So you think winning long term is impossible?

[Alfa1234]

do you expect people to tail you?
what's the point of posting these picks?

Just trying to show it's not impossible to win over the long term, which is a common belief here.

[Alfa1234]

Florida Panthers VS Ottawa 1min1.5 at 2.43

[slapshot]

Just trying to show it's not impossible to win over the long term, which is a common belief here.

ok so do tell us how you find value in these picks.

i doubt you study local news papers or go by gut feeling on these teams that some would appear as obscure to most of us.

[bhoor]

ok so do tell us how you find value in these picks.

i doubt you study local news papers or go by gut feeling on these teams that some would appear as obscure to most of us.

If I'm Alfa, why should I tell how do I cap? I believe he simply follows good model of his own. With unknown teams he is betting, it tells he follows some pattern, not the team strength/weakness.

[JayLA]

I wish there was a record

[slapshot]

If I'm Alfa, why should I tell how do I cap? I believe he simply follows good model of his own. With unknown teams he is betting, it tells he follows some pattern, not the team strength/weakness.

ok fair enough but the picks/thread is completely and utterly useless then....as no one can tail them and no one can figure out how to generate them.

great way to blow smoke up your own ass and not proving anything....

[JayLA]

Why can't you tail them?

[slapshot]

Why can't you tail them?

quite difficult to play after the game has started......

Forgot to post 1, this was taken well over an hour ago.

Hermes VS Sibenik 1 at 2.16

[JayLA]

That was one case. I've been following his picks and most of them are abscure but my book has them. He does beat the closing number quite a lot. I wish someone had the time to keep a record...

[bhoor]

ok fair enough but the picks/thread is completely and utterly useless then....as no one can tail them and no one can figure out how to generate them.

great way to blow smoke up your own ass and not proving anything....

He is just trying to prove that people can win long-term in sports betting. People like him gives you hope that you can win in sports betting, while many believe no one can win in sports betting.

[Alfa1234]

Which record do you mean? I have posted all picks with the odds and a win/loss tally at the end of every day. Or do you mean if and how much they beat the closing line?

[Alfa1234]

If I'm Alfa, why should I tell how do I cap? I believe he simply follows good model of his own. With unknown teams he is betting, it tells he follows some pattern, not the team strength/weakness.

Exactly, as I mentioned somewhere, there are thousands of games every day. It's a fairly simple to find value in 10-20 of them.

[slapshot]

Exactly, as I mentioned somewhere, there are thousands of games every day. It's a fairly simple to find value in 10-20 of them.

ok would you care to show us how?

[Alfa1234]

ok would you care to show us how?

No, sorry.

[Alfa1234]

Monday 12 November:

Anderlecht VS Ostend Reserves 1 at 1.44
Fujairah VS Al Ain 1 at 7.65

[Alfa1234]

Sigma Olomouc VS Zlin U21 2 at 3.57

[Alfa1234]

Ajman VS Al Wasl 2 at 2.75

[Alfa1234]

Dukla Praha VS Bohemians U21 2 at 2.51

[Alfa1234]

St Truiden VS Mouscron U21 1 at 1.5

[Alfa1234]

Hartberg VS Salsburg O3.5 at 2.69
Kaustik VS Snezhinsk 1 at 1.83

[Alfa1234]

Corinthians VS Cearense 2+7.5 at 1.85

[slapshot]

unless you're trying to make a complete joke out of yourself you should at least post country sport and league of these obscure picks.

[Alfa1234]

unless you're trying to make a complete joke out of yourself you should at least post country sport and league of these obscure picks.

How hard is it to google and find it out yourself?

[slapshot]

no one can take you serious the way you cough up random teams.

your picks are on the same scale as i bet the dude white t-shirt crosses the street before the dude in red.

get serious...post country sport record etc or retire the thread.

[Alfa1234]

no one can take you serious the way you cough up random teams.

your picks are on the same scale as i bet the dude white t-shirt crosses the street before the dude in red.

get serious...post country sport record etc or retire the thread.

Stop being so damn lazy and copy paste the teams in google. 99% of the time the first hit will be from sofascore, giving the exact matchup I posted. If you want to follow the picks, do it yourself, if you don't stop whinging about it.

[slapshot]

stop being so damn lazy.....
albania - division 4 - paintball - team

i'm sure you're a winning bettor but your quest for e-glory becomes ridiculous if no one can verify your picks.

[Alfa1234]

stop being so damn lazy.....
albania - division 4 - paintball - team

i'm sure you're a winning bettor but your quest for e-glory becomes ridiculous if no one can verify your picks.

Do I really have to repeat a third time it's a simply matter of copy pasting the pick into google and clicking the first link? If you can't do that, you shouldn't be betting anyway.

[Alfa1234]

14 November:

Spirou VS Istanbul BSB 1min16.5 at 1.95
Georgia VS Liechtenstein U19 BTSN at 1.55

[Alfa1234]

Randers VS Svendborg 2min3.5 at 1.9

[Alfa1234]

Lausanne VS Barkom 2 at 1.9

[Alfa1234]

Fiorenzuola VS Sasso Marconi 1 at 2.1
Commercecon Lodz VS Legionovia Women 2 at 3.45

[Alfa1234]

Macedonia VS Croatia U19 U2.5 at 2.21
Sigma Olomouc VS Mlada Boleslav 1 at 2.0

[Alfa1234]

France VS Croatia (Davis Cup) 2 at 1.9
Citta di Giulianova VS Jesina 2 at 3.23

[Alfa1234]

Galatasaray VS Konyaspor X2 at 2.62
Ankaragucu VS Besiktas 2 at 2.0

[Alfa1234]

Kouvot VS Lapuan 1min13.5 at 1.99
Avtodor VS Pardubice O182.5 at 2.1