How do you cap games every day? Share your system if it works..

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  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63172

    #36
    Originally posted by danshan11
    would you take the Rockets tonight -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 -9 -10 -11
    would you take the NEts at +1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
    and where do those 2 numbers meet and that is your fair line
    like for me I would take the Rockets up to -4 and I would take the Nets +7, I have the fair line at 5.5. Now I get that by trying to model a comparable and fair line, I cant say I dont care about the things you use but I dont use those directly they are more indirectly in the line so I have them in my comparable analysis,


    Opponent Rating Line Home Away Adjusted Line Guess Net Rest
    All -6.00 0
    Grizzlies -0.45 -6.5 home -6.5 -6.4 Last 4 -6.50
    Magic 1.82 -5.5 away -8.5 -6.1 Closest 3 -5.50
    Cavaliers 6.60 -14 home -14 -6.8 Direct -7.8
    Bucks -8.11 1.5 home 1.5 -6.1 Final -6.0
    Nuggets -5.99 -1.5 home -1.5 -6.9
    Trailblazers -3.84 2 away -1 -4.3
    Warriors -9.85 8 away 5 -4.3
    Grizzlies -0.45 -4.5 home -4.5 -4.4
    Pelicans -4.31 -3.5 away -6.5 -10.3
    Celtics -6.81 0 home 0 -6.3
    Grizzlies -0.45 -6.5 home -6.5 -6.4
    Magic 1.82 -5.5 away -8.5 -6.1
    Trailblazers -3.84 2.0 away -1.0 -4.3

    once I have this data I then adjust for Capela and bam I get 5.5 as the fair number

    yeah, but what about your bowel movements?
    Comment
    • funnyb25
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 07-09-09
      • 39663

      #37
      Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
      This is weird as all hell.

      Jibby after you take a dump you splash water on your face instead of wiping your ass?
      Comment
      • JIBBBY
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-10-09
        • 83686

        #38
        Originally posted by danshan11
        would you take the Rockets tonight -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 -9 -10 -11
        would you take the NEts at +1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
        and where do those 2 numbers meet and that is your fair line
        like for me I would take the Rockets up to -4 and I would take the Nets +7, I have the fair line at 5.5. Now I get that by trying to model a comparable and fair line, I cant say I dont care about the things you use but I dont use those directly they are more indirectly in the line so I have them in my comparable analysis,


        Opponent Rating Line Home Away Adjusted Line Guess Net Rest
        All -6.00 0
        Grizzlies -0.45 -6.5 home -6.5 -6.4 Last 4 -6.50
        Magic 1.82 -5.5 away -8.5 -6.1 Closest 3 -5.50
        Cavaliers 6.60 -14 home -14 -6.8 Direct -7.8
        Bucks -8.11 1.5 home 1.5 -6.1 Final -6.0
        Nuggets -5.99 -1.5 home -1.5 -6.9
        Trailblazers -3.84 2 away -1 -4.3
        Warriors -9.85 8 away 5 -4.3
        Grizzlies -0.45 -4.5 home -4.5 -4.4
        Pelicans -4.31 -3.5 away -6.5 -10.3
        Celtics -6.81 0 home 0 -6.3
        Grizzlies -0.45 -6.5 home -6.5 -6.4
        Magic 1.82 -5.5 away -8.5 -6.1
        Trailblazers -3.84 2.0 away -1.0 -4.3

        once I have this data I then adjust for Capela and bam I get 5.5 as the fair number
        I passed on that game but I did like James Harden on the points total over for the game.. That's been hitting with regularity and I ride it.. Harden probably goes for 40 or 50 tonight at home.. That's the only bet you take with this game if you ask my opinion..
        Comment
        • danshan11
          SBR MVP
          • 07-08-17
          • 4101

          #39
          Originally posted by Chi_archie
          yeah, but what about your bowel movements?
          LOL
          Comment
          • danshan11
            SBR MVP
            • 07-08-17
            • 4101

