NFL Preseason - Your thoughts...

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Robust
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-08
    • 3254

    #1
    NFL Preseason - Your thoughts...
    I usually don't play preseason as the better team sends out the shittiest players and lose..

    but that has always made me wonder how many dogs win preseason games.. I never traked this data, but I do seem to remember many winning..

    If you HAD to place a DOG bet, who would you pick? I am really liking the broncos.. LOL

    fyi: I probably won't bet preseason, but I am itching since I stopped betting baseball (after it consistently kicked my ass )

    Robust
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    NFL Preseason is the easiest sport to make money in. Yes, even easier than NFL regular season and Playoffs. I am over 60% in preseason since 2000.
    Comment
    • Robust
      SBR MVP
      • 09-13-08
      • 3254

      #3
      can I get some pointers from ya?

      is it a "system" like betting all dogs or similar?

      I have no idea who to go with as you never know who is actually gonna take the field and for how long..

      Robust
      Comment
      • RageWizard
        SBR MVP
        • 09-01-06
        • 3008

        #4
        I have been keeping track of all Preseason game sides and totals since 2005, and have a crappy pivot table that I will post up here for ya. I made this pivot table on excel 2003 at work, and that is what we still use there. Looking at it at home on this crappy vista version, I lose most of the information on the pivot table, but the data is still there. Can someone tell me how I can get it to display the data on this crappy vista version? WTF.
        Attached Files
        Comment
        • betplom
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-20-06
          • 13444

          #5
          Originally posted by Robust
          NFL Preseason - Your thoughts...
          My belief is that pre season NFL games aren't as important as regular season games.
          Comment
          • pavyracer
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-12-07
            • 82907

            #6
            Atlanta Falcons Superbowl Champions
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              I will actually have a Preseason article up on the NFL page of sbrforum.com in the morning.

              For basic starters, try to avoid betting on favorites or Overs in the first two weeks. Also pay attention to each coach's past history in preseason, and keep a close eye on the websites of the local newspapers in each market, as preseason NFL is the only sport where coaches often reveal their game plans and player rotations before the games, and actually stick by them.
              Comment
              • donjuan
                SBR MVP
                • 08-29-07
                • 3993

                #8
                Best time for teasers.
                Comment
                • Robust
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-13-08
                  • 3254

                  #9
                  Originally posted by RageWizard
                  I have been keeping track of all Preseason game sides and totals since 2005, and have a crappy pivot table that I will post up here for ya. I made this pivot table on excel 2003 at work, and that is what we still use there. Looking at it at home on this crappy vista version, I lose most of the information on the pivot table, but the data is still there. Can someone tell me how I can get it to display the data on this crappy vista version? WTF.
                  just dl and instantly noticed your font is white!

                  change the font color to black and you will be good to go.

                  Robust

                  edit: forgot to say THANKS for the spreadsheet bro.. excellent source of info..
                  Comment
                  • Robust
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-13-08
                    • 3254

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    I will actually have a Preseason article up on the NFL page of sbrforum.com in the morning.

                    For basic starters, try to avoid betting on favorites or Overs in the first two weeks. Also pay attention to each coach's past history in preseason, and keep a close eye on the websites of the local newspapers in each market, as preseason NFL is the only sport where coaches often reveal their game plans and player rotations before the games, and actually stick by them.
                    i look forward to reading it LT.. and thanks for the tips..

                    this vein is itching something aweful.. lol.. might just post up some pre-sea bets

                    Robust
                    Comment
                    • Robust
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-13-08
                      • 3254

                      #11
                      Originally posted by donjuan
                      Best time for teasers.
                      big teasers? (7+) or smaller? parlayed or??

                      i can see how a 3 picker teaser of 7 would have a good chance...

                      Robust
                      Comment
                      • Robust
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-13-08
                        • 3254

                        #12
                        Originally posted by betplom
                        My belief is that pre season NFL games aren't as important as regular season games.
                        i'm sick bro.. i want to gamble.. don't care about their importance



                        Robust
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Robust
                          big teasers? (7+) or smaller? parlayed or??

                          i can see how a 3 picker teaser of 7 would have a good chance...

                          Robust
                          Wong underdog teasers, i.e., dogs that are between +1.5 and +2.5 on the straight line, as they cross the 3 and 7 when teased.
                          Comment
                          • donjuan
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-29-07
                            • 3993

                            #14
                            As LT said, teasers that cross the 3 and 7. They're better than regular season teasers because preseason totals are lower.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              If I make a bet it is usually the under, or a very good team in 1st half or the dog for the game.
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by jjgold
                                If I make a bet it is usually the under, or a very good team in 1st half or the dog for the game.
                                It used to be that you can blindly bet every Under in Week 1, but surprise surprise, the books caught on and started posting much lower totals first week of preseason.
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Robust
                                  i look forward to reading it LT.. and thanks for the tips..

                                  this vein is itching something aweful.. lol.. might just post up some pre-sea bets

                                  Robust
                                  Preseason NFL: Easy money for sharp bettors
                                  Comment
                                  • RageWizard
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-01-06
                                    • 3008

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Robust
                                    just dl and instantly noticed your font is white!

                                    change the font color to black and you will be good to go.

                                    Robust

                                    edit: forgot to say THANKS for the spreadsheet bro.. excellent source of info..
                                    White font is the problem? Are you effing kidding me? Excel is discriminating against white font? At home I can change, but at work, I have a cool Tool theme, and the white font offsets the dark grey background nicely. What if I tried a dark red or even blue?
                                    Comment
                                    • Robust
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-13-08
                                      • 3254

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      very good read.. and along with ragewizards spreadsheet, i am feeling confident about making a bet or 3

                                      My instinct was to go with the dogs... and it seems I was on the right track for week one.. will follow the numbers and update my own notes and compare from last season's spreadsheet..

                                      and I do agree with you.. new coaches are somewhat of a monkeywrench in the data, but as you said, looking at depth in week 4 should get us by..

                                      thanks LT!

                                      Robust
                                      Comment
                                      • Robust
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-13-08
                                        • 3254

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by RageWizard
                                        White font is the problem? Are you effing kidding me? Excel is discriminating against white font? At home I can change, but at work, I have a cool Tool theme, and the white font offsets the dark grey background nicely. What if I tried a dark red or even blue?
                                        didn't try any other color myself.. I am running office 2007 as installed.. nothing changed.. so I dunno what the theme looks like on your computer..

                                        thanks again bro!

                                        Robust
                                        Comment
                                        • jackpot269
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-24-07
                                          • 12842

                                          #21
                                          just like all games flip the lucky COIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by jackpot269
                                            just like all games flip the lucky COIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                            That statement in itself says that all dogs have value.
                                            Comment
                                            Search
                                            Collapse
                                            SBR Contests
                                            Collapse
                                            Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                            Collapse
                                            Working...