How do you cap games every day? Share your system if it works..

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  • Festoon
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-22-18
    • 605

    #71
    I wanted to add...people tend to Bet on Sports they either love or the game they know best. I prefer betting where I have the best possible chance to succeed. An example...PRO sports...majority of Teams are loaded with talent, the best in the world. I find it tough to pick consistent winners on a regular basis. Fifty % for most is pretty good...laying juice their we still lose. Having said that, College hoops is a bit different...top conferences are similar to PRO, bc of recruiting they typically get the best talent out there. Mid and lower major conference teams can be better value and increase your winning percentage. Why? because the better teams have so much more talent...head over heels...than their opponents and 1 -2 players can make the difference. Their goal obviously is to get to the dance, so every game is of utter important for seedings in conference playoffs and seldom take the NIGHT OFF. Plus if you do your homework there are many items (sites) you can look through to better your chances as well... I love the passion these athletes play with.
    I will add, that one of the most important items in my capping checklist is OFFICAL TEAM SITES GAME PREVIEWS..you will find info there that you can't find anywhere else. There are many more I use, but I will stop there. Yes...my record is not good right now...I'm in a down swing and just trying to minimize the damage. I'm hoping that I will break through soon and my % will get better. You can always dig deeper....thanks for reading and GOOD LUCK with your next play.
    Comment
    • DiggityDaggityDo
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-30-08
      • 81450

      #72
      Originally posted by scot4
      oes that toilet automatic wiper have an oj glove on it? wtf


      Nice cashes Jibby!
      Comment
      • danshan11
        SBR MVP
        • 07-08-17
        • 4101

        #73
        Originally posted by Festoon
        I wanted to add...people tend to Bet on Sports they either love or the game they know best. I prefer betting where I have the best possible chance to succeed. An example...PRO sports...majority of Teams are loaded with talent, the best in the world. I find it tough to pick consistent winners on a regular basis. Fifty % for most is pretty good...laying juice their we still lose. Having said that, College hoops is a bit different...top conferences are similar to PRO, bc of recruiting they typically get the best talent out there. Mid and lower major conference teams can be better value and increase your winning percentage. Why? because the better teams have so much more talent...head over heels...than their opponents and 1 -2 players can make the difference. Their goal obviously is to get to the dance, so every game is of utter important for seedings in conference playoffs and seldom take the NIGHT OFF. Plus if you do your homework there are many items (sites) you can look through to better your chances as well... I love the passion these athletes play with.
        I will add, that one of the most important items in my capping checklist is OFFICAL TEAM SITES GAME PREVIEWS..you will find info there that you can't find anywhere else. There are many more I use, but I will stop there. Yes...my record is not good right now...I'm in a down swing and just trying to minimize the damage. I'm hoping that I will break through soon and my % will get better. You can always dig deeper....thanks for reading and GOOD LUCK with your next play.
        funny come on dude, I am trying to be nice but really

        college hoops overall is one of the most efficient sports in the world
        ATS:21113-21542-892 (-0.04, 49.5%) avg line: -5.3
        O/U:20481-20548-498 (0.57, 49.9%) avg total: 138.8

        yes I am ready for the yeah except for the games I play those are the non efficient ones, OK sure

        FACT if you are not crushing the line in NCAABB you will get crushed long term
        Comment
        • Festoon
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-22-18
          • 605

          #74
          Originally posted by danshan11
          funny come on dude, I am trying to be nice but really

          college hoops overall is one of the most efficient sports in the world
          ATS:21113-21542-892 (-0.04, 49.5%) avg line: -5.3
          O/U:20481-20548-498 (0.57, 49.9%) avg total: 138.8

          yes I am ready for the yeah except for the games I play those are the non efficient ones, OK sure

          FACT if you are not crushing the line in NCAABB you will get crushed long term
          Your opinion Dan and I respect that
          Comment
          • JIBBBY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-10-09
            • 83686

            #75
            Originally posted by VegasStacker34
            I track 1h and 2h sides and totals for each team. Then I analyze efficiency numbers on the official nba page. Best of luck.

            https://stats.nba.com/teams/advanced/?sort=W&dir=-1
            I don't bet halves anymore. I use to but got away from it. Some teams do start or finish strong and trend that way for sure.

            Instead I look for good teams at home to get down early in ball games and then live bet it the other way..

            For example - let's say the Golden State Warriors start the game at home vs an average team and 5 minutes into the game they are down by 10 points and they call a time out. I'll then promptly hit the live bet GS money line at that point and get close to even money..

            Warriors then typically will pull it together and make the comeback and win the game out right, kinda like what happened last night against the Pelicans.. Warriors were down big early at home and then ended up winning the game by 7 points in the end. Warriors do that alot in home games.

