Confusing line move on Notre Dame vs Clemson
Collapse
X
-
ZIPPER HEADSBR MVP
- 10-17-13
- 2592
#36Comment -
Mike HuntertzSBR Posting Legend
- 08-19-09
- 11207
#37Clemson wins unless gawd intervenes.Comment -
pilebuck13SBR Posting Legend
- 05-15-15
- 17918
#38Who gives a fuk can’t wait for college football to be over!Comment -
tcarn01SBR MVP
- 10-27-09
- 1993
#39Obviously you are just playing the game to get action on it. Successful gamblers NEVER wager that way. You either like a team or you do not. You cannot like both teams in the same game. You people simply refuse to listen. First, there is no guarantee that the information you have about how many people are wagering on which team is correct. Who releases that information? Second, I wager more than any 20 people do on a single game in here. That means if 19 of you took team A and I took team B there would be a huge difference in the number of people who wagered on team A and the amount of money wagered on Team A. The ONLY thing that counts is the money. Who do you think 85-90% of the people who wager are losers in the long run?Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#41
A lot of confusion in this thread and I'm about to make it worse by giving you reality, the facts.
There is a more money AND bets on Notre Dame,period.
I am not guessing, I don't need to guess, I have solid information.
So yes LT, you were guessing and in this instance you guessed wrong.
As usual, BigDaddy was guessing too, but he has far less of a clue.
I also know what's happening here and have explained this behavior many times.
It benefits to read my posts, as I consider it an edge that has often been described.
But won't be described here. It's knowledge for the esoteric.
Comment -
KingKolzigSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-02-10
- 5550
#42Clemson first half down to -6.5Comment -
grease lightninSBR Posting Legend
- 10-01-12
- 16015
#43
A lot of confusion in this thread and I'm about to make it worse by giving you reality, the facts.
There is a more money AND bets on Notre Dame,period.
I am not guessing, I don't need to guess, I have solid information.
So yes LT, you were guessing and in this instance you guessed wrong.
As usual, BigDaddy was guessing too, but he has far less of a clue.
I also know what's happening here and have explained this behavior many times.
It benefits to read my posts, as I consider it an edge that has often been described.
But won't be described here. It's knowledge for the esoteric.
How do you know this?
I have always thought the percentages that are released can’t be true.
What other info info can be accessed to determine this? When this was posted, based off percentages it had RLM written all over it.
Are you just saying this because the line is now at 11?Comment -
JAKEPEAVY21BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-11-11
- 29306
#44Just landed in Dallas and headed to the game shortly...
Quick day trip flying back home tonight, let's go Irish!!Comment -
High3rEl3m3ntSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-28-10
- 8022
#45Have fun, JP. KVB, drop some knowledge, pal. Looking forward to your thoughts.Comment -
grease lightninSBR Posting Legend
- 10-01-12
- 16015
#47Comment -
Grits n' GravyRestricted User
- 06-10-10
- 13024
#49Obviously you are just playing the game to get action on it. Successful gamblers NEVER wager that way. You either like a team or you do not. You cannot like both teams in the same game. You people simply refuse to listen. First, there is no guarantee that the information you have about how many people are wagering on which team is correct. Who releases that information? Second, I wager more than any 20 people do on a single game in here. That means if 19 of you took team A and I took team B there would be a huge difference in the number of people who wagered on team A and the amount of money wagered on Team A. The ONLY thing that counts is the money. Who do you think 85-90% of the people who wager are losers in the long run?
Stay away from kids too sicko.
OP- Your first problem in using odds service is actually believing the betting % #s posted. Not accurate and books under zero obligation to report #s to the services.Comment -
DJKSBR MVP
- 01-17-11
- 2424
#51I went to Sugar House to place my bets earlier today and I was too late for the Florida vs Michigan game as it just kicked off. Even if I was there sooner, it would not have mattered as the freaking lines to make the bets, whether with the clerks or on the machines were long as hell. It sucks that I missed that game as I was planning on betting Florida based on what someone posted here (thomorino for one) as Florida covered the whole game and rather easily.
Of all the favorites covering this bowl season, I'm hoping some dogs will cover nearing the end of the bowl season including Notre Dame.
If they cover, then I'm free rolling on the rest of my bets. If not, then that's that and I lose 20% of what I won in the last two weekends.
