So you think winning long term is impossible?

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  • Alfa1234
    SBR MVP
    • 12-19-15
    • 2722

    #701
    Originally posted by slapshot
    do you expect people to tail you?
    what's the point of posting these picks?
    Just trying to show it's not impossible to win over the long term, which is a common belief here.
    Comment
    • Alfa1234
      SBR MVP
      • 12-19-15
      • 2722

      #702
      Florida Panthers VS Ottawa 1min1.5 at 2.43
      Comment
      • slapshot
        SBR MVP
        • 10-27-07
        • 1194

        #703
        Originally posted by Alfa1234
        Just trying to show it's not impossible to win over the long term, which is a common belief here.
        ok so do tell us how you find value in these picks.

        i doubt you study local news papers or go by gut feeling on these teams that some would appear as obscure to most of us.
        Comment
        • bhoor
          SBR MVP
          • 12-17-12
          • 2256

          #704
          Originally posted by slapshot
          ok so do tell us how you find value in these picks.

          i doubt you study local news papers or go by gut feeling on these teams that some would appear as obscure to most of us.
          If I'm Alfa, why should I tell how do I cap? I believe he simply follows good model of his own. With unknown teams he is betting, it tells he follows some pattern, not the team strength/weakness.
          Comment
          • JayLA
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-11-12
            • 7806

            #705
            I wish there was a record
            Comment
            • slapshot
              SBR MVP
              • 10-27-07
              • 1194

              #706
              Originally posted by bhoor
              If I'm Alfa, why should I tell how do I cap? I believe he simply follows good model of his own. With unknown teams he is betting, it tells he follows some pattern, not the team strength/weakness.
              ok fair enough but the picks/thread is completely and utterly useless then....as no one can tail them and no one can figure out how to generate them.

              great way to blow smoke up your own ass and not proving anything....
              Comment
              • JayLA
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-11-12
                • 7806

                #707
                Why can't you tail them?
                Comment
                • slapshot
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-27-07
                  • 1194

                  #708
                  Originally posted by JayLA
                  Why can't you tail them?
                  quite difficult to play after the game has started......

                  Originally posted by Alfa1234
                  Forgot to post 1, this was taken well over an hour ago.

                  Hermes VS Sibenik 1 at 2.16
                  Comment
                  • JayLA
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-11-12
                    • 7806

                    #709
                    That was one case. I've been following his picks and most of them are abscure but my book has them. He does beat the closing number quite a lot. I wish someone had the time to keep a record...
                    Comment
                    • bhoor
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-17-12
                      • 2256

                      #710
                      Originally posted by slapshot
                      ok fair enough but the picks/thread is completely and utterly useless then....as no one can tail them and no one can figure out how to generate them.

                      great way to blow smoke up your own ass and not proving anything....
                      He is just trying to prove that people can win long-term in sports betting. People like him gives you hope that you can win in sports betting, while many believe no one can win in sports betting.
                      Comment
                      • Alfa1234
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-19-15
                        • 2722

                        #711
                        Which record do you mean? I have posted all picks with the odds and a win/loss tally at the end of every day. Or do you mean if and how much they beat the closing line?
                        Comment
                        • Alfa1234
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-19-15
                          • 2722

                          #712
                          Originally posted by bhoor
                          If I'm Alfa, why should I tell how do I cap? I believe he simply follows good model of his own. With unknown teams he is betting, it tells he follows some pattern, not the team strength/weakness.
                          Exactly, as I mentioned somewhere, there are thousands of games every day. It's a fairly simple to find value in 10-20 of them.
                          Comment
                          • slapshot
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-27-07
                            • 1194

                            #713
                            Originally posted by Alfa1234
                            Exactly, as I mentioned somewhere, there are thousands of games every day. It's a fairly simple to find value in 10-20 of them.
                            ok would you care to show us how?
                            Comment
                            • Alfa1234
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-19-15
                              • 2722

                              #714
                              Originally posted by slapshot
                              ok would you care to show us how?
                              No, sorry.
                              Comment
                              • Alfa1234
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-19-15
                                • 2722

                                #715
                                Monday 12 November:

                                Anderlecht VS Ostend Reserves 1 at 1.44
                                Fujairah VS Al Ain 1 at 7.65
                                Comment
                                • Alfa1234
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-19-15
                                  • 2722

                                  #716
                                  Sigma Olomouc VS Zlin U21 2 at 3.57
                                  Comment
                                  • Alfa1234
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-19-15
                                    • 2722