            Live betting games early on like that I find will work and you can profit more often then not.
            Comment
            • JIBBBY
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-10-09
              • 83686

              #76
              Originally posted by b1slickguy
              I still use the capping tool for MLB introduced by LT Profits.
              Amazingly, it can be modified for all sports, too.
              Nothing but winners!

              https://wheeldecide.com/index.php?c1...dth=&x=90&y=20
              Comment
              • JIBBBY
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-10-09
                • 83686

                #77
                Here is another player prop for ya all. An early bird special.. Bradley Beal on the Washington Wiz has been carrying the load as Wall is out. He's been tearing it up lately.. He's in a good grove right now. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/new-yor...ds-2019011727/

                This game is in London today and not sure how things will play out but I know the Knicks aren't a shut down perimeter defensive team and Bradley Beal should get his in this game most likely.. Wiz are coming off a loss and rested now even with this long travel they should come to play. I see no reason why Beal doesn't go for 30+ again today.

                Wizards shooting guard Bradley Beal, is averaging 36 points over his past three games.




                Pending1/17/19 3:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4125 B.Beal points over 29½ -110* vs B.Beal points under 29½
                Comment
                • JohnGalt2341
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-31-09
                  • 9138

                  #78
                  Originally posted by danshan11
                  funny come on dude, I am trying to be nice but really

                  college hoops overall is one of the most efficient sports in the world
                  ATS:21113-21542-892 (-0.04, 49.5%) avg line: -5.3
                  O/U:20481-20548-498 (0.57, 49.9%) avg total: 138.8


                  yes I am ready for the yeah except for the games I play those are the non efficient ones, OK sure

                  FACT if you are not crushing the line in NCAABB you will get crushed long term
                  Interesting... I didn't know college hoops were that sharp. Where can I find this data? Also, in another post you mentioned that NBA Totals are up 8 points this year vs last year. Where can I find this data as well? Thanks!

                  P.S. I'm not that familiar with Oddsportal or Sportsdatabase, so if it's either of those sites if you have a direct link that would be great! Thanks.
                  Comment
                  • danshan11
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-08-17
                    • 4101

                    #79
                    Comment
                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83686

                      #80
                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                      Here is another player prop for ya all. An early bird special.. Bradley Beal on the Washington Wiz has been carrying the load as Wall is out. He's been tearing it up lately.. He's in a good grove right now. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/new-yor...ds-2019011727/

                      This game is in London today and not sure how things will play out but I know the Knicks aren't a shut down perimeter defensive team and Bradley Beal should get his in this game most likely.. Wiz are coming off a loss and rested now even with this long travel they should come to play. I see no reason why Beal doesn't go for 30+ again today.

                      Wizards shooting guard Bradley Beal, is averaging 36 points over his past three games.




                      Pending1/17/19 3:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4125 B.Beal points over 29½ -110* vs B.Beal points under 29½

                      Beal and the Wiz never got off the plane. Entire team is a no show and especially Beal with just 2 points so far.. Early start time, London travel I guess thru this team for a loop.. This prop is a bust most likely ..

                      The Beal overs were trending though lately and I'd bet it again especially if it were a home game. It would hit most of the time also, just not today in London.. Sorry fellas my bad..

                      Comment
                      • Chi_archie
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-22-08
                        • 63172

                        #81
                        Jibby give us two prop winners now
                        Comment
                        • PAULYPOKER
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-06-08
                          • 36581

                          #82
                          Originally posted by Mr KLC
                          I do ML parlays on SBR for basketball. Only pick home teams that are double digit favorites, and their juice has increased with less than 50% of bets.

                          Example: Home Team opens at -11. They move up to -12 with only 45% of the better on them. I hit that game.
                          This man knows what's up................
                          Comment
                          • JIBBBY
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-10-09
                            • 83686

                            #83
                            Originally posted by JIBBBY
                            Beal and the Wiz never got off the plane. Entire team is a no show and especially Beal with just 2 points so far.. Early start time, London travel I guess thru this team for a loop.. This prop is a bust most likely ..

                            The Beal overs were trending though lately and I'd bet it again especially if it were a home game. It would hit most of the time also, just not today in London.. Sorry fellas my bad..

                            https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/new-yor...ds-2019011727/
                            Beals did have a monster second half and was the games leading scorer in the end, almost covered.. Finished with 26 points. Came up just a little short.. Was hoping for OT.. No such luck..
                            Comment
                            • Shute
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-20-17
                              • 11835

                              #84
                              Jibs
                              Shute’s system
                              Don’t cap daily
                              Wait till you have the itch then scratch
                              For stress relief go to porn, drinking and smokes
                              When all else fails walk the card
                              Find the most entertaining game to watch
                              Capping these smalls schools that aren’t broadcasted has zero entertainment value
                              Study the match
                              SBR,ESPN, media all fair game.
                              Go out and buy a variety of beers
                              Lock yourself in basement with the beers and tv.
                              Log into SBR and announce the play
                              Sit back with the beer and game and SBR
                              Enjoy
                              Comment
                              • JIBBBY
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-10-09
                                • 83686

                                #85
                                Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                Jibby give us two prop winners now
                                I just gave you one loser.. I think I'll stop there. ... You are on your own pal..

