Tennis people - Murray vs Gonzales?

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  • The HG
    SBR MVP
    • 11-01-06
    • 3566

    #1
    Tennis people - Murray vs Gonzales?
    I know zero about betting tennis. I am not betting this match at all, but I have the opportunity to use it in a contest - Murray of course. Murray is a -147 fave at Pinny right now - which side has value in your opinions? Murray better than -147 perhaps?
  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #2
    It's all about whether you believe the "virus" rumors regarding Gonzalez's decision to pull out of doubles. If you believe he will be affected by this, then yes Murray would probably be your choice. I however don't see definitive proof that this virus is a problem. Could be a ploy. Could be a 24 hour bug that has no effect. Could be a bug that drains Gonzo completely. I'm going into it as if the virus talk is just talk and in that case, Gonzalez is my pick because his clay court form has been solid and Murray is still getting comfortable on the surface.
    Comment
    • xxdjstriderxx
      SBR MVP
      • 11-25-08
      • 4740

      #3
      Gonzalez
      Comment
      • twister
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-09-08
        • 405

        #4
        Just so you know, this is the furthest Murray has got in the French Open.

        His pre-tournament hopes were of reaching week 2, suggesting that he didn't have much confidence in going any further. Whereas I wouldn't discount him, it is interesting/helpful to know a players mindset. Maybe this will let him play with more freedom, or perhaps he knows his clay-court skills are limited.
        Comment
        • Netprofit
          SBR MVP
          • 03-25-08
          • 3538

          #5
          For me, Gonzalez is very good "value" (but i kind of hesitate to use this word for reason some may guess) at +money.
          Comment
          • tacomax
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-10-05
            • 9619

            #6
            CrazyLou told me that his model calculated the true odds on Murray at -5687. Pound that line faster than RogueScholar would pound englishmike's arse.
            Originally posted by pags11
            SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
            Originally posted by BuddyBear
            I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
            Originally posted by curious
            taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
            Comment
            • The General
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-10-05
              • 13279

              #7
              Gonzo and plus money is good
              Comment
              • The General
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-10-05
                • 13279

                #8
                Murray is a lock since I posted above so Go with Murray BIG, Sir.
                Comment
                • SportsTerminator
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-18-09
                  • 5179

                  #9
                  I heard Gonzalez is really good on clay. But I got good inside tip lol telling me that Murray will win.
                  Bet To Win
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    Murray

                    Most underrrated player on tour
                    Comment
                    • HeeeHAWWWW
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-13-08
                      • 5487

                      #11
                      Gonzo = better claycourter than Murray, in terrific form ...... but not that much variety.

                      Murray = better big match player, vastly better tactically. Most importantly, with Nadal out, he's now got a good shot at winning the tournament - he's beaten Federer 5 times in a row. Expect him to throw the whole range of his talent at Gonzalez today.


                      Can't make up my mind tbh.
                      Comment
                      • Netprofit
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-25-08
                        • 3538

                        #12
                        guys, is there any link for online live telecast at all?
                        Comment
                        • ZXCVBNM
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-17-08
                          • 1027

                          #13
                          Murray is a great player, switches up style, is versatile, etc. Gonzalez hasn't faced anyone like him yet.

                          And the idiots over at tennis insight prefer him 50-30 over Murray, just confirmation that Murray is winning this.
                          Comment
                          • l7ustin
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-09-08
                            • 3914

                            #14
                            espn360 has all the matches, and murray is taking this.
                            Comment
                            • robzilla
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-25-07
                              • 3556

                              #15
                              My man gonzo looks good early. Making Murray run all over the place
                              Comment
                              • SexyMit
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-12-06
                                • 6139

                                #16
                                Originally posted by robzilla
                                My man gonzo looks good early. Making Murray run all over the place
                                So far so good! Hopefully he can keep it up and put murray away!
                                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                Comment
                                • SexyMit
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-12-06
                                  • 6139

                                  #17
                                  Looking like its going to be a very looong match!
                                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                  Comment
                                  • SexyMit
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-12-06
                                    • 6139

                                    #18
                                    Gonzo is just dominateing Murray!
                                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                    Comment
                                    • bettilimbroke999
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-04-08
                                      • 13254

                                      #19
                                      Serving for the match Gonzo loses 4 straight points
                                      Comment
                                      • bettilimbroke999
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-04-08
                                        • 13254

                                        #20
                                        Well then Murray loses 4 straight points on his serve, congrats Gonzo
                                        Comment
                                        • HeeeHAWWWW
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 06-13-08
                                          • 5487

                                          #21
                                          Strange match - Gonzo brilliant first set, then Murray fights back and takes the second, playing perfect stuff (literally made zero errors that 2nd set). Then.......... explodes. Can't keep the ball in court. In his first service game he made 5 UEs, almost as many as in the first two sets put together.

                                          It's a concentration thing with Murray on clay I think. Just needs such a mental effort to keep his game up, whereas on hard and particularly indoors he can do anything and everything he needs, it's all so natural and unstressful.
                                          Comment
                                          • SBR Lou
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-02-07
                                            • 37863

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by HeeeHAWWWW
                                            Strange match - Gonzo brilliant first set, then Murray fights back and takes the second, playing perfect stuff (literally made zero errors that 2nd set). Then.......... explodes. Can't keep the ball in court. In his first service game he made 5 UEs, almost as many as in the first two sets put together.

                                            It's a concentration thing with Murray on clay I think. Just needs such a mental effort to keep his game up, whereas on hard and particularly indoors he can do anything and everything he needs, it's all so natural and unstressful.
                                            It wasn't concentration, his game is far more tailored to hard courts.
                                            Comment
                                            • HeeeHAWWWW
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-13-08
                                              • 5487

                                              #23
                                              It's definitely concentration imo when you win a set with literally no errors, then immediately collapse and lose the next 0-6 :-) Gonzo had to do very little that set either, Murray couldn't make basic shots without netting or sending it wide.

                                              Same thing at the end of the match, Gonzo breaks and is serving for the match. Then Murray raises his game, brilliant stuff, breaks. Having got over that huge hurdle, all the mental effort .............collapse. Loses his serve and the match with four basic errors.


                                              Reason I brought it up is I've seen it before: he did it against Potro in Madrid. Was winning first set, looking pretty comfortable, serving for the set. Then string broke, completely went off form, lost 11 points in a row with loads of errors, played badly in the tiebreak, and lost the 2nd set before he could get any form back. Not that far different against Monaco in Rome either.
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