                                    #717
                                    Ajman VS Al Wasl 2 at 2.75
                                    Comment
                                    • Alfa1234
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-19-15
                                      • 2722

                                      #718
                                      Dukla Praha VS Bohemians U21 2 at 2.51
                                      Comment
                                      • Alfa1234
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-19-15
                                        • 2722

                                        #719
                                        St Truiden VS Mouscron U21 1 at 1.5
                                        Comment
                                        • Alfa1234
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-19-15
                                          • 2722

                                          #720
                                          Hartberg VS Salsburg O3.5 at 2.69
                                          Kaustik VS Snezhinsk 1 at 1.83
                                          Comment
                                          • Alfa1234
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-19-15
                                            • 2722

                                            #721
                                            Corinthians VS Cearense 2+7.5 at 1.85
                                            Comment
                                            • slapshot
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-27-07
                                              • 1194

                                              #722
                                              unless you're trying to make a complete joke out of yourself you should at least post country sport and league of these obscure picks.
                                              Comment
                                              • Alfa1234
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-19-15
                                                • 2722

                                                #723
                                                Originally posted by slapshot
                                                unless you're trying to make a complete joke out of yourself you should at least post country sport and league of these obscure picks.
                                                How hard is it to google and find it out yourself?
                                                Comment
                                                • slapshot
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-27-07
                                                  • 1194

                                                  #724
                                                  no one can take you serious the way you cough up random teams.

                                                  your picks are on the same scale as i bet the dude white t-shirt crosses the street before the dude in red.

                                                  get serious...post country sport record etc or retire the thread.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Alfa1234
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-19-15
                                                    • 2722

                                                    #725
                                                    Originally posted by slapshot
                                                    no one can take you serious the way you cough up random teams.

                                                    your picks are on the same scale as i bet the dude white t-shirt crosses the street before the dude in red.

                                                    get serious...post country sport record etc or retire the thread.
                                                    Stop being so damn lazy and copy paste the teams in google. 99% of the time the first hit will be from sofascore, giving the exact matchup I posted. If you want to follow the picks, do it yourself, if you don't stop whinging about it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • slapshot
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-27-07
                                                      • 1194

                                                      #726
                                                      stop being so damn lazy.....
                                                      albania - division 4 - paintball - team

                                                      i'm sure you're a winning bettor but your quest for e-glory becomes ridiculous if no one can verify your picks.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Alfa1234
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-19-15
                                                        • 2722

                                                        #727
                                                        Originally posted by slapshot
                                                        stop being so damn lazy.....
                                                        albania - division 4 - paintball - team

                                                        i'm sure you're a winning bettor but your quest for e-glory becomes ridiculous if no one can verify your picks.
                                                        Do I really have to repeat a third time it's a simply matter of copy pasting the pick into google and clicking the first link? If you can't do that, you shouldn't be betting anyway.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Alfa1234
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-19-15
                                                          • 2722

                                                          #728
                                                          14 November:

                                                          Spirou VS Istanbul BSB 1min16.5 at 1.95
                                                          Georgia VS Liechtenstein U19 BTSN at 1.55
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Alfa1234
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-19-15
                                                            • 2722

                                                            #729
                                                            Randers VS Svendborg 2min3.5 at 1.9
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Alfa1234
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-19-15
                                                              • 2722

                                                              #730
                                                              Lausanne VS Barkom 2 at 1.9
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Alfa1234
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-19-15
                                                                • 2722

                                                                #731
                                                                Fiorenzuola VS Sasso Marconi 1 at 2.1
                                                                Commercecon Lodz VS Legionovia Women 2 at 3.45
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Alfa1234
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-19-15
                                                                  • 2722

                                                                  #732
                                                                  Macedonia VS Croatia U19 U2.5 at 2.21
                                                                  Sigma Olomouc VS Mlada Boleslav 1 at 2.0
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Alfa1234
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-19-15
                                                                    • 2722

                                                                    #733
                                                                    France VS Croatia (Davis Cup) 2 at 1.9
                                                                    Citta di Giulianova VS Jesina 2 at 3.23
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Alfa1234
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-19-15
                                                                      • 2722

                                                                      #734
                                                                      Galatasaray VS Konyaspor X2 at 2.62
                                                                      Ankaragucu VS Besiktas 2 at 2.0
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Alfa1234
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-19-15
                                                                        • 2722

                                                                        #735
                                                                        Kouvot VS Lapuan 1min13.5 at 1.99
                                                                        Avtodor VS Pardubice O182.5 at 2.1
                                                                        Comment
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