Good Value on the Cubs to win the Division at +135

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  • thomorino
    Restricted User
    • 06-01-17
    • 45842

    #1
    Good Value on the Cubs to win the Division at +135
    I'm on the Cubs to win the division at +135. The Cubs should be in first place by a significant margin but their bullpen was garbage early in the year so their run differential didn't matter since they kept losing close games. The Cubs bullpen is better with Kimbrel and every other team in the division has significant flaws. Milwaukee's pitching is bad and Yelich is the only consistent hitter for average, Cardinals offense has been bad, Reds offense is inconsistent, and Pirates pitching is inconsistent. The Cubs starting rotation of Quintana, Hendriks, Lester, Darvish has looked better recently, and Hamels is the best in this division by far. Cubs offense is as good as any offense in the division as well.
  • jtoler
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-17-13
    • 30967

    #2
    why odds so low only 2 games up with about 70 more to go
    Comment
    • thomorino
      Restricted User
      • 06-01-17
      • 45842

      #3
      Originally posted by jtoler
      why odds so low only 2 games up with about 70 more to go
      I don't think the odds are low at all, the Cubs would be up 7-8 games but the bullpen was trash, now they have Kimbrel and will likely add more arms in the bullpen at the deadline. the cubs run differential is the best in the division by far. Milwaukee isn't the same team this year.
      Comment
      • jtoler
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-17-13
        • 30967

        #4
        oh ok
        Comment
        • lonegambler23
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-22-16
          • 9760

          #5
          +135 isnt value
          Comment
          • thomorino
            Restricted User
            • 06-01-17
            • 45842

            #6
            Originally posted by lonegambler23
            +135 isnt value
            Not that I care about your opinion +135 is great value since I think the odds of the Cubs to win the division is better than 50%.
            Comment
            • Jeff_Black
              SBR MVP
              • 04-04-15
              • 3571

              #7
              Originally posted by lonegambler23
              +135 isnt value
              I am still trying to understand the logic. There are better ways to invest money for a few months then something that isn't guaranteed or has no value taking it now.
              Comment
              • thomorino
                Restricted User
                • 06-01-17
                • 45842

                #8
                Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                I am still trying to understand the logic. There are better ways to invest money for a few months then something that isn't guaranteed or has no value taking it now.
                There's less than 70 games left, the best portfolio average 10-12% a year and I can make these bets and still have capital to use in other ways.
                Comment
                • HurryUpAndDrink
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-23-13
                  • 13017

                  #9
                  fukkk offf!!!!
                  Comment
                  • thomorino
                    Restricted User
                    • 06-01-17
                    • 45842

                    #10
                    Originally posted by HurryUpAndDrink
                    fukkk offf!!!!
                    Fuk off
                    Comment
                    • TheMoneyShot
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-14-07
                      • 28672

                      #11
                      Value means winning!!!

                      When are you going to learn???
                      Comment
                      • Emily_Haines
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-14-09
                        • 15917

                        #12
                        How does he even have any money left to bet? And he said he put 5 units on this. Lol
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Emily_Haines
                          How does he even have any money left to bet? And he said he put 5 units on this. Lol
                          Hey pal, as a cards fan this thread is awesome!
                          Comment
                          • thomorino
                            Restricted User
                            • 06-01-17
                            • 45842

                            #14
                            Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                            Value means winning!!!

                            When are you going to learn???
                            Originally posted by Emily_Haines
                            How does he even have any money left to bet? And he said he put 5 units on this. Lol
                            Fuk off
                            Comment
                            • thomorino
                              Restricted User
                              • 06-01-17
                              • 45842

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                              Hey pal, as a cards fan this thread is awesome!
                              Fuk off
                              Comment
                              • big joe 1212
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 06-01-08
                                • 19380

                                #16
                                Cubs might miss playoffs
                                Comment
                                • Jeff_Black
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-04-15
                                  • 3571

                                  #17
                                  Another loss for the Cubs today
                                  Comment
                                  • sosawestbrook
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-10-16
                                    • 3135

                                    #18
                                    They probably win but it won’t be a piece of cake. That division is scrappy
                                    Comment
                                    • sosawestbrook
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-10-16
                                      • 3135

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                                      Another loss for the Cubs today
                                      Woah relax kemosabe
                                      Comment
                                      • thomorino
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 06-01-17
                                        • 45842

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by sosawestbrook
                                        They probably win but it won’t be a piece of cake. That division is scrappy
                                        Yeah I don't see the Cubs pulling away quickly, the bullpen's middle relief is still an issue, but I think that's the value, if it was easy the price wouldn't bet +135.
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Marina you should get a shirt that says good value on it and then under an empty bank account logo
                                          Comment
                                          • thomorino
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 06-01-17
                                            • 45842

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                            Marina you should get a shirt that says good value on it and then under an empty bank account logo
                                            Fuk off
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by thomorino
                                              Fuk off
                                              What can I say, great day for cards. We win, Brewers lose, cubs about to lose, and you picked cubs to win division. I honestly didn’t have much hope for this season until just now!!!

