Tuesday Plays??? Let’s Hear From Some Losers

Hot Jerry · 08-20-19, 08:12 AM

Philadelphia , Atlanta , TB in MLB today !!

KVB · 08-20-19, 12:16 PM

DET, OAK, and TOR are all on the Contrarian RL Fund radar.

Anyone paying any attention knows we are hoping for more opportunity in that Fund as we believe we are turning a market corner for the rest of this year and then some. In fact, after being down -10.33 units, I've increased my stake and thus my units in the Fund, hitting a +182 for the increased unit.

This is likely to be effective at least through this year.

jjgold · 08-20-19, 12:25 PM

KVB call me

Runeblade · 08-20-19, 12:30 PM

JJgold, How do I post a spread sheet on my thread like you have it?

JIBBBY · 08-20-19, 12:57 PM

Twins in a rebound game at home. Can't see them losing to the Sox back to back.. Should hit.. Even like the -1.5 at even odds.

https://sports.yahoo.com/pineda-hopes-put-twins-back-track-vs-white-065557489--mlb.html

KVB · 08-20-19, 01:03 PM

Bouncing between the picks thread and this one here.

Originally posted by KVB

PIT on the Contrarian Fund radar again.

Just got a bad feeling about these guys and while we normally see some give and take in the marketplace between teams, sometimes noticeably after extreme results, Pit seems like a literal pitfall here.

If it triggers it triggers, and it might trigger.

shocka1212 · 08-20-19, 01:06 PM

Twins.

KVB · 08-20-19, 01:12 PM

CHW is on the Contrarian Fund radar but not because it thinks it's the spot for the win, but more because if the play this game 3 times, CHW wins more than once, but not twice.

There is value there.

tiffo · 08-20-19, 01:18 PM

Tampa bay

shocka1212 · 08-20-19, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by shocka1212

Twins.

not as much as I had on yesterdays cards game but a nice amount.

KVB · 08-20-19, 04:16 PM

Picked up some big dogs for the Fund...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

955	20-Aug	MIA +225
971		DET +240

...

KVB · 08-20-19, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Phils here

Don't like Philly, it's BOS or pass.

Pitt and the UNDER both could trigger in the Contrarian Fund.

Detroit +1.5 will very likely trigger in the RL Fund.

jjgold · 08-20-19, 04:47 PM

Why are all the winners here?

pickle_texas · 08-20-19, 05:09 PM

nats
braves rl
dodgers rl
cubs

BIGDAY · 08-20-19, 05:15 PM

Tribe.

2daBank · 08-20-19, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Twins in a rebound game at home. Can't see them losing to the Sox back to back.. Should hit.. Even like the -1.5 at even odds.

https://sports.yahoo.com/pineda-hope...7489--mlb.html

Much rather play the ff -.5 and swallow a little juice, I just don’t like the idea of trusting minny pen combined w being at home where I’m far less inclined to lay the 1.5.

2daBank · 08-20-19, 05:20 PM

Originally posted by BIGDAY

Tribe.

I like the ff under in that game.

2daBank · 08-20-19, 05:22 PM

Pretty confident cards take 2 in this series so while not thrilled trusting wacha he was good his last start and the price right to chase 2marro if they lose this one.

KVB · 08-20-19, 05:24 PM

Fuk, added PIT to the Fund..

They can suck a golf through a garden hose. That's how much they suck.

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

952

20-Aug

PIT +144

Going to the well again. Again, PIT and the UNDER very decent contrarian plays...

I wonder if she can do the same...

Jerm3462 · 08-20-19, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Phils here

Tailed.
What's up JJ? 👋

KVB · 08-20-19, 06:04 PM

Picked up that DET +1.5...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...

971

20-Aug

DET +1.5 (+130)

Caught the 130.

OAK and TOR both still on the RL Fund radar.

JIBBBY · 08-20-19, 06:53 PM

KVB how we doing lately? We winning money? Talk to me pal.. You seem on it lately..

KVB · 08-20-19, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

KVB how we doing lately? We winning money? Talk to me pal.. You seem on it lately..

Winning, but it's been a grind...

But it's those UNDERs that keep digging at us...

19-Aug	1 Unit
	per bet

OVER	4.83
UNDER	-8.69

Total	-3.86

Here's the Contrarian Fund overall...

19-Aug	Plays	Units
Overall	538	4.63
Totals	175	-3.86
ML's	363	8.49

Here's today's pending...

