Anything wrong with this strategy? (Gonzalez v. Soderling)

[fearless]

I can't decide which way to bet this and I see the over/under games line is 41.5 over -120. I feel like the books are screaming that this thing is going five sets with the over/under that high. Here's my thought:

.5 units on Gonzalez wins 3-2 +450
.5 units on Soderling wins 3-2 +450

If the match goes 5 sets I'll win 3.5 units and if it doesn't go 5 sets I lose a unit.

Any opinions on this strategy?

[hoopster42]

dude bet soderling at plus odds, he's on fire right now and gonzo will feel the heat this morning