Nicky check this out

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  • onthewhat
    Restricted User
    • 05-14-08
    • 15411

    #1
    Nicky check this out
    Originally posted by VegasDave
    Season: -13.15 Units

    Just one pick today, and I really like it a lot. Going to make it a 2fer.

    Pick 1: San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-135) over Cincinnati Reds (2.70 to win 2)

    http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Arti...nati-reds.aspx

    "If you believe in trends, it doesn’t get a whole lot better than taking the San Francisco Giants on the runline tonight.

    The Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 games, playing great baseball and getting the job done offensively as well as their usual dominant pitching. Of those eight wins, six have come by 2+ runs.

    The Cincinnati Reds are trending in the opposite direction. Their win last night broke an eight game losing streak. The Reds have lost 14 of their last 16 games. The most remarkable thing about that stretch is the number of one run games; just one. Both of their wins were by 2+ runs, and 13 of the 14 losses were by more than one run.

    Heading to the mound for the Cincinnati Reds is Homer Bailey. Heading to the mound for the Giants is Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum. Let’s go ahead and put up both of their season lines;

    Homer Bailey: 8 starts, 43.1 IP, 27 Ks, 7.06 ERA, 1.55 WHIP
    Tim Lincecum: 22 starts, 156.2 IP, 191 Ks, 2.18 ERA, 1.05 WHIP

    Let’s recap.

    A team that has lost 13 games by two runs or more in their last 16 games is heading into San Francisco to face the Giants, who have won five of their last 7 games by two runs or more. The Reds are sending one of their worst pitchers to the mound, and the Giants are sending arguably the best pitcher in the game to the mound.

    Arguably the best pitcher in the game, by the way, who also happens to win more often at home than he does on the road. Tim Lincecum’s home line in 11 starts includes a 7-1 record, an ERA of 1.92, and a WHIP of 1.05. The Giants are 8-3 in San Francisco in games with Lincecum on the mound; and all eight victories have been by 2+ runs.

    "Too easy"? "Trap game"? I don’t know. But I can’t find any logical reason not to love the Giants on the runline tonight.

    The Pick: San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-135)"

    Good Luck!
    Will you tell this kid that stats don't matter, it is already factored in to the line?

    Wait, you already have 200 times
  • Nicky Santoro
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-08-08
    • 16103

    #2
    LOL

    thanks for making my night, onner. onner, this kid won't learn... he gave me that infraction and he will pay big for this... so now he's down just under 16 units.....DON'T MESS WITH THE NICKY SANTORO CURSE.. i warned him the curse would kill him and he laughed at me..

    also, wtf is this?? i don't like what he's doing.. has he always been betting 2 units now? isn't it always 1 unit.. i might be wrong, but i don't like this shit.. now he's allowed to bet over 1 unit.. so basically, when he's down 20 units, he can win 4 games of 5 units each and now he's even?? NO WAY.

    he shoudl ONLY bet 1 unit to risk and 1 unit to win... that's it.. no 2 or 5 unit games.. this is bullshit.. he's cheating.. soon he'll be betting 5 units on a game to try to catch up.. so he loses all year long, then wins 4 straight and now he's even... no fukkin way dave.. dave, stop cheating and bet ONLY 1 unit..
    Comment
    • onthewhat
      Restricted User
      • 05-14-08
      • 15411

      #3
      i agree nicky

      the kid does not wager real money so he can just use a chase system until he is back to "even"

      the kid cannot pick winners, period
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        I could even even on my spreadsheet if I started playing $1500 a game but that is not realistic and i keep it real.

        I think Dave looks at too many stats and they do not mean anything

        I look at nothing and it does not mean anything

        No one wins
        Comment
        • Nicky Santoro
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-08-08
          • 16103

          #5
          onner, i will tell you what.. let me put up my plays here at sbr and let me bet 1 unit to 10 units a game..allow me to chase with a 10 unit play when i've lost 8 straight and i bet you I will be up...

          but even he is down 16 units cheating too.. what does that say about the Nicky Santoro curse..

          don't mess with it.. he still can't win while cheating... i hope this will be a valuable lesson for him for having given me that infraction.. the good news for him is that i remove the hex from him in 23 days..

          dave, i hope you learned your lesson.. don't ever give me an infraction again..
          Comment
          • Regul8er
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-06-07
            • 10666

            #6
            I would never mess with Nicky Santoro

            The guy once participated in the running of the bulls.....and walked.
            Comment
            • TPowell
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-21-08
              • 18842

              #7
              have to look at stats to handicap. No other way you fools. Of course, making plays based off line movement IS effective (thats your half hearted apology Nicky)
              Comment
              • MrMonkey
                SBR MVP
                • 11-09-08
                • 2278

                #8
                3 of the 4 horsemen have spoken, now if the last one can get his head out of the dumpster, we can complete the cycle! Don't mind them Dave!
                Comment
                • VegasDave
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-03-07
                  • 8056

                  #9
                  At least Pat Venditto said he was on the other side of the pick BEFORE the game started .
                  Comment
                  • Willie Bee
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-14-06
                    • 15726

                    #10
                    Originally posted by MrMonkey
                    3 of the 4 horsemen have spoken, now if the last one can get his head out of the dumpster, we can complete the cycle! Don't mind them Dave!
                    Comment
                    • VegasDave
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-03-07
                      • 8056

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                      onner, i will tell you what.. let me put up my plays here at sbr and let me bet 1 unit to 10 units a game..allow me to chase with a 10 unit play when i've lost 8 straight and i bet you I will be up...

                      but even he is down 16 units cheating too.. what does that say about the Nicky Santoro curse..

                      don't mess with it.. he still can't win while cheating... i hope this will be a valuable lesson for him for having given me that infraction.. the good news for him is that i remove the hex from him in 23 days..

                      dave, i hope you learned your lesson.. don't ever give me an infraction again..
                      Honestly Nicky I'm fine with you going on and on about the curse and everything even though its already been pointed out to you over a dozen times that it wasn't me.

                      But please don't accuse me of cheating and making 10 unit plays. Look at my spreadsheet, it is right in my signature. Here is another link. http://vegasdave.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                      In my 183 picks, only 5 have been for more than the standard one unit. Four of those were for two units and one was for three (my game of the year). The three unit game hit. The four two-unit games lost, so all I've done is hurt myself with these.

                      Don't talk shit about how I'm chasing with big 5-10 unit bets, because it isn't true.
                      Comment
                      • CaneDawg
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-25-08
                        • 6256

                        #12
                        Comment
                        • onthewhat
                          Restricted User
                          • 05-14-08
                          • 15411

                          #13
                          Dave is chucked

                          Nice hit on the Reds last night Nicky, it was the sharp side
                          Comment
                          • fiveteamer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-14-08
                            • 10805

                            #14
                            Vegas Dave goes on ESPN and looks at pitcher splits and comes up with his picks.

                            The guy has to be one of the biggest squares, him or CrazyLabia

                            Flip a coin motherfukker.
                            Comment
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