Does this parlay seem to easy? Must Read !!

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • payingthejuice
    Restricted User
    • 04-02-09
    • 2075

    #1
    Does this parlay seem to easy? Must Read !!
    I spend a lot of time looking at past lines for MLB for the past 5 years and came up with some interesting information.

    2004: The favorites swept the boards 2 days of the season
    2004: The Dogs swept the boards 0 days of the season

    2005: The favorites swept the boards 1 day of the season
    2005: The Dogs swept the boards 1 day of the season

    2006: The favorites swept the boards 2 days of the season
    2006: The Dogs swept the boards 0 days of the season

    2007: The favorites swept the boards 2 days of the season
    2007: The Dogs swept the boards 1 days of the season

    2008: The favorites swept the boards 1 days of the season
    2008: The Dogs swept the boards 0 days of the season

    2009: Neither has swept the boards yet this year.

    The point I am getting at is that for the past 5 years the Favorites have swpet the board at least 1 Time during the year. IF you bet ALL the favorites on 1 $10 Parlay for anywhere from a 6-16 team Parlay, thats some serious cash.

    For example:

    Bet a $10 Parlay a day for 200 days ($2000 investment)

    For the sake of argument if you bet a $10 parlay for todays games (14 game parlay) and today was the day all the favorites swept the board you would cash out $28,095.61

    Just something to think about, and you already saved money this year, none of the favorites have swept the boards this year. So might be a good time to start. Hell, its $10 a day, and it seems to hit at least 1 time per season.

    Im going to give it a shot starting tomorrow. Good Luck guys, hope you found this useful!
  • paco
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-07-09
    • 62873

    #2
    Good stuff
    Comment
    • BeatTheJerk
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-19-07
      • 31794

      #3
      This is the type of info that is appreciated from a fellow poster and parlay fiend lol ................. great stuff !
      Comment
      • payingthejuice
        Restricted User
        • 04-02-09
        • 2075

        #4
        I dont play parlays at all (usually round-robins if I do) but I was looking for an angle, and this was the best 1 I could find to invest in.
        Comment
        • bubba
          SBR MVP
          • 09-29-05
          • 2432

          #5
          do you have the info on when it hits how many games there were that day? does no good if the 1 times it hits is only 6 games......
          Comment
          • dreamjob
            SBR MVP
            • 05-21-09
            • 1963

            #6
            Very interesting stuff. Great post
            Comment
            • Fiasco
              SBR MVP
              • 11-02-08
              • 2406

              #7
              Originally posted by bubba
              do you have the info on when it hits how many games there were that day? does no good if the 1 times it hits is only 6 games......
              valid point
              Comment
              • payingthejuice
                Restricted User
                • 04-02-09
                • 2075

                #8
                Originally posted by bubba
                do you have the info on when it hits how many games there were that day? does no good if the 1 times it hits is only 6 games......
                Dammit, Ill go through all the stats again, I think the lowest 1 was an 8-teamer if I remember
                Comment
                • Bluehorseshoe
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-13-06
                  • 15018

                  #9
                  What about the PK games?
                  Comment
                  • smitch124
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-19-08
                    • 12566

                    #10
                    Interesting to check overs and unders as well...
                    Comment
                    • pavyracer
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-12-07
                      • 82907

                      #11
                      You looked at 12,000 games in 2 hours? Thank you Superman.
                      Comment
                      • Chi_archie
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-22-08
                        • 63172

                        #12
                        sweeping the board 1 or 2 times every year, out of about 180+ days of play, is not a strong enough reason to feel that its going to happen this year....
                        Comment
                        • payingthejuice
                          Restricted User
                          • 04-02-09
                          • 2075

                          #13
                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                          You looked at 12,000 games in 2 hours? Thank you Superman.

                          Where did I say 2 hours? point that out to me "Bill Nye"

                          Took appx 16+ hours over the past 3 days
                          Comment
                          • pavyracer
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-12-07
                            • 82907

                            #14
                            You said past few hours.
                            Comment
                            • payingthejuice
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-02-09
                              • 2075

                              #15
                              Originally posted by pavyracer
                              You said past few hours.
                              So where did the MYSTERY 2 hours come from that you were speaking about earlier?
                              Comment
                              • payingthejuice
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-02-09
                                • 2075

                                #16
                                Originally posted by pavyracer
                                You said past few hours.
                                So FEW in your grasp of the english language means 2?

                                So If I had said "couple" of hours, would that have meant 1 hour?

                                Few hours in my book means more then 2, yet less then 24.
                                Comment
                                • pavyracer
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-12-07
                                  • 82907

                                  #17
                                  If it's more that 2 hours you usually say I spend a lot of time.
                                  Comment
                                  • payingthejuice
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 2075

                                    #18
                                    Ok, Ill correct my post with "Spend my Time" lol, which would make it actually not make sense.

