How do you cap games every day? Share your system if it works..
Collapse
X
-
Chi_archieSBR Aristocracy
- 07-22-08
- 63172
#36Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#38would you take the Rockets tonight -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 -9 -10 -11
would you take the NEts at +1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
and where do those 2 numbers meet and that is your fair line
like for me I would take the Rockets up to -4 and I would take the Nets +7, I have the fair line at 5.5. Now I get that by trying to model a comparable and fair line, I cant say I dont care about the things you use but I dont use those directly they are more indirectly in the line so I have them in my comparable analysis,
Opponent Rating Line Home Away Adjusted Line Guess Net Rest All -6.00 0 Grizzlies -0.45 -6.5 home -6.5 -6.4 Last 4 -6.50 Magic 1.82 -5.5 away -8.5 -6.1 Closest 3 -5.50 Cavaliers 6.60 -14 home -14 -6.8 Direct -7.8 Bucks -8.11 1.5 home 1.5 -6.1 Final -6.0 Nuggets -5.99 -1.5 home -1.5 -6.9 Trailblazers -3.84 2 away -1 -4.3 Warriors -9.85 8 away 5 -4.3 Grizzlies -0.45 -4.5 home -4.5 -4.4 Pelicans -4.31 -3.5 away -6.5 -10.3 Celtics -6.81 0 home 0 -6.3 Grizzlies -0.45 -6.5 home -6.5 -6.4 Magic 1.82 -5.5 away -8.5 -6.1 Trailblazers -3.84 2.0 away -1.0 -4.3
once I have this data I then adjust for Capela and bam I get 5.5 as the fair numberComment -
danshan11SBR MVP
- 07-08-17
- 4101
#40see but that kinda is the point , its not a gut thing or feeling or idea its just pure mathComment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#41
You lose bank rolls off feelings and loading up I think.. Unless you are just gifted and lucky in life.. Play the Lotto then..Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#42
These are a few player props I have pending tonight. On book now and will copy and paste. This is what I really look for rather then straight plays so much day to day.. Some of these props may cash or not IDK? Just pulling them off my history now off hand.. They usually hit though more then not over time. Even at the -odds it works out for me..
Pending1/16/19 10:35pm NBA Props Basketball 5337 S.Curry points over 29½ -110* vs S.Curry points under 29½
Pending1/16/19 10:05pm NBA Props Basketball 5111 D.Lillard points over 24½ -150* vs D.Lillard points under 24½
Pending1/16/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4123 B.Griffin points over 23½ -125* vs B.Griffin points under 23½Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#45Win 2 out 3 most of the time.. Props set me free.. MMA props at +odds, Player props, etc.. It's all about props with me.
These are a few player props I have pending tonight. On book now and will copy and paste. This is what I really look for rather then straight plays so much day to day.. Some of these props may cash or not IDK? Just pulling them off my history now off hand.. They usually hit though more then not over time. Even at the -odds it works out for me..
Pending1/16/19 10:35pm NBA Props Basketball 5337 S.Curry points over 29½ -110* vs S.Curry points under 29½
Pending1/16/19 10:05pm NBA Props Basketball 5111 D.Lillard points over 24½ -150* vs D.Lillard points under 24½
Pending1/16/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4123 B.Griffin points over 23½ -125* vs B.Griffin points under 23½
So now I sit back and check the scores the rest of the night. Live bet if I see an early angle in a late game.
My Blake Griffin over 23.5 points prop cashed already.. Was worried and it needed OT to cash not bragging.. Better to be lucky at times then good.
One player prop down 2 more to go now.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/orlando...ns-2019011608/Comment -
funnyb25BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 07-09-09
- 39663
#46Some funny ass shit by Daggles...Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#48Funny You owe every shark in Long Beach whatever you’re doing don’t doComment -
Chi_archieSBR Aristocracy
- 07-22-08
- 63172
#50holy shit, jibbo hits 66% at -110 props
he's gonna own SBR soonComment -
ThrillaSBR Posting Legend
- 03-10-15
- 13809
#52Jibbby
Knowing your style of betting which probably hasn't changed in the last 30 years the most important advice I can give you as the greatest sportsbettor in the history of mankind is: THE TREND IS NOT YOUR FRIEND! Well sometimes it is but in your case I noticed the first thing you look at is who is in form and what not. Look for things that break the trend.Comment -
JohnGalt2341SBR Hall of Famer
- 12-31-09
- 9138
#53Win 2 out 3 most of the time.. Props set me free.. MMA props at +odds, Player props, etc.. It's all about props with me right now. I do pretty good with them. I never post them up.. Not all books offer the props either.. SBR Book sure doesn't..
These are a few player props I have pending tonight. On book now and will copy and paste. This is what I really look for rather then straight plays so much day to day.. Some of these props may cash or not IDK? Just pulling them off my history now off hand.. They usually hit though more then not over time. Even at the -odds it works out for me..
Pending1/16/19 10:35pm NBA Props Basketball 5337 S.Curry points over 29½ -110* vs S.Curry points under 29½
Pending1/16/19 10:05pm NBA Props Basketball 5111 D.Lillard points over 24½ -150* vs D.Lillard points under 24½
Pending1/16/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4123 B.Griffin points over 23½ -125* vs B.Griffin points under 23½Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#54Win 2 out 3 most of the time.. Props set me free.. MMA props at +odds, Player props, etc.. It's all about props with me right now. I do pretty good with them. I never post them up.. Not all books offer the props either.. SBR Book sure doesn't..
