Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

DiggityDaggityDo · 08-19-19, 11:36 PM

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KVB · 08-19-19, 11:40 PM

Da Manster! · 08-20-19, 12:21 AM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

More like:

what I tell you bout stealin' Fidels private home videos?...

KVB · 08-20-19, 12:21 AM

For much of the day and even by the close of the markets PIT was one of the "sharpest" plays we've seen in a week. There were many factors making it an ideal play and we were glad to get the meager price we got.

That money fell huge and it's nothing more than an attempt to scare off so many successful strategies down the stretch here because it's not what they bring; it's how they bring it.

Despite the debacle in PIT, it was a good day for the Funds.

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 538 plays...

902	19-Aug	PIT +107	-1
903		SD +138	1.38
914		TEX +102	1.02

		Mon	1.4

		Weeks 1-5	-1.32
		Weeks 6-10	-1.23
		Weeks 11-15	-4.9
		Weeks 16-20	6.19
		Week 21	4.49

		Total	4.63

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 88 plays...

917	19-Aug	DET +1.5 (+182)	1.82

		Week 22	1.82

		Weeks 1-5	-4.92
		Weeks 6-10	-4.59
		Weeks 11-15	4.86
		Weeks 16-20	-4.55
		Week 21	-1.13

		Total	-8.51

Like I said, we are expecting to win more units than we lose over the near term and the rest of the season in the RL Fund. Today was a start.

KVB · 08-20-19, 12:37 AM

Here's the Totals breakdown. The UNDERs, of which there were 10 in a row from Aug 13 to Aug 18 continue to under perform.

KVB MLB Contrarian Fund TOTALS performance:
19-Aug	1 Unit
	per bet	Wins	Loss	Push	Cancel	Total

OVER	4.83	35	28	1	1	65
UNDER	-8.69	48	54	5	3	110

Total	-3.86	83	82	6	4	175

19-Aug	Plays	Units
Overall	538	4.63
Totals	175	-3.86
ML's	363	8.49

Hitting nearly + 8.5 units on the moneyline here, and just getting back half the mistakes on the moneylines would double the ML's ROI.

It's the UNDERs, which are nearly twice as many plays as the OVERs that are holding the market back and negating all of the Fund's moneyline profit.

Again, post collapse, the chart looks healthy, it just takes patience...

KVB · 08-20-19, 01:15 AM

KVB · 08-20-19, 11:10 AM

Roll up a fat one and pass it around.

I want to get blunted my brother.

KVB · 08-20-19, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by KVB

DET, OAK, and TOR are all on the Contrarian RL Fund radar.

Anyone paying any attention knows we are hoping for more opportunity in that Fund as we believe we are turning a market corner for the rest of this year and then some. In fact, after being down -10.33 units, I've increased my stake and thus my units in the Fund, hitting a +182 for the increased unit.

This is likely to be effective at least through this year...

In one week all the charts I've posted previously will be deleted, but I've saved all those screen shots by date. It doesn't really matter, I thin my points have been made with the charts and there are some football ones I still want to go over.

I kind of wish I had posted all those basketball plays I made last season. There was a great comeback and those charts would be great too. It's better than football because we have more plays to chart, it's more meaningful, like MLB.

The RL Fund only has 88 plays, but the chart still shows patterns...

KVB · 08-20-19, 12:54 PM

KVB · 08-20-19, 01:01 PM

PIT on the Contrarian Fund radar again.

Just got a bad feeling about these guys and while we normally see some give and take in the marketplace between teams, sometimes noticeably after extreme results, Pit seems like a literal pitfall here.

If it triggers it triggers, and it might trigger.

KVB · 08-20-19, 04:01 PM

KVB · 08-20-19, 04:15 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

955	20-Aug	MIA +225
971		DET +240

KVB · 08-20-19, 05:23 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

952

20-Aug

PIT +144

Going to the well again. Again, PIT and the UNDER very decent contrarian plays.

