Tiger Woods 11-1 To Win US Open

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  • englishmike
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-19-08
    • 5279

    #1
    Tiger Woods 11-1 To Win US Open
    11 shots back although it's probably a false leader.

    Even so, he can't win now.
  • Matt Rain
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-13-07
    • 5001

    #2


    Go Weir/Scott/Fisher/Ogilvy/Goosen!

    Golf is exciting.
    Comment
    • RealSlimShady
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-24-07
      • 6249

      #3
      I'm trying to fade him at 10-1 on Matchbook. Hard to see him coming back to win this.
      Comment
      • englishmike
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-19-08
        • 5279

        #4
        Matty; The first rule of backing golfers is they need to make the cut, to get all four is a massive bonus for us.

        Mike Weir is now 7-2 fav. I don't know about you, I got 129-1.

        Ross Fisher is now 28-1, I got 169-1 to win and 21-1 for top five finish.

        Geoff Ogilvy is now 20-1, I got 20-1.

        Reteif Goosen is now 80-1, I got 47-1.

        I'm looking at one of my best days ever depending on the result, but I've got nice prices on 2 of 4 and to still have all 4 running is a fukkin acheivement in itself.

        Heres to us Matty you tailed all 4?
        Comment
        • CaneDawg
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-25-08
          • 6256

          #5
          no chance
          Comment
          • RealSlimShady
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-24-07
            • 6249

            #6
            Originally posted by CaneDawg
            no chance

            That's what I think too. But if I get filled on 10K on Tiger not winning and he ends up winning, I'm gonna go MIA like Brock Landers.
            Comment
            • pavyracer
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-12-07
              • 82907

              #7
              I have Adam Scott and Sergio Garcia. I like my chances for one of them to win it.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                Tiger should be 70-1 right now

                sucker line
                Comment
                • RealSlimShady
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-24-07
                  • 6249

                  #9
                  JJ, there's $21K offered at 14-1 to bet against Tiger winning....
                  Comment
                  • CaneDawg
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-25-08
                    • 6256

                    #10
                    [quote=pavyracer;1957873]I have Adam Scott and Sergio Garcia. I like my chances for one of them to win it.[/quote

                    i have a little on sergio but dont see it....

                    but if he does
                    Comment
                    • englishmike
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-19-08
                      • 5279

                      #11
                      Pavy, Adam Scott is now 50-1, you've made the cut and you've beaten the price, same position as me, all they've got to do now is win.

                      If I don't, I hope you do.
                      Comment
                      • CaneDawg
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-25-08
                        • 6256

                        #12
                        [quote=englishmike;1957846]Matty; The first rule of backing golfers is they need to make the cut, to get all four is a massive bonus for us.

                        Mike Weir is now 7-2 fav. I don't know about you, I got 129-1.

                        Ross Fisher is now 28-1, I got 169-1 to win and 21-1 for top five finish.

                        Geoff Ogilvy is now 20-1, I got 20-1.

                        Reteif Goosen is now 80-1, I got 47-1.

                        I'm looking at one of my best days ever depending on the result, but I've got nice prices on 2 of 4 and to still have all 4 running is a fukkin acheivement in itself.

                        Heres to us Matty you tailed all 4? [/quote

                        have ogilvy, the goose, sergio, and phil

                        poulter took a dump on me today
                        Comment
                        • englishmike
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-19-08
                          • 5279

                          #13
                          Tiger won't win simply because there are too many in front of him. On each of the next rounds at least one player in front of him will play ok, he'd need to shoot the two lowest rounds of the week (64) to even have a chance.
                          Comment
                          • Matt Rain
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-13-07
                            • 5001

                            #14
                            Originally posted by englishmike

                            Heres to us Matty you tailed all 4?
                            I certainly did. It's all scattered across 2 books and multiple bets (SIA limits were stupidly low early this week, but they let me hit them again Thursday).

                            I got bad prices on the win (+7500 on Weir ), but I think I did ok with the Top 5 finishes.

                            Weir Top 5 +1650
                            Fisher Top 5 +3125
                            Ogilvy Top 5 +400
                            Goosen Top 5 +1000

                            and pavy's pick:

                            A. Scott Top 5 +3125

                            all played outright too.
                            Comment
                            • pavyracer
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-12-07
                              • 82907

                              #15
                              Originally posted by englishmike
                              Pavy, Adam Scott is now 50-1, you've made the cut and you've beaten the price, same position as me, all they've got to do now is win.