My thought is that I did a good deed this week to give 1/2 of my winnings to my parents ($3,500) when they lost $3,300 while they were in Atlantic City casinos for three weeks. They were scheduled to stay 4 weeks but they ran out of money and they were faced with going home early before Christmas if I didn't give them the cash. They told me it was the best Christmas present ever. So, karma is going to let me win all my bets.Comment -
Grits n' GravyRestricted User
- 06-10-10
- 13024
#52If ND uses a lot of 3 step drops and quick passes they might be able to slow down Clemson Dline. I think Clemson pulls away in 2h.Comment -
BigDofBASBR Posting Legend
- 09-30-09
- 19313
#53Obviously you are just playing the game to get action on it. Successful gamblers NEVER wager that way. You either like a team or you do not. You cannot like both teams in the same game. You people simply refuse to listen. First, there is no guarantee that the information you have about how many people are wagering on which team is correct. Who releases that information? Second, I wager more than any 20 people do on a single game in here. That means if 19 of you took team A and I took team B there would be a huge difference in the number of people who wagered on team A and the amount of money wagered on Team A. The ONLY thing that counts is the money. Who do you think 85-90% of the people who wager are losers in the long run?
I realize it’s SBR and we bust each other’s balls and talk smack. No big deal....
It’s just every one of these posts read the same.
“You guys don’t know anything”
“I know everything”
“I bet way more money”
.....I like Clemson btw.Comment -
DJKSBR MVP
- 01-17-11
- 2424
#54Also, it doesn't hurt that Stanford Steve Coughlin picked Notre Dame +13.
I don't know how he got +13 since I got only +11-117. It's bad enough that I got only +11 but I even had to pay higher juice at freaking Sugar House.Comment -
navyblue81SBR MVP
- 11-29-13
- 4143
#55Excited for the game. Gut tells me this is going to be a lot closer than people think, especially with the big money coming in on ND late. Both games should be fun.Comment -
grease lightninSBR Posting Legend
- 10-01-12
- 16015
#56I’ve never seen this guy post a play.
I realize it’s SBR and we bust each other’s balls and talk smack. No big deal....
It’s just every one one of these posts read the same.
“You guys don’t know anything”
“I know everything”
“I bet way more money”
I like Clemson btw.
His system is to bet money line road favorites -1000 or higher in college football.
And this is not a joke.Comment -
NardVaSBR Hall of Famer
- 10-02-07
- 8325
#57If Notre Dame wins you pound Bama. If Clemson wins you pound Oklahoma. No way we get another Clemson vs Bama game.Comment -
DJKSBR MVP
- 01-17-11
- 2424
#58Even though I truly believe it's a kiss of death posting picks on here, but what the hell.
Below are my 2 ML parlays and a 8 team teaser.
Comment -
DJKSBR MVP
- 01-17-11
- 2424
#59Just for that cocky bastard coach of Clemson, Dabo Swinney, I hope Notre Dame not only covers but wins SU.Comment -
DJKSBR MVP
- 01-17-11
- 2424
#60Even though I truly believe it's a kiss of death posting picks on here, but what the hell.
Below are my 2 ML parlays and a 8 team teaser.
https://imgur.com/a/FKwf0a0
ML Parlay BM $150.00Alabama -650 -14.0 Neutral -560New England -775 -13.5 HOME -770Green Bay -375 -8.0 HOME -345N.Y. Giants -240 -6.0 HOME -278Kansas City -900 -14.0 HOME -770Philadelphia -325 -7.0 AWAY -315Pittsburgh -850 -17.0 HOME -910Seattle -715 -13.0 HOME -670L.A. Rams -450 -9.5 HOME -560Indianapolis -180 -3.0 AWAY -177Houston -300 -6.5 HOME -315 989.2 977.5 $1,483.84 $1,466.31 $1,633.84 $1,616.31ML Parlay BM $200.00Alabama -650 -14.0 Neutral -560New England -775 -13.5 HOME -770Green Bay -375 -8.0 HOME -345Kansas City -900 -14.0 HOME -770Pittsburgh -850 -17.0 HOME -910L.A. Rams -450 -9.5 HOME -560Seattle -715 -13.0 HOME -670Indianapolis -180 -3.5 AWAY -177 359.7 356.6 $719.31 $713.15 $919.31 $913.15Teaser $150.00Atlanta -2.0 +4.5 AWAY -250Green Bay -7.5 -1.0 HOME -345N.Y. Giants -6.0 +0.5 HOME -315Philadelphia -7.0 -0.5 AWAY -335Baltimore -6.0 +0.5 HOME -295Indianapolis -3.5 +3.0 AWAY -245Houston -6.5 +0.0 HOME -335Minnesota -5.5 +1.0 HOME -275 942.9 931.4 $1,414.28 $1,397.08 $1,564.28 $1,547.08Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
-
DJKSBR MVP
- 01-17-11
- 2424
#62Even though I truly believe it's a kiss of death posting picks on here, but what the hell.