                                I stand by player props though, play the team leading scorer on the good teams when they are playing at home and with that player playing well. Those that are clearly trending on over points total in recent games in other words are the ones you want to bet on.. Those hit alot if you continue to play them.

                                That's all I got for you.. I will say James Harden, Blake Griffin, Damien Lillard and Step Curry playing at home have all been money lately. Those players are trending on the player prop OVERS.. Keep an eye on these guys in the near future if the opening lines makes sense..
                                Comment
                                • eaglesfan371
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-08-19
                                  • 4079

                                  #86
                                  System:
                                  1) Read all sports forums here and on competitor site
                                  2) Find someone +10 units with flat betting or 1-3 units/reasonably consistent this season, posting ALL plays
                                  3) Review their previous seasons or minimum 100+ plays
                                  4) If 2+ season with 55%+ win rate / +20 units or more / 100+ plays = match unit for unit plays, tail blindly assuming no more than 1 pt difference
                                  5) If first season posting with success as defined in (4), match 1/2 unit for unit
                                  6) Profit
                                  Comment
                                  • Chi_archie
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-22-08
                                    • 63172

                                    #87
                                    Comment
                                    • JIBBBY
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-10-09
                                      • 83686

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                      I just gave you one loser.. I think I'll stop there. ... You are on your own pal..

                                      I stand by player props though, play the team leading scorer on the good teams when they are playing at home and with that player playing well. Those that are clearly trending on over points total in recent games in other words are the ones you want to bet on.. Those hit alot if you continue to play them.

                                      That's all I got for you.. I will say James Harden, Blake Griffin, Damien Lillard and Step Curry playing at home have all been money lately. Those players are trending on the player prop OVERS.. Keep an eye on these guys in the near future if the opening lines makes sense..
                                      Blake Griffin is the only player on the list I mentioned in bold above that is playing at home tonight. AUTO PLAY FOR JIBS!!! Friday night should be easy money, Blake goes off.. Not going out like a punk on my own thread.. He cashed last game at home for me and he'll cash again tonight unless he gets injured or it's a major blowout and he sits in the second half.. Looking good so far but the blowout is lingering. Not a lock yet.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/miami-h...ns-2019011808/

                                      $110.00 $100.00 Pending 1/18/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4533 B.Griffin points over 23½ -110* vs B.Griffin points under 23½
                                      Comment
                                      • mdunlap3
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-18-13
                                        • 1847

                                        #89
                                        Power rate, adjust for home field, make my own line. Large variance = large bet.
                                        Comment
                                        • JIBBBY
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-10-09
                                          • 83686

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by mdunlap3
                                          Power rate, adjust for home field, make my own line. Large variance = large bet.
                                          Adjust a little more for Friday night games as the home crowds get lively after a work week and that pumps up the bench players and starters a little more. The players also don't want to go out after the game on a loss on these Friday nights looking for side bush after experience a loss they should have won.
                                          Comment
                                          • JIBBBY
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-10-09
                                            • 83686

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                            Blake Griffin is the only player on the list I mentioned in bold above that is playing at home tonight. AUTO PLAY FOR JIBS!!! Friday night should be easy money, Blake goes off.. Not going out like a punk on my own thread.. He cashed last game at home for me and he'll cash again tonight unless he gets injured or it's a major blowout and he sits in the second half.. Looking good so far but the blowout is lingering. Not a lock yet.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/miami-h...ns-2019011808/

                                            $110.00 $100.00 Pending 1/18/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4533 B.Griffin points over 23½ -110* vs B.Griffin points under 23½
                                            Well this just cashed now and it's still early in the 3rd quarter.. EASY MONEY FELLAS.. Next..

                                            BG Just hit 24 points now. .. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/miami-h...ns-2019011808/
                                            Comment
                                            • mdunlap3
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-18-13
                                              • 1847

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                              Adjust a little more for Friday night games as the home crowds get lively after a work week and that pumps up the bench players and starters a little more. The players also don't want to go out after the game on a loss on these Friday nights looking for side bush after experience a loss they should have won.
                                              Hmm interesting angle. Who’s your big one for the UFC tomorrow bro?
                                              Comment
                                              • JIBBBY
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-10-09
                                                • 83686