KVB · 08-20-19, 05:30 PM

turtledoves · 08-20-19, 05:34 PM

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KVB · 08-20-19, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by turtledoves

https://twitter.com/NBCSWhiteSox/sta...06474843107330

Watch them all...

Page Not Found - 404

https://www.si.com/mlb/2019/08/16/bill-walton-white-sox-broadcast-hilarious-video

You may have followed an outdated link, or have mistyped a URL

KVB · 08-20-19, 05:37 PM

Afternoon strawberry cooler hitting me hard, lol.

Just waiting for DET +1.5 to pull off of +125.

Looking for a little +130 here.

turtledoves · 08-20-19, 05:43 PM

gonna have some new outs soon

KVB · 08-20-19, 06:03 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...

971

20-Aug

DET +1.5 (+130)

Caught the 130.

OAK and TOR both still on the RL Fund radar.

KVB · 08-20-19, 07:30 PM

Both big dogs with the early 1-0 lead.

KVB · 08-20-19, 08:13 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has added...

979

20-Aug

TOR +1.5 (+150)

KVB · 08-20-19, 09:46 PM

Da Manster! · 08-20-19, 09:55 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Are we playing Charades?...hmmm!...I got it!...Pornograffiti!...(Extreme's album)

KVB · 08-20-19, 09:58 PM

KVB · 08-20-19, 10:48 PM

Da Manster! · 08-20-19, 10:53 PM

Originally posted by KVB

damn I belched!...

KVB · 08-21-19, 11:41 AM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

913

21-Aug

CHW +163

It's an early game today.

KVB · 08-21-19, 03:09 PM

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 541 plays...

952	20-Aug	PIT +144	1.44
955		MIA +225	-1
971		DET +240	-1

		Tue	-0.56

		Weeks 1-5	-1.32
		Weeks 6-10	-1.23
		Weeks 11-15	-4.9
		Weeks 16-20	6.19
		Week 21	4.49
		Mon	1.4

		Total	4.07

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 90 plays...

917	19-Aug	DET +1.5 (+182)	1.82
971	20-Aug	DET +1.5 (+130)	-1
979		TOR +1.5 (+150)	-1

		Week 22	-0.18

		Weeks 1-5	-4.92
		Weeks 6-10	-4.59
		Weeks 11-15	4.86
		Weeks 16-20	-4.55
		Week 21	-1.13

		Total	-10.51

A few mistakes between both Funds and everything is even.

Here's the RL Fund chart, we see a lot more of a chance for the chart to rise, than fall...

Could I be underestimating the effects of the juiced ball on the favorites winning, and by how much?

Could that be making a difference with this particular set of 90 runline plays?

Originally posted by KVB

...Now the extra runs do favor the favorites, in fact, a place where LT is negative, but it would be very, very difficult for LT to move forward business wise with his method if forced to speculate on just what the adjustment would be moving forward in the season.

Maybe there's just not enough data, maybe there are just too many assumptions to make and few ways to test them to make a decision to invest...

Will be interesting to see.

stevenash · 08-21-19, 03:11 PM

And now for something completely different.

Rhiannon Gidden can harmonize like no other.
And she's dreamy too.
Give it a chance fellas.
Your pal Nasher wouldn't steer you wrong. (OK maybe he would but not this time)

DiggityDaggityDo · 08-21-19, 03:15 PM

Originally posted by KVB

KVB · 08-21-19, 03:15 PM

Originally posted by Da Manster!

damn I belched!...

DiggityDaggityDo · 08-21-19, 03:25 PM

stevenash · 08-21-19, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

I like the pussy.
Whaaaa? I was talking about the cat.

KVB · 08-21-19, 04:13 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

907	21-Aug	MIA +173
917		LAA +113
925		PHI +150

DiggityDaggityDo · 08-21-19, 04:45 PM

Ya'll probably gonna want an Oreo cookie after you smoke up.

Just ONE cookie.