What am I missing? (MLB 5-29)
Cincinnati/Milwaukee (Cueto/Looper). I bit early on Milwaukee, convinced the line would steam. It did, then it went back today. I'm on Looper at +100 which I still think is the right side, but I have to doubt myself when the market tells me to go to hell (which it does about 30% of the time on these sides).
Why does the market buy the Cueto cool-aid? He's had a great start this year, but I think reversion to the mean will rear its ugly head. I give Milwaukee a moderate advantage at bats (1/4 run), and a small pitching advantage including bullpen. Add in home advantage, and they're now a dog?!?
Milwaukee (Cueto/Looper) +100, good to -110. Currently at +108.
Why does the market buy the Cueto cool-aid? He's had a great start this year, but I think reversion to the mean will rear its ugly head. I give Milwaukee a moderate advantage at bats (1/4 run), and a small pitching advantage including bullpen. Add in home advantage, and they're now a dog?!?
Milwaukee (Cueto/Looper) +100, good to -110. Currently at +108.