Yes or No on this prop bet?

[stevenash]

Lakers OR Bucks to win the NBA championship this season?

Yes -140
No +120

[carolinakid]

tough call look like the bucks or clippers to me

[pologq]

tempting. what book?

[stevenash]

^
Several off shore and brick and mortar books fave it at either -140/+120.
It was the topic of the day on Sports Wager too.
All three talking head panelists were in agreement that laying the -140 was a solid wager.
After thinking it over I think betting LAL and Milwaukee to win on separate wagers if you can get around +150 or so on each.

The fly in the ointment would be the Clippers though.
The Clips could screw all those bets up.

The original bet (-140/+120) will give you a migraine the more you think about it.

[Cuse0323]

Yes. Bucks are making the finals. Then the Lakers should at least make it to the WCF. That series will be a toss up most likely. Clippers stacked their lineup, but adding my man Dion Waiters was a solid move for the Lakers to keep up. He can come off the bench, and provide instant offense. And he respects LeBron, so there’s a better shot that he avoids shenanigans, and just plays ball.

I hate LeBum, and the Lakers, but I give them the slight edge over the Clippers, and Denver. Home court may give them the advantage needed to make the finals. Regardless, I think the Bucks are winning it all anyway, so yes is the play for me.

[Hman]

No Steve

Much better value here i posted if you believe in those 2 teams

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3579669-strong-value-combining-these-2-nba-futures.html

[pologq]

i think the value is a little low. they are trying to get people away from playing the lakers and bucks separate.

[KVB]

Let's look at it closer.

Put a unit on -140 and if either team wins, you get 1.71 units for .71 unit profit.

Put a half unit on each teams future for a total of 1 unit risked...

MIL: (+225) returns 1.625 units for +.625 unit profit.
LAL: (+275) returns 1.875 units for +.875 unit porfit.

If you can scrape just a little better number on MIL, it might be best to hit the individual futures.

[eaglesfan371]

No at + money all day. Probabilities of those two teams for a couple popular models have them winning at 46-50% total.

Where did you see this? Would like to bet it for a nickel if able.

[KVB]

Agreed, the "no" would be a bet to look at but "popular models" made me laugh, it wouldn't be the reason I would make a bet.

But anytime you can work your way into a "no" of a future bet you can not only feel just how high those futures or in commission, you just might get a good play.

It's also possible to buy the yes and then hedge with a 3rd or fourth team, even during the playoffs, to put your bets in a position to win.

Vig is high there and limits likely low so I can think of craps strategies that could be just "lucrative" but with many more samples to play out in front of us...lol.

Someone offer up +150 for the NO in the OP and I'll bet points with them for sure.

[eaglesfan371]

Agreed, the "no" would be a bet to look at but "popular models" made me laugh, it wouldn't be the reason I would make a bet.

But anytime you can work your way into a "no" of a future bet you can not only feel just how high those futures or in commission, you just might get a good play.

It's also possible to buy the yes and then hedge with a 3rd or fourth team, even during the playoffs, to put your bets in a position to win.

Vig is high there and limits likely low so I can think of craps strategies that could be just "lucrative" but with many more samples to play out in front of us...lol.

Someone offer up +150 for the NO in the OP and I'll bet points with them for sure.

Your post made me laugh. Still haven’t changed in the slightest, always a narcissistic pos. Hope your kids at least love you.

[KVB]

Lol still haven’t changed in the slightest, always a narcissistic pos. Hope your kids at least love you.

If moving money was allowed here, would use one of these models strictly for NBA plays and lay up to $1000 in bitcoin, moderator holds, 50 plays, against your “NBA (joke) fund”.

Something wrong with you guy. You think too much about me. Just because I dont' find value in any prediction models out there, especially the most popular ones, doesn't mean you need to feel inferior.

That means you don't have to pretend to resent me for feeling inferior.

Grow up kid.

[jjgold]

Clips can win it with Leonard at helm

I SAY NO

[eaglesfan371]

Something wrong with you guy. You think too much about me. Just because I dont' find value in any prediction models out there, especially the most popular ones, doesn't mean you need to feel inferior.

That means you don't have to pretend to resent me for feeling inferior.

Grow up kid.

Put it this way, there isn’t a person more on this forum that I hope contracts the coronavirus.

[JIBBBY]

Yup the monkey wrench in that prop is the Clippers.. Tough call to bet on at those odds. I'd lean yes at -140 if I must.

[KVB]

Put it this way, there isn’t a person more on this forum that I hope contracts the coronavirus.

Fight Fight!!!!!

Remember when you couldn't focus because I posted a bikini girl in JJ Golds daily thread. You even complained.

Really? Anything for attention, huh? Fight for no reason online, huh?

How long before your immature ass gets triggered and banned again? Huh?

Still think 50 bets is a good sample size, I see, no wonder you've always felt inferior and can't stand it.

[eaglesfan371]

Fight Fight!!!!!

Remember when you couldn't focus because I posted a bikini girl in JJ Golds daily thread. You even complained.

Really? Anything for attention, huh? Fight for no reason online, huh?

How long before your immature ass gets triggered and banned again? Huh?

Still think 50 bets is a good sample size, I see, no wonder you've always felt inferior and can't stand it.

You should write books, it’ll feed your narcissism. Think about all of the potential readers out there who seek your knowledge.

[johnnyvegas13]

Yes

But more specifically lakers r gonna win

[asiagambler]

hmm no interest. West is too tough to predict

[PaperTrail07]

Bucks seems to be only team that don't turn it up in playoffs.....don't watch much NBA (who wants to watch best players in NBA shoot 45 free throws LOL) but usually teams turn it up....seems bucks do it all season then burn out.....

[johnnyvegas13]

Bucks seems to be only team that don't turn it up in playoffs.....don't watch much NBA (who wants to watch best players in NBA shoot 45 free throws LOL) but usually teams turn it up....seems bucks do it all season then burn out.....

Only team that can challenge them is Celtics imo

[Smoke]

No

Cash it

[stevenash]

Only team that can challenge them is Celtics imo

Maybe the Heat.
They built that ‘defensive wall’ the last time they played the Bucks and totally messed them up.

[eaglesfan371]

Can someone share where this line is offered?? Checked pinny, William hill, Caesars, and Draftkings, nothing.

[stevenash]

^
Check Bovada.
I know they had it a few days ago.
Thing is with some of these props is books hang a number, post it, take it down, tweak the number and then repost it again.

That prop is out there just have to seek it out.
Like I said yesterday that prop was the major topic of discussion on the Daily Wager show.

[eaglesfan371]

^
Check Bovada.
I know they had it a few days ago.
Thing is with some of these props is books hang a number, post it, take it down, tweak the number and then repost it again.

That prop is out there just have to seek it out.
Like I said yesterday that prop was the major topic of discussion on the Daily Wager show.

Do not have access to Bovada, 5dimes, etc. If anyone sees it at a retail US shop please post, would like to bet it. Thanks

[DrunkHorseplayer]

Easy call; takes the YES.

[Otters27]

Yes

[mikejamm]

Do not have access to Bovada, 5dimes, etc. If anyone sees it at a retail US shop please post, would like to bet it. Thanks

This piece of shit is so broke and stupid, he can’t even get an account at 5Dimes or Bovada!