            #40
            Originally posted by JIBBBY
            I passed on that game but I did like James Harden on the points total over for the game.. That's been hitting with regularity and I ride it.. Harden probably goes for 40 or 50 tonight at home.. That's the only bet you take with this game if you ask my opinion..
            see but that kinda is the point , its not a gut thing or feeling or idea its just pure math
            Comment
            • JIBBBY
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-10-09
              • 83686

              #41
              Originally posted by danshan11
              see but that kinda is the point , its not a gut thing or feeling or idea its just pure math
              Mostly math, numbers and trends with me.. I don't get emotional and go off feelings. I lose some and try to win just a few more. Grind it and keep your bets consistently the same. If you are a decent capper you'll find your book balances increasing every month..

              You lose bank rolls off feelings and loading up I think.. Unless you are just gifted and lucky in life.. Play the Lotto then..
              Comment
              • JIBBBY
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-10-09
                • 83686

                #42
                Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                Since you've had this routine, what would you guess your win percentage is vs -110 juice?
                Win 2 out 3 most of the time.. Props set me free.. MMA props at +odds, Player props, etc.. It's all about props with me right now. I do pretty good with them. I never post them up.. Not all books offer the props either.. SBR Book sure doesn't..

                These are a few player props I have pending tonight. On book now and will copy and paste. This is what I really look for rather then straight plays so much day to day.. Some of these props may cash or not IDK? Just pulling them off my history now off hand.. They usually hit though more then not over time. Even at the -odds it works out for me..


                Pending1/16/19 10:35pm NBA Props Basketball 5337 S.Curry points over 29½ -110* vs S.Curry points under 29½

                Pending1/16/19 10:05pm NBA Props Basketball 5111 D.Lillard points over 24½ -150* vs D.Lillard points under 24½

                Pending1/16/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4123 B.Griffin points over 23½ -125* vs B.Griffin points under 23½
                Comment
                • Thrilla
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-10-15
                  • 13809

                  #43
                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                  I use the Lakerboy technique:





                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82844

                    #44
                    Originally posted by funnyb25
                    Jibby's automatic toilet paper wiper:

                    Comment
                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83686

                      #45
                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                      Win 2 out 3 most of the time.. Props set me free.. MMA props at +odds, Player props, etc.. It's all about props with me.
                      These are a few player props I have pending tonight. On book now and will copy and paste. This is what I really look for rather then straight plays so much day to day.. Some of these props may cash or not IDK? Just pulling them off my history now off hand.. They usually hit though more then not over time. Even at the -odds it works out for me..


                      Pending1/16/19 10:35pm NBA Props Basketball 5337 S.Curry points over 29½ -110* vs S.Curry points under 29½

                      Pending1/16/19 10:05pm NBA Props Basketball 5111 D.Lillard points over 24½ -150* vs D.Lillard points under 24½

                      Pending1/16/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4123 B.Griffin points over 23½ -125* vs B.Griffin points under 23½


                      So now I sit back and check the scores the rest of the night. Live bet if I see an early angle in a late game.

                      My Blake Griffin over 23.5 points prop cashed already.. Was worried and it needed OT to cash not bragging.. Better to be lucky at times then good.

                      One player prop down 2 more to go now.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/orlando...ns-2019011608/
                      Comment
                      • funnyb25
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 07-09-09
                        • 39663

                        #46
                        Some funny ass shit by Daggles...
                        Comment
                        • funnyb25
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 07-09-09
                          • 39663

                          #47
                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                          Jibby's automatic toilet paper wiper:

                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #48
                            Funny You owe every shark in Long Beach whatever you’re doing don’t do
                            Comment
                            • JIBBBY
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-10-09
                              • 83686

                              #49
                              Originally posted by jjgold
                              Funny You owe every shark in Long Beach whatever you’re doing don’t do
                              I walk with a limp JJ

                              Comment
                              • Chi_archie
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-22-08
                                • 63172

                                #50
                                holy shit, jibbo hits 66% at -110 props


                                he's gonna own SBR soon
                                Comment
                                • JIBBBY
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-10-09
                                  • 83686

                                  #51
                                  OH i've been preaching on the James Harden points OVER props for a week now.. What do you know James Harden goes for 58 tonight.. Easy money player prop win again.