Below are my 2 ML parlays and a 8 team teaser.
https://imgur.com/a/FKwf0a0
$150 ML Parlay to win $1,483.84.
Alabama -560
New England -770
Green Bay -345
NY Giants -278
Kansas City -770
Philadelphia -315
Pittsburgh -910
Seattle -670
L.A. Rams -560
Indianapolis -177
Houston -315
$200 ML Parlay to win $719.31.
Alabama -560
New England -770
Green Bay -345
Kansas City -770
Pittsburgh -910
L.A. Rams -560
Seattle -670
Indianapolis -177
$150 8 team teaser for 6.5 points to win $1,414.28.
Atlanta +4.5
Green Bay -1.0
N.Y. Giants +0.5
Philadelphia -0.5
Baltimore +0.5
Indianapolis +3.0
Houston Pick
Minnesota +1.0
Since I haven't had a losing weekend for the whole season, my head tells me I could be due for a big loss and could go 0 for whatever.
So, I bet them much smaller than I normally do as I normally bet from $200 to $1,000 per play. I also made only 1/3 the number of plays.Comment -
DJKSBR MVP
- 01-17-11
- 2424
#63I know this could jinx my bet on Notre Dame, but that cocky asshole Dabo Swinney shit in his pants on that possible fumble.Comment -
DJKSBR MVP
- 01-17-11
- 2424
#64Nothing was conclusive on that review you idiot refs.Comment -
DJKSBR MVP
- 01-17-11
- 2424
#65Damn it, I want pick 6 NOW, PLEASE!!!Comment -
kingdomSBR Posting Legend
- 07-25-10
- 10099
#66Let me try that again.
$150 ML Parlay to win $1,483.84.
Alabama -560
New England -770
Green Bay -345
NY Giants -278
Kansas City -770
Philadelphia -315
Pittsburgh -910
Seattle -670
L.A. Rams -560
Indianapolis -177
Houston -315
$200 ML Parlay to win $719.31.
Alabama -560
New England -770
Green Bay -345
Kansas City -770
Pittsburgh -910
L.A. Rams -560
Seattle -670
Indianapolis -177
$150 8 team teaser for 6.5 points to win $1,414.28.
Atlanta +4.5
Green Bay -1.0
N.Y. Giants +0.5
Philadelphia -0.5
Baltimore +0.5
Indianapolis +3.0
Houston Pick
Minnesota +1.0
Since I haven't had a losing weekend for the whole season, my head tells me I could be due for a big loss and could go 0 for whatever.
So, I bet them much smaller than I normally do as I normally bet from $200 to $1,000 per play. I also made only 1/3 the number of plays.Comment -
DJKSBR MVP
- 01-17-11
- 2424
#67
Every one of my picked teams have something to play for or winning. I intentionally avoided making picks on any of the games that were totally meaningless, such as Carolina vs New Orleans.Comment -
kingdomSBR Posting Legend
- 07-25-10
- 10099
#68i guess the giants, gb and atlanta are playing for pride then. gl.Comment -
grease lightninSBR Posting Legend
- 10-01-12
- 16015
#70Let me try that again.
$150 ML Parlay to win $1,483.84.
Alabama -560
New England -770
Green Bay -345
NY Giants -278
Kansas City -770
Philadelphia -315
Pittsburgh -910
Seattle -670
L.A. Rams -560
Indianapolis -177
Houston -315
$200 ML Parlay to win $719.31.
Alabama -560
New England -770
Green Bay -345
Kansas City -770
Pittsburgh -910
L.A. Rams -560
Seattle -670
Indianapolis -177
$150 8 team teaser for 6.5 points to win $1,414.28.
Atlanta +4.5
Green Bay -1.0
N.Y. Giants +0.5
Philadelphia -0.5
Baltimore +0.5
Indianapolis +3.0
Houston Pick
Minnesota +1.0
Since I haven't had a losing weekend for the whole season, my head tells me I could be due for a big loss and could go 0 for whatever.
So, I bet them much smaller than I normally do as I normally bet from $200 to $1,000 per play. I also made only 1/3 the number of plays.
The weekends you have been winning..... were you betting like this?Comment
SBR Contests
Collapse
Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
Collapse
#1 BetMGM
4.8/5 BetMGM Bonus Code
#2 FanDuel
4.8/5 FanDuel Promo Code
#3 Caesars
4.8/5 Caesars Promo Code
#4 DraftKings
4.7/5 DraftKings Promo Code
#5 Fanatics
#6 bet365
4.7/5 bet365 Bonus Code
#7 Hard Rock
4.1/5 Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
#8 BetRivers
4.1/5 BetRivers Bonus Code