A rare big tennis play on a player I no longer trust...

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #1
    A rare big tennis play on a player I no longer trust...
    Ana Ivanovic is -139 vs Nadia Petrova.

    I'm going with ole' unreliable here, and laying that price. If she screws me again, I'm going to have to simply delete her name from my tennis handicapping model and never evaluate her again, but I'm thinking the Serbian Sharpshooter gets it done with class in straight sets.

    Come on Ana. Do it and you're getting an avatar.

  • pico
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-05-07
    • 27321

    #2
    i like to give her a grand slam
    Comment
    • SBR Lou
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-02-07
      • 37863

      #3
      Ana broken to open the match.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4
        Comment
        • SBR Lou
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-02-07
          • 37863

          #5
          Well, this one's over.

          Congrats Petrova backers.
          Comment
          • pico
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-05-07
            • 27321

            #6
            chalk lou did it again
            Comment
            • JsmooveFTW
              SBR MVP
              • 11-17-08
              • 1279

              #7
              She's on her way to fading out of the top 20. Losing to Petrova is a bad sign. She's the ultimate choker
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #8
                Not over. She's in control in the 3rd, but I still wouldn't trust her. Congrats on your backbone Lou. Tough b-yotch to back.
                Comment
                • SBR Lou
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-02-07
                  • 37863

                  #9
                  Let's go Ana, hold the break!

                  Comment
                  • illmatick
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-05-09
                    • 5456

                    #10
                    strong comeback, hope she holds for you
                    Comment
                    • mathdotcom
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-24-08
                      • 11689

                      #11
                      Good work Lou

                      At least it wasn't -700
                      Comment
                      • SBR Lou
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-02-07
                        • 37863

                        #12
                        Ivanovic blows so hot & cold. She was up 4-1 and serving then lost the next 4 games.
                        Comment
                        • RiverRaid
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-19-07
                          • 2279

                          #13
                          Bitch is having an epic meltdown. She can still pull it out though.
                          Comment
                          • SBR Lou
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-02-07
                            • 37863

                            #14
                            Not sure what the point of fighting that hard was, she comes back from losing set one 61, wins the second set 64, goes up two breaks in the 3rd and is serving at 4-1 and then her serve disappears and she loses the next 5 games.
                            Comment
                            • RiverRaid
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-19-07
                              • 2279

                              #15
                              tough loss Crazy. Hard to believe she lost that set after being up 4-1.
                              Comment
                              • tullamore
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-17-07
                                • 3586

                                #16
                                Lou you should find another sport to follow.

                                Tennis is not working for you.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #17
                                  Put here on the NO FLY list Lou. She shoulda been there already.
                                  Comment
                                  • SBR Lou
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-02-07
                                    • 37863

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                    Put here on the NO FLY list Lou. She shoulda been there already.
                                    Right, just unsure what it is about her mentally that's not clicking. It can't be a physical problem, because she's in great shape, an extremely 'talented' player, very powerful. There's just something not right.

                                    A player like her should not lose to people like Nadia Petrova, nothing against Petrova but come on. And to claw her way back and demonstrate some of her class, then completely disappear up two breaks in the decider just seems hard to grasp.
                                    Comment
                                    • Spanks
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-12-07
                                      • 2040

                                      #19
                                      holy shit...
                                      Comment
                                      • pavyracer
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-12-07
                                        • 82907

                                        #20
                                        Wow! Did this bet also lose? Where does it end?
                                        Comment
                                        • raydog
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-07-07
                                          • 6984

                                          #21
                                          although no model can predict that finish, its time for you to ditch that fukking thing and attempt some nuts and bolts capping. besides the fed. prop (which i hope everyone who follows tennis at all put something down on) that model has buried you lately.
                                          Comment
                                          • GoodOldTed
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 02-03-09
                                            • 135

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by JsmooveFTW
                                            She's on her way to fading out of the top 20. Losing to Petrova is a bad sign. She's the ultimate choker
                                            Finalist and semi-finalist at this event the last two years.... has course form.

                                            Ivanovic sacked her coach last week.
                                            Comment
                                            • SBR Lou
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-02-07
                                              • 37863

                                              #23
                                              Well, 'what are ya gonna do'. I'll take a player up 2 breaks in the deciding set anytime, I've won when a player came back from behind two breaks late in the decider (Agnes Szavay), so perhaps I'm paying it forward here.
                                              Comment
                                              • alukk
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-29-09
                                                • 1544

                                                #24
                                                dude. dont bet at female tennis
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #25
                                                  Yeah I gotta say, this loss had nothing to do with whatever you think of Lou's tennis model. This was a choke job special. These happen.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388179

                                                    #26
                                                    You should not trust any woman player they all are very erratic.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • yisman
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-01-08
                                                      • 75682

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by CrazyLou
                                                      A player like her should not lose to people like Nadia Petrova, nothing against Petrova but come on.
                                                      Petrova is just as good as Ivanovic. You're acting like Petrova is some scrub.
                                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                      [/quote]

                                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SBR Lou
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 08-02-07
                                                        • 37863

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by yisman
                                                        Petrova is just as good as Ivanovic. You're acting like Petrova is some scrub.
                                                        Just as good as her now, I guess so.

                                                        But when both players are playing their A game, I don't know that I'd favor Petrova on any surface over Ivanovic.

                                                        I'm not saying Petrova is some nobody, but when Ivanovic is blowing hot instead of cold I like her over an in-form anybody.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pico
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-05-07
                                                          • 27321

                                                          #29
                                                          ana is always in form
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pavyracer
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-12-07
                                                            • 82907

                                                            #30
                                                            Anyone knows how big this play was?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pico
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 04-05-07
                                                              • 27321

                                                              #31
                                                              30C...or bigger?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RogueScholar
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-05-07
                                                                • 5082

                                                                #32
                                                                I agree with Yisman, if not for name recognition, Ivanovic would've been the dog in this match. Petrova had all the tools to dismantle Ivanovic, and while Ivanovic helped alot, Petrova is probably the superior overall player.
                                                                Originally posted by StraitShooter
                                                                90% of the guys dont give a shit about your problems..and the other 10 are glad you have them..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MonkeyF0cker
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 06-12-07
                                                                  • 12144

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Wait. People actually believe Lou has a probability model?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tacomax
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-10-05
                                                                    • 9619

                                                                    #34
                                                                    This was her reaction when she was 4-1 up in the final set and someone shouted out "Ana, you're Crazylou's pick of the day". Collapse was then unavoidable.

                                                                    Originally posted by pags11
                                                                    SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
                                                                    Originally posted by BuddyBear
                                                                    I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
                                                                    Originally posted by curious
                                                                    taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pavyracer
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 04-12-07
                                                                      • 82907

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Sorry taco..It looks to me like she is giving an air blow job even massaging the balls.
                                                                      Comment
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