                                    But whatever lmao.
                                    Comment
                                    • pavyracer
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 04-12-07
                                      • 82907

                                      #19
                                      You may have supernatural skills reading, analyzing and processing 12,000 games in a "few" hours.
                                      Comment
                                      • paco
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-07-09
                                        • 62873

                                        #20
                                        I put in on last 5 mlb favs tonight: lets hope tonight is that night
                                        Comment
                                        • BeatTheJerk
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 08-19-07
                                          • 31794

                                          #21
                                          a few hours means 3 to 4 hours in my book .............. and I would like to think people would agree with this.
                                          Comment
                                          • pavyracer
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-12-07
                                            • 82907

                                            #22
                                            12,000 games over 3 hrs is 67 games per minute or 1 game per second. Even if all the games and lines were printed on a single piece of paper it is impossible to read, analyze, process and record all these games in 1 second per game. The human brain is not made to analyze this fast.
                                            Comment
                                            • payingthejuice
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 2075

                                              #23
                                              Actually it is fast. You dont look at EVERY GAME, soon as you see a loss for that day, on to the next day. Can go through 1 month of plays in a minute.

                                              Ill just remember not to contribute anything. Just trying to pass on something, and Bill Nye had to stop in.
                                              Comment
                                              • pavyracer
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-12-07
                                                • 82907

                                                #24
                                                Since you are that fast can you tell me how many games were 1 run games from 1970 until 2008? I want it done is 4 hours. Thanks pally.
                                                Comment
                                                • payingthejuice
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-02-09
                                                  • 2075

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                  Since you are that fast can you tell me how many games were 1 run games from 1970 until 2008? I want it done is 4 hours. Thanks pally.
                                                  Are you really that retarded?

                                                  Looking at a days games and looking for a favorite loss (took appx 16hrs over 3 days, read my post above) yet you want me to go through 25 seasons and count every game by 1 run?

                                                  Did being forced to take it from both ends in prison cause brain damage?

                                                  Or are you just pissed that someone pointed out some information about MLB and a trend that has happened for the past few seasons?

                                                  I really dont get what you are trying to do.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ijustwant2bpaid
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-11-08
                                                    • 3706

                                                    #26
                                                    thanks for the info, it means alot that u share it to some of us, and if you could try to figure out the amount of teams that were playin durimg those "sweeps" it would help out alot. I dont really play parlays but this one sounds interesting.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • payingthejuice
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                      • 2075

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                      Since you are that fast can you tell me how many games were 1 run games from 1970 until 2008? I want it done is 4 hours. Thanks pally.

                                                      BTW, by averages, that number would eclipse the 22K mark.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • InTheHole
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-28-08
                                                        • 15243

                                                        #28
                                                        Ganch.......Durito....DonJuan....Justin. ..Monkeyf0cker?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Rich Boy
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-01-09
                                                          • 9714

                                                          #29
                                                          This is ridiculous, betting all of those teams ML in a parlay will have a monster hold for the house. There is no way you can turn that into a +EV wager.

                                                          Do this and you will go broke.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • payingthejuice
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 04-02-09
                                                            • 2075

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                                            This is ridiculous, betting all of those teams ML in a parlay will have a monster hold for the house. There is no way you can turn that into a +EV wager.

                                                            Do this and you will go broke.

                                                            How so? If it hits 1 time during the year you are up +money.

                                                            Bet 230 days of the year x $10 a day = $2300

                                                            Hitting a 8+ or more in a $10 baseball parlay puts you in the green.

                                                            Its an interesting angle which has hit the past 5 years in a row, even on a couple of instances it has hit twice in the same year.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • paco
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-07-09
                                                              • 62873

                                                              #31
                                                              I like it payingthejuice
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Fiasco
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-02-08
                                                                • 2406

                                                                #32
                                                                If you have 2300 spare to gamble, and I stress gamble, then by all means go for it...

                                                                It'd be fun to say you hit it..

                                                                I wouldn't go in expecting to hit it though
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Chi_archie
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-22-08
                                                                  • 63172

                                                                  #33
                                                                  so it has "averaged" hitting about 1.5 times in 200 days of games over 5 years...... so this parlay will hit about .75% of the time.... do you really wanna do a non-progressive chase parlay system on such weak back data?

                                                                  if we had the numbers for the last 25 seasons (even though we have more teams now) MAYBE we could have a fair estimate of this hitting in any given season..... just seeing that it has hit 8 times in 5 seasons isn't enough to go on.........I would imagine Its not worth the time given what the odds would end up being....
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • payingthejuice
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                                    • 2075

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Would be funny if it actually hits tomorrow lol ....

                                                                    ****, now I got to put $20 on it just because I said that.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Chi_archie
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-22-08
                                                                      • 63172

                                                                      #35
                                                                      you get an extra fave in there with the double header now... what book takes parlay's this big?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...