                              If I don't, I hope you do.
                              Someone is going to win it Mike and if it's not me I hope is you. You are teaching the rookies here how you beat the system.
                              Comment
                              • CaneDawg
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-25-08
                                • 6256

                                #16
                                what time are they starting the 3rd today....i hope at 4:40 or so
                                Comment
                                • englishmike
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-19-08
                                  • 5279

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                  Someone is going to win it Mike and if it's not me I hope is you. You are teaching the rookies here how you beat the system.
                                  Not really Paves, there's more luck attatched to betting golf than any other sport out there. The reward is if you can pick a guy early and he plays ok, then you've beaten the price, the luck is in them actually winning.
                                  Comment
                                  • englishmike
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 06-19-08
                                    • 5279

                                    #18
                                    5.30 est I beileve Caner.
                                    Comment
                                    • englishmike
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 06-19-08
                                      • 5279

                                      #19
                                      Matt, you've done brilliantly with your lines, particuarly the top 5's.

                                      All we do is hope now.
                                      Comment
                                      • CaneDawg
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-25-08
                                        • 6256

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by englishmike
                                        5.30 est I beileve Caner.
                                        Comment
                                        • englishmike
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 06-19-08
                                          • 5279

                                          #21
                                          3rd Round Underway.
                                          Comment
                                          • RealSlimShady
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-24-07
                                            • 6249

                                            #22
                                            Is fading Tiger laying 14-1 a good bet at this point?
                                            Comment
                                            • englishmike
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-19-08
                                              • 5279

                                              #23
                                              Purely my opinion, yes.

                                              Think about it.

                                              To even stand a chance of winning he would need to shoot two 64's, that's what your betting against, and on this course with the way the mud will stick to the ball it's very very unlikely. And even if he did shoot 2 64's I would say it still wouldnt be enough, he's tied 41st, there are far too many people in front of him.

                                              Just my opinion.
                                              Comment
                                              • RealSlimShady
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-24-07
                                                • 6249

                                                #24
                                                My thoughts as well. Just too many players ahead of him now. What the hell. I'm gonna take the offer on Matchbook now....watch it disappear in 15seconds!
                                                Comment
                                                • englishmike
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-19-08
                                                  • 5279

                                                  #25
                                                  The other reason this is an excellent play is because many gamblers seem obsessed with backing Woods regardless of logic, i've never seen another person attract the same amount of blind money as Tiger Woods.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RealSlimShady
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-24-07
                                                    • 6249

                                                    #26
                                                    True; he's always overpriced. I have done quite well betting against Tiger when he is way behind. One of these days, I may get in trouble. I just hope it's not this weekend.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • englishmike
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-19-08
                                                      • 5279

                                                      #27
                                                      I seriously doubt it Slim, but let's assume you did, logic says you're still playing the right side, that's why it's a good play, regardless of outcome.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388179

                                                        #28
                                                        There is no way he can win

                                                        If he does it will go down as the greatest sports feat of all times
                                                        Comment
                                                        • englishmike
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 06-19-08
                                                          • 5279

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                                          There is no way he can win

                                                          If he does it will go down as the greatest sports feat of all times
                                                          That distinction goes to your coaching of the base pads.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RealSlimShady
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-24-07
                                                            • 6249

                                                            #30
                                                            I need to cash my bet.....put Tiger to bed!!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • englishmike
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 06-19-08
                                                              • 5279

                                                              #31
                                                              He's done Slim.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pavyracer
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 04-12-07
                                                                • 82907

                                                                #32
                                                                He is 15 shots back now. I will give anyone 100 to 1 odds if you want to make a side bet with me. Cash only...no credit please.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RealSlimShady
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-24-07
                                                                  • 6249

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by englishmike
                                                                  He's done Slim.

                                                                  Yep. Glad I didn't need to sweat this one.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RealSlimShady
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-24-07
                                                                    • 6249

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Dammit. I spoke too soon.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • englishmike
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 06-19-08
                                                                      • 5279

                                                                      #35
                                                                      No you didn't. Weather is yet to play a part, just relax, he's done.
                                                                      Comment
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