                                  Comment
                                  • Thrilla
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-10-15
                                    • 13809

                                    #52
                                    Jibbby

                                    Knowing your style of betting which probably hasn't changed in the last 30 years the most important advice I can give you as the greatest sportsbettor in the history of mankind is: THE TREND IS NOT YOUR FRIEND! Well sometimes it is but in your case I noticed the first thing you look at is who is in form and what not. Look for things that break the trend.
                                    Comment
                                    • JohnGalt2341
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-31-09
                                      • 9138

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                      Win 2 out 3 most of the time.. Props set me free.. MMA props at +odds, Player props, etc.. It's all about props with me right now. I do pretty good with them. I never post them up.. Not all books offer the props either.. SBR Book sure doesn't..

                                      These are a few player props I have pending tonight. On book now and will copy and paste. This is what I really look for rather then straight plays so much day to day.. Some of these props may cash or not IDK? Just pulling them off my history now off hand.. They usually hit though more then not over time. Even at the -odds it works out for me..


                                      Pending1/16/19 10:35pm NBA Props Basketball 5337 S.Curry points over 29½ -110* vs S.Curry points under 29½

                                      Pending1/16/19 10:05pm NBA Props Basketball 5111 D.Lillard points over 24½ -150* vs D.Lillard points under 24½

                                      Pending1/16/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4123 B.Griffin points over 23½ -125* vs B.Griffin points under 23½
                                      Where do you play your Props at? I used to play a lot of NBA Under Player Props and now a lot of Books don't even offer the Unders anymore.
                                      Comment
                                      • JIBBBY
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-10-09
                                        • 83686

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                        Win 2 out 3 most of the time.. Props set me free.. MMA props at +odds, Player props, etc.. It's all about props with me right now. I do pretty good with them. I never post them up.. Not all books offer the props either.. SBR Book sure doesn't..

                                        These are a few player props I have pending tonight. On book now and will copy and paste. This is what I really look for rather then straight plays so much day to day.. Some of these props may cash or not IDK? Just pulling them off my history now off hand.. They usually hit though more then not over time. Even at the -odds it works out for me..


                                        Pending1/16/19 10:35pm NBA Props Basketball 5337 S.Curry points over 29½ -110* vs S.Curry points under 29½

                                        Pending1/16/19 10:05pm NBA Props Basketball 5111 D.Lillard points over 24½ -150* vs D.Lillard points under 24½

                                        Pending1/16/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4123 B.Griffin points over 23½ -125* vs B.Griffin points under 23½

                                        Well Griffin cashed and so did Lillard props.. Curry prop is in danger though, he's off tonight with his shot.. Gonna need a monster 2nd half for this Curry prop to cash now..

                                        Like I said I usually hit 2 out of 3 and grind out profits.. That's all I'm saying on this thread.. Just saying keep an eye on those star players on each team in the NBA and when they heat up and play these props. These player props hit alot..

                                        Griffin scored 30 points, Lillard at 26 points now.. 2 down and one iff'y Curry prop to go..https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/new-orl...rs-2019011609/
                                        Comment
                                        • JIBBBY
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-10-09
                                          • 83686

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                          Where do you play your Props at? I used to play a lot of NBA Under Player Props and now a lot of Books don't even offer the Unders anymore.
                                          I'm copy and pasting off 5 dimes in posts, really good book for all props.. Most major name books offer up props but some are limited.. Even books like Bovada offer them up around start time.. I'm on a bunch of books now..
                                          Comment
                                          • JIBBBY
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-10-09
                                            • 83686

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                            Win 2 out 3 most of the time.. Props set me free.. MMA props at +odds, Player props, etc.. It's all about props with me right now. I do pretty good with them. I never post them up.. Not all books offer the props either.. SBR Book sure doesn't..

