parlay

[sportsguy04]

Whats everyone think about this parlay. NEED THOUGHTS B/C ITALY PLAYS AT 245PM TODAY, AND NOT MUCH TRAFFIC ON THE SOCCER FORUM.

My bankroll needs a lift off.

I just cant see how it loses. All large money line favs that are superior to their opponent.


Pays 4 to 1. So if risk 1 unit would win 4 units. Bet 5 units win close to 20 units!

Check it out:

Brazil ML -375
Spain ML -450
Italy U21 ML - 330
Valarenga ML -200
Rosenburg ML -165

*VALARENGA INFO: (Norway Tippeligaen-- at home in 3rd place playing the 15th place team who is in 2nd last!)

*ROSENBURG INFO: (Norway Tippeligaen --at home in 1st, absolutely murdering teams with 9 wins 0 losses and 5 draws with a +19 goal differential, they are playing the 6th place team who has 5 wins 5 draws and 4 losses with a GD of+8. The team Rosenburg plays is Stabaek who struggles on the road. They only average .86 goals on the road while averaging over 2 goals at home! Also they struggle on the road going 2-3-2.

[KingRevolver]

Dunno - but I'm betting it - 'cause you're a decent 'capper.

[sportsguy04]

Dunno - but I'm betting it - 'cause you're a decent 'capper.

Thanks, it should hit. I dont see why it wouldnt.

[TheIntegrityKid]

This will be interesting to follow... Had this been any other sport, betting all heavy faves is usually a recipe for disaster. But in soccer, idk. I will have to follow this and see if you're on to something

Good luck to you and all who take it

[sportsguy04]

Yeah this would never work in MLB and few other sports. But soccer seems to be more consistant. Larger ML's of about -200 and above that team is far superior, hence the larger ML EV.

[sportsguy04]

Brazil ML just jumped from -375 to -450.

[andywend]

A 5 team soccer parlay with all 5 teams having to win their games outright and you're saying you don't see how it can lose?

You're paying the full vig 5X and still getting 4-1 so I would guess you have about a 10% chance to actually hit the thing. Good luck.

[TheIntegrityKid]

I hope it hits for you guys... I'm usually out of my element in other sports, but if loading up on heavy faves can work somewhere, I'm all for it...

[sportsguy04]

A 5 team soccer parlay with all 5 teams having to win their games outright and you're saying you don't see how it can lose?

You're paying the full vig 5X and still getting 4-1 so I would guess you have about a 10% chance to actually hit the thing. Good luck.

That is correct, all 5 teams in this parlay are Far Superior to their opponents.

Brazil ML --- not even in question
Spain ML--- not even in question
Italy U21 ML --not even in question
Valarenga ML --far superior then opponent (draw is slim possibility)
RosenborgML -far superior and dominating Norway T. League but again draw is a possibility.

But again, any thing can happen at any given time.

Your right I am paying full vig by playing these large Ml favorites.

[sportsguy04]

1 down. 4 to go!

Italy ML Cashes.

Ended up putting 3 units on this to win 11.