Very Nice Spot Tennis Play, get on this now

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  • danwinkler
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-22-18
    • 461

    #1
    Very Nice Spot Tennis Play, get on this now
    Ons Jabeur +120 vs Sloane Stephens. Very good source.

    Not my write up: its from bettingresource.com's facebook page

    Sloane Stephens accepted the wildcard entry and flew from Beijing, China to Moscow little over a week ago only because she wanted to secure a spot in the end of season Singapore Finals that features the top 8 players. However, with Svitolina not getting the wild card, Stephens spot in the Singapore finals that starts later this week is now clinched. Stephens will not care about this match and her goal is to fly as soon as possible to Singapore and get adjusted to the time zone before later this week. Ons Jabeur is in good form having won the 2 qualifier matches and round 1 match. It is still a great play at 1.91 or better odds. Jabaeur -1.5 sets also has good value. When you play the moneyline for the full match, make sure that you play at books where the bet counts if one set is complete because there is a possibility of Stephens retiring the match if she loses the 1st set.
  • QuantumLeap
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-22-08
    • 6880

    #2
    Beat you to it in the tennis forum:

    Comment
    • QuantumLeap
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-22-08
      • 6880

      #3
      It's also important to note that if a player retires most books will cancel spread bets (Asian Handicap) whether it's a spread bet on number of games or number of sets.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Stephens been losing all year
        Comment
        • QuantumLeap
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-22-08
          • 6880

          #5
          Originally posted by jjgold
          Stephens been losing all year
          Not to players ranked #101:

          Last matches: STEPHENS S. (Usa)
          03.10.18 BEI Stephens S. (Usa) Cibulkova D. (Svk) 1 : 2
          01.10.18 BEI Stephens S. (Usa) Zheng S. (Chn) 2 : 0
          30.09.18 BEI Stephens S. (Usa) Pavlyuchenkova A. (Rus) 2 : 1
          23.09.18 WUH Kontaveit A. (Est) Stephens S. (Usa) 2 : 1
          18.09.18 TOK Stephens S. (Usa) Vekic D. (Cro) 0 : 2
          04.09.18 USO Stephens S. (Usa) Sevastova A. (Lat) 0 : 2
          02.09.18 USO Stephens S. (Usa) Mertens E. (Bel) 2 : 0
          31.08.18 USO Stephens S. (Usa) Azarenka V. (Blr) 2 : 0
          29.08.18 USO Stephens S. (Usa) Kalinina A. (Ukr) 2 : 1
          27.08.18 USO Stephens S. (Usa) Rodina E. (Rus) 2 : 0
          16.08.18 CIN Mertens E. (Bel) Stephens S. (Usa) 2 : 0
          15.08.18 CIN Maria T. (Ger) Stephens S. (Usa) 0 : 2
          12.08.18 MON Halep S. (Rou) Stephens S. (Usa) 2 : 1
          11.08.18 MON Stephens S. (Usa) Svitolina E. (Ukr) 2 : 0
          Comment
          • krk1030
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-08
            • 17610

            #6
            Seems like all that is priced in.
            Comment
            • QuantumLeap
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-22-08
              • 6880

              #7
              Originally posted by krk1030
              Seems like all that is priced in.
              It is. Normally this would be a -300 or more play. Current line at Pinncacle is -136 for Stephens.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                pass
                Comment
                • bass7
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 04-17-10
                  • 113

                  #9
                  I like the play but not at the price price is way too short and Sloane can beat her even when she's not trying. She might play one match to get some practice in because she also hasn't played a tourney in a while. jabeur on the other hand is #101 and on the cusp of direct entry to the Aussie open next year she would probably want to pad some points so she wouldn't have to go through qualies. Looks like a 50/50 in terms of player motivation so the price looks reasonable to me
                  Comment
                  • ApricotSinner32
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-28-10
                    • 10648

                    #10
                    Ons Jabeur is a fat fuk and I don't trust her. Stephens is way better than that fat ass I don't understand the odds.
                    Comment
                    • MiDNiTe
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-11-13
                      • 7684

                      #11
                      Yeah don't think sloane Will be 100% on her game but jabeur has a pea brain has lost matches up 5-0 5-1 before hate betting on idiots like that
                      Comment
                      • sunshineSpecial
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 03-09-17
                        • 379

                        #12
                        I don't like her either. She's too fat for tennis.
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388179

                          #13
                          Originally posted by MiDNiTe
                          Yeah don't think sloane Will be 100% on her game but jabeur has a pea brain has lost matches up 5-0 5-1 before hate betting on idiots like that
                          I repeat Sloan has been terrible almost every tourney

                          A loss here would not even be shocking, she seems to have quit
                          Comment
                          • JaimeMiro
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-14-17
                            • 2515

                            #14
                            Why even play the tourney to just tank? Same with Pliskova tanking so hard 1st serve was 45% and 2nd 11%.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              nobody tanks

                              They are injured or do not try 100%
                              Comment
                              • Clutchut12
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-20-16
                                • 3632