952	20-Aug	PIT +144
955		MIA +225
971		DET +240

JIBBBY · 08-20-19, 07:02 PM

^^ Me too KVB.. Grind is good if you win over time consistently. Embrace it!!! Keep it up bud!!!

You chase or load up chances are you will get bank rolled in this sports gambling game we play..

Dodgers with Kershaw back at home look like a lock to me after 2 days off and coming off losses in Atlanta. Gotta pay to play with these odds though tonight in the late game..

Toronto Blue Jays 3 - Los Angeles Dodgers 16: Final score, results, recap, box score, stats - Yahoo Sports

https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/toronto-blue-jays-los-angeles-dodgers-390820119/

Sports News, Scores, Fantasy Games

https://sports.yahoo.com/dodgers-kershaw-looks-stay-rhythm-vs-blue-jays-234302917--mlb.html

KVB · 08-20-19, 07:26 PM

Both MIA and DET scored first.

DET already lost the lead.

KVB · 08-20-19, 08:14 PM

Added Toronto RL...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has added...

979

20-Aug

TOR +1.5 (+150)

...

jjgold · 08-20-19, 09:25 PM

1-1

JIBBBY · 08-20-19, 10:08 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Twins in a rebound game at home. Can't see them losing to the Sox back to back.. Should hit.. Even like the -1.5 at even odds.

https://sports.yahoo.com/pineda-hope...7489--mlb.html

Cash it.. Easy..

Ticket#:4228941 Aug 20 08:10 PM	Aug 20 09:45 AM	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [970] MIN -200 ( ACTION )	212.00 / 106.00
Ticket#:4229111 Aug 20 08:10 PM	Aug 20 01:59 PM	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [970] MIN -1½-110 ( R LóPEZ -R / M PINEDA -R )	112.00 / 101.82

shocka1212 · 08-21-19, 01:18 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Cash it.. Easy..

Ticket#:4228941 Aug 20 08:10 PM	Aug 20 09:45 AM	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [970] MIN -200 ( ACTION )	212.00 / 106.00
Ticket#:4229111 Aug 20 08:10 PM	Aug 20 01:59 PM	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [970] MIN -1½-110 ( R LóPEZ -R / M PINEDA -R )	112.00 / 101.82

never in doubt

JIBBBY · 08-21-19, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by shocka1212

never in doubt

I saw you had that as well. Gonna take the Twinnies again this morning in the early game.. Just can't see them losing this series at home to the SOX..

https://sports.yahoo.com/twins-white-sox-send-13-game-winners-064348631--mlb.html

shocka1212 · 08-21-19, 01:41 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

I saw you had that as well. Gonna take the Twinnies again this morning in the early game.. Just can't see them losing this series at home to the SOX..

https://sports.yahoo.com/twins-white...8631--mlb.html

I took the Mets/Indians over 9 -105 last night. saw its up to 9.5 now. its worth a look

Sam Odom · 08-21-19, 03:00 PM

KVB · 08-21-19, 03:12 PM

Tuesday's results, only PIT came through...

Originally posted by KVB

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 541 plays...

952	20-Aug	PIT +144	1.44
955		MIA +225	-1
971		DET +240	-1

		Tue	-0.56

		Weeks 1-5	-1.32
		Weeks 6-10	-1.23
		Weeks 11-15	-4.9
		Weeks 16-20	6.19
		Week 21	4.49
		Mon	1.4

		Total	4.07

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 90 plays...

917	19-Aug	DET +1.5 (+182)	1.82
971	20-Aug	DET +1.5 (+130)	-1
979		TOR +1.5 (+150)	-1

		Week 22	-0.18

		Weeks 1-5	-4.92
		Weeks 6-10	-4.59
		Weeks 11-15	4.86
		Weeks 16-20	-4.55
		Week 21	-1.13

		Total	-10.51

A few mistakes between both Funds and everything is even.

Here's the RL Fund chart, we see a lot more of a chance for the chart to rise, than fall...

Could I be underestimating the effects of the juiced ball on the favorites winning, and by how much?

Could that be making a difference with this particular set of 90 runline plays?

Originally posted by KVB

...Now the extra runs do favor the favorites, in fact, a place where LT is negative, but it would be very, very difficult for LT to move forward business wise with his method if forced to speculate on just what the adjustment would be moving forward in the season.

Maybe there's just not enough data, maybe there are just too many assumptions to make and few ways to test them to make a decision to invest...

Will be interesting to see...