These are a few player props I have pending tonight. On book now and will copy and paste. This is what I really look for rather then straight plays so much day to day.. Some of these props may cash or not IDK? Just pulling them off my history now off hand.. They usually hit though more then not over time. Even at the -odds it works out for me..
Pending1/16/19 10:35pm NBA Props Basketball 5337 S.Curry points over 29½ -110* vs S.Curry points under 29½
Pending1/16/19 10:05pm NBA Props Basketball 5111 D.Lillard points over 24½ -150* vs D.Lillard points under 24½
Pending1/16/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4123 B.Griffin points over 23½ -125* vs B.Griffin points under 23½
Well Griffin cashed and so did Lillard props.. Curry prop is in danger though, he's off tonight with his shot.. Gonna need a monster 2nd half for this Curry prop to cash now..
Like I said I usually hit 2 out of 3 and grind out profits.. That's all I'm saying on this thread.. Just saying keep an eye on those star players on each team in the NBA and when they heat up and play these props. These player props hit alot..
Griffin scored 30 points, Lillard at 26 points now.. 2 down and one iff'y Curry prop to go..https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/new-orl...rs-2019011609/Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#55I'm copy and pasting off 5 dimes in posts, really good book for all props.. Most major name books offer up props but some are limited.. Even books like Bovada offer them up around start time.. I'm on a bunch of books now..Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#56Win 2 out 3 most of the time.. Props set me free.. MMA props at +odds, Player props, etc.. It's all about props with me right now. I do pretty good with them. I never post them up.. Not all books offer the props either.. SBR Book sure doesn't..
These are a few player props I have pending tonight. On book now and will copy and paste. This is what I really look for rather then straight plays so much day to day.. Some of these props may cash or not IDK? Just pulling them off my history now off hand.. They usually hit though more then not over time. Even at the -odds it works out for me..
Pending1/16/19 10:35pm NBA Props Basketball 5337 S.Curry points over 29½ -110* vs S.Curry points under 29½
Pending1/16/19 10:05pm NBA Props Basketball 5111 D.Lillard points over 24½ -150* vs D.Lillard points under 24½
Pending1/16/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4123 B.Griffin points over 23½ -125* vs B.Griffin points under 23½
Curry now cashes.. He got hot. The Trifecta works..https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/new-orl...rs-2019011609/
Comment -
scot4SBR Sharp
- 11-03-18
- 442
#57oes that toilet automatic wiper have an oj glove on it? wtfComment -
sourtwistSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-10-12
- 9364
#58Lol system
I call it darts
Miss the board a lotComment -
scot4SBR Sharp
- 11-03-18
- 442
#59well done jibby and continued success. you said you vision the game and how it will play out. thats not factored in any line and is all you. seems you follow the sport closely and have a great read on it. best to ya.Comment -
VegasStacker34SBR Sharp
- 01-07-19
- 342
#61I track 1h and 2h sides and totals for each team. Then I analyze efficiency numbers on the official nba page. Best of luck.
Comment -
Don_OmarionSBR MVP
- 10-23-15
- 2635
#62Watch last game for both teams or both players(Tennis) .. and thank me laterComment -
5mike5SBR Aristocracy
- 09-21-11
- 52066
#63Well it looks like all 3 props cashed.. I do try to represent on my own threads.. I won't post up garbage..
Curry now cashes.. He got hot. The Trifecta works..https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/new-orl...rs-2019011609/
Comment -
The GeneralSBR Posting Legend
- 08-10-05
- 13279
#64Hard to explain to novices. Due theory martingale contrarian spinner system I call it .Comment -
Big BearSBR Aristocracy
- 11-01-11
- 43253
#65This guy take a pre coffee dumpComment -
The GeneralSBR Posting Legend
- 08-10-05
- 13279
#67You know the deal Sam. Good morning.Comment -
FestoonSBR Wise Guy
- 12-22-18
- 605
#69Mostly math, numbers and trends with me.. I don't get emotional and go off feelings. I lose some and try to win just a few more. Grind it and keep your bets consistently the same. If you are a decent capper you'll find your book balances increasing every month..
You lose bank rolls off feelings and loading up I think.. Unless you are just gifted and lucky in life.. Play the Lotto then..Jibby... you have an intelligent head on your shoulders...keep it up that's what makes you successful...CHEERSComment -
b1slickguySBR Posting Legend
- 11-24-11
- 11959
Search
Collapse
SBR Contests
Collapse
Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
Collapse
#1 BetMGM
4.8/5 BetMGM Bonus Code
#2 FanDuel
4.8/5 FanDuel Promo Code
#3 Caesars
4.8/5 Caesars Promo Code
#4 DraftKings
4.7/5 DraftKings Promo Code
#5 Fanatics
#6 bet365
4.7/5 bet365 Bonus Code
#7 Hard Rock
4.1/5 Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
#8 BetRivers
4.1/5 BetRivers Bonus Code