Nicky: Set SBR Bash Odds

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  • onthewhat
    Restricted User
    • 05-14-08
    • 15411

    #1
    Nicky: Set SBR Bash Odds
    Nicky, posters are dropping like flies for the bash...

    Set the line on number of posters who aren't on staff attend bash.

    I think around 75 signed up originally...I'm setting the line at o/u 28.5

    Nicky set your line
  • sickler
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-05-08
    • 15006

    #2
    From the initial sign-up, 40-50% of non-staff will bail.

    Contain the storytelling next time, playas.
    Comment
    • Nicky Santoro
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-08-08
      • 16103

      #3
      How many posters will end up showing up?

      36.5 un -120
      36.5 ov even


      _____

      Will there be at least 1 pushing and shoving incident?

      NO -175
      YES +155

      _____

      If onner showed up, would there have been at least 1 pushing and shoving incident?

      YES -385
      NO +325
      Comment
      • jackpot269
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-24-07
        • 12842

        #4
        Ill take the over for a 12 pack of high end malt beverage
        Comment
        • sickler
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 06-05-08
          • 15006

          #5
          Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
          Will there be at least 1 pushing and shoving incident?

          NO -175
          YES +155
          Pimike is going to take a slap to the side of the head. I have this on good authority.
          Comment
          • MrMonkey
            SBR MVP
            • 11-09-08
            • 2278

            #6
            Alittle depressing to see that low of a number Onner! Can't believe from 75 it could go any lower than 65 and they would be last minute dropouts! How many years has the Bash been in existance?

            My belief has always been concerning these type of get togethers, fuk anybody that doesn't show (legit or bogus). Monkey will have good time no matter who shows!
            Comment
            • The Prick
              SBR MVP
              • 08-31-05
              • 4965

              #7
              nickay im thinkin i want yer over for the max....let ya move the line an hit it again fer the max.....etc. 'til ya get over 50
              Comment
              • Nicky Santoro
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-08-08
                • 16103

                #8
                btw, i am not including if some guy brings his wife, or GF, or boyfriend, etc.. if paver brings his BF, then it counts only as 1, not 2..

                wives and GF's don't count..
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82907

                  #9
                  This is Willie's official list:

                  AgainstAllOdds
                  AMBlai01
                  bettilimbroke999
                  Bill Dozer
                  BJE
                  blackbart
                  blittydeuce
                  BobHarvey
                  BobbyBaseballs
                  Bread
                  BrentCrude
                  brock
                  Cabo
                  Cappy
                  Casperwaits
                  CrazyLou
                  d2bets
                  diogee
                  donjuan
                  Doug
                  durito
                  dwaechte
                  exstatman
                  Flight
                  flyingillini
                  Ganchrow
                  GJMike
                  gym rat
                  hanco21
                  HAPPY BOY
                  idontlikerocks
                  InTheHole
                  Iwinyourmoney
                  jackpot269
                  Jose
                  JoshW
                  jpowderly
                  Junkyard Dog
                  kmarinouofm
                  konck
                  LVHerbie
                  madmaxx
                  Matt Rain
                  milwaukee mike
                  MonkeyF0cker
                  Mr D
                  mr. leisure
                  MrX
                  Pair of 5s Sir
                  pavyracer
                  payingthejuice
                  Peep
                  pimike
                  Poker_Beast
                  PuckOff
                  reno cool
                  RickySteve
                  rm18
                  RogueJuror
                  ryanspeer2001
                  sam9ball
                  SBR_John
                  SexyMit
                  Shark79
                  Skidcom
                  Smogs
                  sofos
                  SSLP
                  Teela
                  The HG
                  The HOFF
                  TheGambler
                  topgame85
                  xxdjstriderxx
                  VegasDave
                  Whitey
                  Willie Bee

                  There are 68 non-employees. I will take the over 36.5. Can't imagine 32 people will break their word.
                  Comment
                  • Willie Bee
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-14-06
                    • 15726

                    #10
                    Originally posted by onthewhat
                    I'm setting the line at o/u 28.5
                    Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                    How many posters will end up showing up?

                    36.5 un -120
                    36.5 ov even
                    Gimme' the Over on both for the maximum. Now, some odds of my own...

                    Would Nicky or Onner really pay up if they accepted a wager on this?

                    No: -550
                    Yes: +440
                    Comment
                    • sickler
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 06-05-08
                      • 15006

                      #11
                      Originally posted by onthewhat
                      Nicky, posters are dropping like flies for the bash...

                      Set the line on number of posters who aren't on staff attend bash.

                      I think around 75 signed up originally...I'm setting the line at o/u 28.5

                      Nicky set your line
                      The sign-up thread shows over a hundred. SBR staff members are included in that count but surely they don't number over 25.

                      Nicky will have to readjust the odds. I believe he was going by the number 75.
                      Comment
                      • Nicky Santoro
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-08-08
                        • 16103

                        #12
                        Originally posted by sickler
                        The sign-up thread shows over a hundred. SBR staff members are included in that count but surely they don't number over 25.

                        Nicky will have to readjust the odds. I believe he was going by the number 75.
                        yes sickler, that's right. onner said it was 75... if it was 115 posters signed up, then my O/U would have been 71.5 flat..

                        willie, why would you think i'd stiff anyone? first of all, i wouldn't book this bet cause i have no control of this list, of who's coming, who's not, etc.. why would i want to book action on stuff like this and with real money for?

                        i only book action on things i know a lot about..
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388179

                          #13
                          I will take over for $1000

                          although Nicky's poster odds are usually dead on.
                          Comment
                          • Nicky Santoro
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-08-08
                            • 16103

                            #14
                            you realize it's 71.5, NOT 36.5 now.. just to let you know..
                            Comment
                            • sickler
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 06-05-08
                              • 15006

                              #15
                              Nicky, 103 signed up. Pavy crossed off the staff, which is 9.

                              That leaves 94 posters.
                              Comment
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