                                              I know our offense has stunk but can goldsmidt have really fallen this far this fast? He not close to old yet! Surely he gonna have a better second half? He gets back to the .900 ops guy he been the last 5 years, Ozuna comes back from injury, one of our young hitters gets hot (O’Neal has been tearing it up all a sudden), they don’t have to be great offensively, the starting pitching has been really good after the terrible 1st month. The bullpen has been great, losing hicks hurts but Martinez will be fine as closer and they got several other good arms in the pen. There a lot of pitching on the market, wouldn’t surprise me if they added there. Bat might be better but not many impact bats available.

                                              I wouldn’t count out the reds either, I made a few small future plays on them over the asb, while you making excuses for cubs if it wasn’t for reds poor start they would be leading the division.

                                              Unless cubs find a way to win some road games where they been awful they gonna get passed by someone who plays consistent ball in 2nd half.
                                              Comment
                                              • lonegambler23
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 06-22-16
                                                • 9760

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by jjgold
                                                Marina you should get a shirt that says good value on it and then under an empty bank account logo
                                                ahahahaha
                                                Comment
                                                • thomorino
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 06-01-17
                                                  • 45842

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank

                                                  What can I say, great day for cards. We win, Brewers lose, cubs about to lose, and you picked cubs to win division. I honestly didn’t have much hope for this season until just now!!!

                                                  I know our offense has stunk but can goldsmidt have really fallen this far this fast? He not close to old yet! Surely he gonna have a better second half? He gets back to the .900 ops guy he been the last 5 years, Ozuna comes back from injury, one of our young hitters gets hot (O’Neal has been tearing it up all a sudden), they don’t have to be great offensively, the starting pitching has been really good after the terrible 1st month. The bullpen has been great, losing hicks hurts but Martinez will be fine as closer and they got several other good arms in the pen. There a lot of pitching on the market, wouldn’t surprise me if they added there. Bat might be better but not many impact bats available.

                                                  I wouldn’t count out the reds either, I made a few small future plays on them over the asb, while you making excuses for cubs if it wasn’t for reds poor start they would be leading the division.
                                                  Fuk off
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thomorino
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 06-01-17
                                                    • 45842

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by lonegambler23
                                                    ahahahaha
                                                    Fuk off
                                                    Comment
                                                    • thomorino
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 06-01-17
                                                      • 45842

                                                      #27
                                                      I think the Reds are the biggest threat to the CUbs in the division, underrated pitching. I don't think their offense is good enough right now but they might make a move at the deadline.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Headsterx
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-03-16
                                                        • 23101

                                                        #28
                                                        Damn, I was wondering why they were partying last night in the streets of St. Louis and Milwaukee.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • thomorino
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 06-01-17
                                                          • 45842

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Headsterx
                                                          Damn, I was wondering why they were partying last night in the streets of St. Louis and Milwaukee.
                                                          Fuk off
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Booya711
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-20-11
                                                            • 27329

                                                            #30
                                                            Welcome to last place Chicago!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pimike
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-23-08
                                                              • 37140

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Booya711
                                                              Welcome to last place Chicago!!
                                                              No way pal...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • thomorino
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 06-01-17
                                                                • 45842

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Booya711
                                                                Welcome to last place Chicago!!
                                                                Fuk off
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sweep
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-09-10
                                                                  • 16753

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Where does this guy get his money He gets barbequed every week
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • thomorino
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 06-01-17
                                                                    • 45842

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by sweep
                                                                    Where does this guy get his money He gets barbequed every week
                                                                    Fuk off
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thomorino
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 06-01-17
                                                                      • 45842

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Not that I care broke dik sweep with his 5 thousand posts about how he made 2 bucks playing poker once again showing how dumb and broke we all know him to be.
                                                                      Comment
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