tailin junkie]

Add the 8 cbs experts cuz they pick ats and you’re on to something

[beefcake]

Add the 8 cbs experts cuz they pick ats and you’re on to something

Thanks...
🤔

[beefcake]

I really want to fade guys that don't pick ATS or have no gambling acumen.Theory here is that I totally trust the bookmakers over people like Mina Kimes and friggin Trey wingo. Why not try to find every angle available.Over the last few years I've faded the experts using this and done ok.Don't have any records to back it up but always wanted to track to see.Just don't want to make too many plays and limit it to a few.So would like to limit it to 3 or so.Like all kinds of capping I don't use a be all and end all and have always been a different kind of gambler as folks on here can attest.Guess that's just me..but to each their own..

[unlearn]

I like the angle fading anybody who works at ESPN when it comes to the NFL

[beefcake]

1-2 YTD

Week 2..

Miami +6 110 2/10..(opened +3) 1 star

ML +211..

[beefcake]

2-2 ytd