59-59 last year some bad variance early in the year.
I like the over at 54.5. These teams played twice last year, with the Chiefs winning the second game by 20 and scoring 55, the Chiefs lost the first game 31-24, both went over the current total.
The first game between KC and Houston last year was misleading because Mahomes was dealing with an ankle injury that limited his movement. Houston scored 31 both times they played KC last year, obviously with Hopkins who is now gone. Houston returns all 5 starting offensive linemen from last year and even though Obrien makes dumb situational decisions he's still a good play caller who will have extra time to prepare against a defense he saw twice last year and had success against both times. The Chiefs pass rush is solid with Clark and Jones, but their secondary is weak and starting corner Breeland is out. Even with Hopkins gone Stills, a healthy Fuller, and Cooks are a good receivers. Watson has played better in big games going back to college too.
The Chiefs return all important players on offense and lost only 2 offensive linemen, but Houston's pass rush outside of Watt isn't strong and with Houston top corner Conley out for the year Houston's secondary is mediocre. Roby is a decent corner nothing special and Conley's back up Lonnie Johnson was horrible last year. With Conley out Houston will likely play more zone and Reid has been very strong with extra time to prepare, he saw Houston's defense twice last year. No fans should help the offenses too since crowd noise won't impact audibles or the snap count.
I like the over at 54.5. These teams played twice last year, with the Chiefs winning the second game by 20 and scoring 55, the Chiefs lost the first game 31-24, both went over the current total.
The first game between KC and Houston last year was misleading because Mahomes was dealing with an ankle injury that limited his movement. Houston scored 31 both times they played KC last year, obviously with Hopkins who is now gone. Houston returns all 5 starting offensive linemen from last year and even though Obrien makes dumb situational decisions he's still a good play caller who will have extra time to prepare against a defense he saw twice last year and had success against both times. The Chiefs pass rush is solid with Clark and Jones, but their secondary is weak and starting corner Breeland is out. Even with Hopkins gone Stills, a healthy Fuller, and Cooks are a good receivers. Watson has played better in big games going back to college too.
The Chiefs return all important players on offense and lost only 2 offensive linemen, but Houston's pass rush outside of Watt isn't strong and with Houston top corner Conley out for the year Houston's secondary is mediocre. Roby is a decent corner nothing special and Conley's back up Lonnie Johnson was horrible last year. With Conley out Houston will likely play more zone and Reid has been very strong with extra time to prepare, he saw Houston's defense twice last year. No fans should help the offenses too since crowd noise won't impact audibles or the snap count.
