Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros Dilema

[Madetowin]

I was thinking of going hugeeeeee on Colorado tonight but every freakin tout and some of the members here on SBR like the Astros. Am I missing something here. I was predicting a easy win for the Colorado Rockies and I was going to put %30 of my bank roll on them. Now I'm starting to second guess myself. What do you guys think .

[pavyracer]

This is a coin flip. How can you trust a rookie pitcher without a win or a team that strikes out as often as the Rockies.

[Willie Bee]

I'm a big proponent of fading the Astros this season, and with Paulino going for Houston it wouldn't be that difficult for me to back the Rox tonight. But 30% of your roll?! Yikes!

[smitch124]

Rockies favored on the road is always a hard play for me to pull the trigger on, and Baldy always lets me down when I bet him. GL to you though!

[Justin7]

I was thinking of going hugeeeeee on Colorado tonight but every freakin tout and some of the members here on SBR like the Astros. Am I missing something here. I was predicting a easy win for the Colorado Rockies and I was going to put %30 of my bank roll on them. Now I'm starting to second guess myself. What do you guys think .

Stop. Take a deep breath.

The market has Colorado priced at -130, or about a 56.5 % chance of winning.

What do you make the fair odds?

Unless you have better information than the market, it's hard to get more than a 1-2% edge on game day. If you still love Colorado, don't risk more than 1% on it (and then you can blame me if Colorado wins).

[VegasDave]

Have to agree this isn't 30%-worthy

[Chi_archie]

if you like it alot... maybe put 3 or 4% of your bankroll on this, but not 30%!!!!