Vegas Dave's Baseball Picks 06/04/09

VegasDave · 06-04-09, 12:53 PM

Pick 1: Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins Over 9.5 (-108)

After yesterday's offensive outburst, it looks like Cleveland can still manage to put up some runs despite their injury woes.

Both starting pitchers have been a major disappointment so far this season for their respective clubs. Fausto Carmona has a 6.60 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP, and has given up four runs or more in eight of his ten starts this season. Scott Baker has an ERA of 6.32 and has given up four or more runs in seven of his nine starts.

Even if one of these guys returns to form today, there should still be plenty of offense to go around. And if neither of them does, it should be and early and easy cash.

Pick 2: Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+125) over Oakland A's

By the numbers, Anderson is at a severe disadvantage against Buehrle tonight. I expect the White Sox bats to find a little life tonight, and Buerhle to take care of the rest.

Pick 3: San Francisco +121 over Washington Nationals (Game 1)

The Big Unit goes for win #300, and I think he gets it. He has pitched very well in two straight games, and despite some major hiccups has still showed flashes of brilliance this season. As much as I love Zimmermann as a prospect, it is hard to ignore the fact that he's given up at least five runs in five of his last six starts. Tack on the horrible bullpen, and San Fran is worth a shot at +money.

Pick 4: Houston Astros -1.5 (+135) over Colorado Rockies

Wandy Rodriguez has had two straight shaky starts, but they both came on the road. At home he has been untouchable this season, giving up just three runs over five starts en route to a 0.79 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP. Colorado's offense has been struggling as well, and I expect Wandy to get back on track tonight with a very strong performance. Jason Hammel hasn't pitched well enough this year to lead me to believe he can keep up.

Good luck!

FULL DISCLOSURE: I am negative units on the season, as you can see in my signature and on my spreadsheet. While I do work really hard to cap these games and hope to finish the season in the green, don't want anyone tailing me thinking I'm better than I actually am. Hopefully if you choose to tail me its because you agree with my write-ups

.

Willie Bee · 06-04-09, 01:01 PM

You're a sneaky one, VD. Con me into taking the Rockies -150 (though I do admit you gave me 10¢ on that line), and then you immediately fade me and take the 'Stros on the run line. This means war, Vegas Dave.

VegasDave · 06-04-09, 02:11 PM

Cleveland/Minny OVER = WINNER

White Sox keep threatening but can't seem to solve Anderson. Go figure.