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by mdunlap3
                                                Hmm interesting angle. Who’s your big one for the UFC tomorrow bro?
                                                Still capping it. Will have it pegged down before tomorrow afternoon. Check the UFC event thread in the UFC.. I'll be posting in it tomorrow. Hugo is a good man to tail in the Event threads Can't say who I like the most right now.
                                                Comment
                                                • mdunlap3
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-18-13
                                                  • 1847

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                  Still capping it. Will have it pegged down before tomorrow afternoon. Check the UFC event thread in the UFC.. I'll be posting in it tomorrow. Hugo is a good man to tail in the Event threads Can't say who I like the most right now.
                                                  Is it just me or did Dillashaw look like a shell of himself? He looked like he was on deaths door.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                    • 83686

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by mdunlap3
                                                    Is it just me or did Dillashaw look like a shell of himself? He looked like he was on deaths door.
                                                    Henry is only improving, he's on a mission now, really looks focused and dialed in.. Had a big KO win in his last fight also..

                                                    I'm kinda liking Henry in that fight.. Dil is tough though with alot of experience and a proven champion.. TJ will be no easy out.. Still it's a tough fight to call.. Really could go either way.. Probably goes the distance though if I had to guess.. Then you never know with MMA judging at that point..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Chi_archie
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-22-08
                                                      • 63172

                                                      #96
                                                      can we try posting these winners before half time?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pilebuck13
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 05-15-15
                                                        • 17918

                                                        #97
                                                        College basketball usually look at stat match ups between 2 teams. Then if I see a team with a clear advantage stat wise I look at the line almost never take road team in conference play....and stay away from lines that make no sense...it has worked fairly well for year. I think I started a little 2 early this season on college basketball towards the end of this month has been best for me in past
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JIBBBY
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-10-09
                                                          • 83686

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                                          can we try posting these winners before half time?
                                                          I did if you read my post #58 response in this thread to you carefully in the last paragraph yesterday.. I said bet Blake Griffin points over props in home games as they are trending. I spelled it out. I always bet $100 a game that's my MO. I don't like to post amounts anymore because of air betting posts but I am today.. I can't spell it out any clearer.. Not my fault you didn't read it..

                                                          I hit Blake Griffin early on in the game before in this thread also.. Posted that completely pending. It's all there.. I'm trying to teach you need to read.


                                                          The spread was the same in the last game too. Exactly the same.. Odds were different at the times I placed.

                                                          $125.00 $100.00 Win 1/16/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4123 B.Griffin points over 23½ -125* vs B.Griffin points under 23½
                                                          $110.00 $100.00 Pending 1/18/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4533 B.Griffin points over 23½ -110* vs B.Griffin points under 23½
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mdunlap3
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-18-13
                                                            • 1847

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                            Henry is only improving, he's on a mission now, really looks focused and dialed in.. Had a big KO win in his last fight also..

                                                            I'm kinda liking Henry in that fight.. Dil is tough though with alot of experience and a proven champion.. TJ will be no easy out.. Still it's a tough fight to call.. Really could go either way.. Probably goes the distance though if I had to guess.. Then you never know with MMA judging at that point..
                                                            Yeah man idk. I don’t really bet a lot on MMA ever, pizza money mostly. The degenerate in me lol. I hope there’s some line moves overnight in CBB I only have one strong play right now with these lines..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JIBBBY
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-10-09
                                                              • 83686

                                                              #100
                                                              Chi Try this.. 20 minutes and fully pending.. DL drops dimes at home on a Friday night.. I forgot this was up tonight.. Just saw it, total is doable.. Lillard was on my list..https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/new-orl...rs-2019011822/

                                                              Probably hits.. Total is a 1 points higher then I'd like though..

                                                              $115.00 $100.00 Pending 1/18/19 10:35pm NBA Props Basketball 5153 D.Lillard points over 25½ -115* vs D.Lillard points under 25½



                                                              He cashed last game at odds I did not like but I stick to my guns.. It cashed.

                                                              $150.00 $100.00 Win 1/16/19 10:05pm NBA Props Basketball 5111 D.Lillard points over 24½ -150* vs D.Lillard points under 24½
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Chi_archie
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-22-08
                                                                • 63172

                                                                #101
                                                                lets get some actual winners going on nba props


                                                                539638383-2 1/19/19 3:30pm $145.00 $100.00 Pending 1/19/19 3:35pm NBA Props Basketball 7072 R.Westbrook points under 25½ -145* vs R.Westbrook points over 25½
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JIBBBY
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                                  • 83686

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                                                  lets get some actual winners going on nba props


                                                                  539638383-2 1/19/19 3:30pm $145.00 $100.00 Pending 1/19/19 3:35pm NBA Props Basketball 7072 R.Westbrook points under 25½ -145* vs R.Westbrook points over 25½
                                                                  Sharp Westbrook has been shooting like crap lately as well.. He's in a slump.. Hope it hits for ya CHI..

                                                                  Comment
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