                                            These are a few player props I have pending tonight. On book now and will copy and paste. This is what I really look for rather then straight plays so much day to day.. Some of these props may cash or not IDK? Just pulling them off my history now off hand.. They usually hit though more then not over time. Even at the -odds it works out for me..


                                            Pending1/16/19 10:35pm NBA Props Basketball 5337 S.Curry points over 29½ -110* vs S.Curry points under 29½

                                            Pending1/16/19 10:05pm NBA Props Basketball 5111 D.Lillard points over 24½ -150* vs D.Lillard points under 24½

                                            Pending1/16/19 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4123 B.Griffin points over 23½ -125* vs B.Griffin points under 23½
                                            Well it looks like all 3 props cashed.. I do try to represent on my own threads.. I won't post up garbage..

                                            Curry now cashes.. He got hot. The Trifecta works.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/new-orl...rs-2019011609/
                                            Comment
                                            • scot4
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 11-03-18
                                              • 442

                                              #57
                                              oes that toilet automatic wiper have an oj glove on it? wtf
                                              Comment
                                              • sourtwist
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-10-12
                                                • 9364

                                                #58
                                                Lol system

                                                I call it darts

                                                Miss the board a lot
                                                Comment
                                                • scot4
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-03-18
                                                  • 442

                                                  #59
                                                  well done jibby and continued success. you said you vision the game and how it will play out. thats not factored in any line and is all you. seems you follow the sport closely and have a great read on it. best to ya.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                    • 83686

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by sourtwist
                                                    Lol system

                                                    I call it darts

                                                    Miss the board a lot
                                                    Gotta put in the work capping.. It will pay off if you do.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • VegasStacker34
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 01-07-19
                                                      • 342

                                                      #61
                                                      I track 1h and 2h sides and totals for each team. Then I analyze efficiency numbers on the official nba page. Best of luck.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • Don_Omarion
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-23-15
                                                        • 2635

                                                        #62
                                                        Watch last game for both teams or both players(Tennis) .. and thank me later
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 52066

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                          Well it looks like all 3 props cashed.. I do try to represent on my own threads.. I won't post up garbage..

                                                          Curry now cashes.. He got hot. The Trifecta works.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/new-orl...rs-2019011609/
                                                          Nice work there Jibbs

                                                          Comment
                                                          • The General
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-10-05
                                                            • 13279

                                                            #64
                                                            Hard to explain to novices. Due theory martingale contrarian spinner system I call it .
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Big Bear
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 11-01-11
                                                              • 43253

                                                              #65
                                                              This guy take a pre coffee dump
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Sam Odom
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-30-05
                                                                • 58063

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by The General
                                                                Hard to explain to novices. Due theory martingale contrarian spinner system I call it .
                                                                Skaters Reverse
                                                                Comment
                                                                • The General
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                                  • 13279

                                                                  #67
                                                                  You know the deal Sam. Good morning.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Sam Odom
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-30-05
                                                                    • 58063

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by The General

                                                                    Good morning.

                                                                    Old pal !

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Festoon
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-22-18
                                                                      • 605

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                      Mostly math, numbers and trends with me.. I don't get emotional and go off feelings. I lose some and try to win just a few more. Grind it and keep your bets consistently the same. If you are a decent capper you'll find your book balances increasing every month..



                                                                      You lose bank rolls off feelings and loading up I think.. Unless you are just gifted and lucky in life.. Play the Lotto then..
                                                                      Jibby... you have an intelligent head on your shoulders...keep it up that's what makes you successful...CHEERS
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • b1slickguy
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-24-11
                                                                        • 11959

                                                                        #70
                                                                        I still use the capping tool for MLB introduced by LT Profits.
                                                                        Amazingly, it can be modified for all sports, too.
                                                                        Nothing but winners!

                                                                        Comment
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