                                #16
                                Nice call
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #17
                                  nice work

                                  by the line was not even remotely an upset either

                                  Oddsmakers know Stephens quit on tennis
                                  Comment
                                  • danwinkler
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 05-22-18
                                    • 461

                                    #18
                                    Apparently Stephens had evening outbound flight from Moscow already booked before this match started. I wonder if those guys involved in the airlines are betting guys...probably not, because I thought the odds would move to the point where Jabeur became big favorite but never moved that much. Books already estimated the motivation of sloanes when the opened the odds because it Ons was around +140 when it opened...usually she would be +250. Bettors still bet the +140 down but not as much as i thought it would move.
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      Sloan will lose very early in the next tourney too

                                      She quit on tennis

                                      People don’t realize she’s had a terrible career
                                      Comment
                                      • nuxx??
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 06-06-17
                                        • 473

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        Sloan will lose very early in the next tourney too

                                        She quit on tennis

                                        People don’t realize she’s had a terrible career
                                        Slam winner, won miami and reached finals of French this year. God how fukking clueless you actually are.
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Hey loser she has terrible year
                                          Horrific

                                          USA open last year loser

                                          She even said terrible year other day

                                          Massive favorite losing weekly early rounds

                                          It’s why I drive caddy and your poor kid

                                          Her coach thinking of dropping her also
                                          Comment
                                          • QuantumLeap
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-22-08
                                            • 6880

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by nuxx??
                                            Slam winner, won miami and reached finals of French this year. God how fukking clueless you actually are.
                                            He's a troll just trying to drum up replies. I posted her recent results above and he won't even address them.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mucak77
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 08-10-14
                                              • 580

                                              #23
                                              Haha was thinking the same years ago.. if i could hack into the system and see who has a flight booked at what time
                                              Would make me very rich lol

                                              Stephens obviously wasnt interested in making a result here, came to pick up the $$ and left for Singapore..
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388179

                                                #24
                                                She was a -120 Against a terrible player are you guys dumb

                                                The line says it all she’s Terrible

                                                I’m getting a tremendous laugh here because people don’t watch tennis


                                                You guys are talking about last year’s U.S. Open you dumb Fuks

                                                Serena would’ve been -500 in the same match and his rarely played in over year

                                                Stop betting tennis until you follow the game

                                                Stephens is on record as saying she rather sleep and sit down than practice
                                                Comment
                                                • trytrytry
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-13-06
                                                  • 23650

                                                  #25
                                                  super pick and thanks for sharing. nice work danwinkler
                                                  Comment
                                                  • tokio
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-30-10
                                                    • 2150

                                                    #26
                                                    Stephens and Keys cannot be trusted when betting women's tennis.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • odog11
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-14-11
                                                      • 3874

                                                      #27
                                                      Nice call, love waking up to more money.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Seto
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-16-11
                                                        • 12906

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by nuxx??
                                                        Slam winner, won miami and reached finals of French this year. God how fukking clueless you actually are.
                                                        You're just figuring this out now?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DavidGoliath5003
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-20-18
                                                          • 4100

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by tokio
                                                          Stephens and Keys cannot be trusted when betting women's tennis.
                                                          You got that right.. both water heads
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DavidGoliath5003
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-20-18
                                                            • 4100

                                                            #30
                                                            Good pick by the way
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nuxx??
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 06-06-17
                                                              • 473

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Seto
                                                              You're just figuring this out now?
                                                              Nah he actually tilts me everytime he posts in this sub because it's usually garbage, just look at that Joker thread from a while back. I'm just baffled someone of his intelligence is an actual mod on this forum. Hilarious.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • rgrant2214
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-28-15
                                                                • 1474

                                                                #32
                                                                .......
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jtoler
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-17-13
                                                                  • 30967

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by MiDNiTe
                                                                  Yeah don't think sloane Will be 100% on her game but jabeur has a pea brain has lost matches up 5-0 5-1 before hate betting on idiots like that
                                                                  do u remember what matches those were or do you have data to backtrack?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MiDNiTe
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-11-13
                                                                    • 7684

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by jtoler
                                                                    do u remember what matches those were or do you have data to backtrack?
                                                                    Didn't even bet this match a unmotivated player vs a known player known for losing it with big LEADS u have a computer if u want the info that bad do a search history on her matches or make a thread in tennis forum, posted 18 tennis winners in a row, let's see u get 10 in a row
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jtoler
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-17-13
                                                                      • 30967

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by MiDNiTe
                                                                      Didn't even bet this match a unmotivated player vs a known player known for losing it with big LEADS u have a computer if u want the info that bad do a search history on her matches or make a thread in tennis forum, posted 18 tennis winners in a row, let's see u get 10 in a row
                                                                      whats with the tude lol I asked which matches because you named specific scores as if there is a program out there to put in names and blown leads or something like there are for looking up how many times a team has lost past the 8th inning up 2 runs. if there is something out there like that for tennis I was asking
                                                                      Comment
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