Magic/Lakers Game II Discussion

KingRevolver · 06-07-09, 06:05 PM

Originally posted by Robust

I have been checking in on the line movement on this game since the end of the first one and am baffeled by the bets.

After the sheer dominance by the lakers starting the second quater, I would have thought the line would go up. But there it is, still @ 6.5.. and -6.5 went from -119 to -103 (sbrlines). WTF!?!?!?!?!?

The total went down as I expected, but not to the levels I hoped for (I like taking the over.. was UNDER in game 1

) 203.5 to 202.. Over +105, Under -106 (sbrlines)..

Is it "square money" keeping these lines from moving as I expected? Do the sharps now like the magic? In the service plays forum, the touts love the magic in this one.. I still LOVE the LAKERS...?

Am i setting myself up for a huge loss by getting on the lakers -6.5 and under 202? (I expect ~198, lakers by 12)?

so wtf am I missing??

Robust

Well the Magic have been resilient in the playoffs but I still took the Lakers -6.5.

I also took the Lakers -3.5 at the half.

I didn't bother with the over/under because if the Magic come out shooting (and making) that'll definitely drive up the score but I think the Lakers will still hold them off by at least 8 points.

Robust · 06-07-09, 06:13 PM

I agree.. if the magic start making their shots.. and especially 3 pointers, the under is dust.. but the over looks too good to be true.. my book is always -110 no matter the number (lol!), but looking at sbrlines, I could theoretically get it at +100 (pinny).. even money for the over in a playoff game.. doesn't feel right.. ?
the "squares ALWAYS take the over.. they being fed a bone tonight? I still think they are gonna GET boned

Robust

KingRevolver · 06-07-09, 06:17 PM

Originally posted by Robust

I agree.. if the magic start making their shots.. and especially 3 pointers, the under is dust.. but the over looks too good to be true.. my book is always -110 no matter the number (lol!), but looking at sbrlines, I could theoretically get it at +100 (pinny).. even money for the over in a playoff game.. doesn't feel right.. ?
the "squares ALWAYS take the over.. they being fed a bone tonight? I still think they are gonna GET boned

Robust

Go bet the half time Lakers -3.5

I can't see the Lakers not leading by at least 4 points at the half.

Robust · 06-07-09, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by KingRevolver

Go bet the half time Lakers -3.5

I can't see the Lakers not leading by at least 4 points at the half.

but if the magic come out shooting, they could lead at the half.. lol.. man i am messing myself up..

good luck bro..

I think i am leaning lakers -6.5 (or buy a .5 for a little peace of mind?) and over 202.. both these bets make no sense when looking at the lines.. so they must be gold!

gonna think it out one last time..

Robust

StyleQ · 06-07-09, 06:33 PM

Magic +7 - The fact that you had to ask this question should have answered it for you. Monitoring line movement it is clear the books want money on the Lakers - and they're getting it.

Robust · 06-07-09, 06:39 PM

Originally posted by StyleQ

Magic +7 - The fact that you had to ask this question should have answered it for you. Monitoring line movement it is clear the books want money on the Lakers - and they're getting it.

fvck me! you're right!! AHHHHH!!!!!!!!!

still about 30 min to make up my mind.. lol!

Robust

jjgold · 06-07-09, 06:44 PM

Orlando played worst games of playoffs and that is not happening again therefore line has not moved.

Robust · 06-07-09, 06:57 PM

fvck it.. not placing a bet on this one.. over thinking it..

but i lean Magic +280 and Over 202.. both against the lines.. if they hit, I will be pissed.. if not, i will be happy..

gonna enjoy the game at a friends house.. will try to post from there..

Robust

Chi_archie · 06-07-09, 07:07 PM

Magic win by 4

Tsoprano · 06-07-09, 07:50 PM

Go Orlando +6.5

Robust · 06-08-09, 05:10 AM

Magic after the game started T????

and I am glad I had no bet.. fvck that first period... and the OT was worse for the over backers.. damn!!!!

but now what do we do for the next one???

Orlando and Over without seeing the spreads.. LOL

Robust