Sharps Are on Denver Tonight

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  • anthonydiamondLC
    SBR MVP
    • 11-02-08
    • 2296

    #1
    Sharps Are on Denver Tonight
    Denver -5.5 is the play. This series is going 7 for sure don't be fooled by the Lakers win last game, they will not beat Denver tonight, in Denver, in a close out game. Denver has been great all year at home and like the Cavs last night will rally and pull the big home win. Look back to the Lakers last game 6 to just realize how they can exactly not show up. They got the shit kicked out of them in Houston. The Lakers are playing this series to win it at home on there floor. Everything would have to be on tonight for the Lakers to pull the win. Kobe may drop 30pts, but if the bench doesen't score and Kobe gets limited help from Gasol, Fisher, Bynum, and the rest of them Denver will win this game just how they won game 4. The -5.5 right now is actually the biggest home line Denver has had yet. The books aren't stupid there not gonna give the Lakers the most amount of points they've given them all series for no point at all. The more points you give the Lakers the more the public will follow. Right now about 55% are on the Lakers. Denver is definitely the play tonight. Get on it.
  • SexyMit
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-12-06
    • 6139

    #2
    I'm not to sure about this one. The sharps are not on Denver, if they were the line would not have fallen form -6 to -5.5 if the sharps were on Denver!
    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
    Comment
    • hoopster42
      Restricted User
      • 02-12-08
      • 6099

      #3
      Originally posted by SexyMit
      I'm not to sure about this one. The sharps are not on Denver, if they were the line would not have fallen form -6 to -5.5 if the sharps were on Denver!
      i'm seeing an opener of 5 that has gone to 5.5
      Comment
      • SexyMit
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-12-06
        • 6139

        #4
        But yes it is the higher spread this series. I would lean Denver though but tonight I honestly can't decide one way or another!
        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
        Comment
        • anthonydiamondLC
          SBR MVP
          • 11-02-08
          • 2296

          #5
          The public is pounding the Lakers that's why the number is going down. What the sharps do and where the line moves doesen't always mean the same thing.
          Comment
          • anthonydiamondLC
            SBR MVP
            • 11-02-08
            • 2296

            #6
            The Lakers have leaned on there home court all year. They are playing this series to win it in 7.
            Comment
            • SexyMit
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-12-06
              • 6139

              #7
              Originally posted by hoopster42
              i'm seeing an opener of 5 that has gone to 5.5
              Actually I just looked at sbrlines, it opened at 5 then went up and now coming back down. I don't know what to do with that line. Sbrlines are not very accurate, they opend the Orlando game at a pk in alot of places and sbrlines shows it opened at -2 Orlando. It has already been bet up to -2, so its hard to go by sbrlines sometimes.
              If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

              I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
              Comment
              • SexyMit
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-12-06
                • 6139

                #8
                Originally posted by anthonydiamondLC
                The public is pounding the Lakers that's why the number is going down. What the sharps do and where the line moves doesen't always mean the same thing.
                I honestly don't think they are Pounding Lakers! Not like they did in game 4, so I think they have a little more equal action this time on the game!
                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                Comment
                • anthonydiamondLC
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-02-08
                  • 2296

                  #9
                  I see some RLM in this game for sure. Either way the Nuggets are the play.
                  Comment
                  • SexyMit
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-12-06
                    • 6139

                    #10
                    There has been RLM all week to tell you the truth. Every game this week! The RLM can't hit every game this week can it? Usually the public has to win sometime don't they... LOL!
                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                    Comment
                    • anthonydiamondLC
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-02-08
                      • 2296

                      #11
                      Originally posted by SexyMit
                      There has been RLM all week to tell you the truth. Every game this week! The RLM can't hit every game this week can it? Usually the public has to win sometime don't they... LOL!
                      haha. Yea that is true...



                      but not this game.
                      Comment
                      • hoopster42
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-12-08
                        • 6099

                        #12
                        if you missed the boat on -5 i say lower your bet size, -5.5 while half a pt away is just not a good line
                        Comment
                        • Brock Landers
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 06-30-08
                          • 45367

                          #13
                          a repeat of game 4 in store here..
                          Comment
                          • SexyMit
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-12-06
                            • 6139

                            #14
                            I have that feeling also, but I just don't like the 5.5
                            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                            Comment
                            • anthonydiamondLC
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-02-08
                              • 2296

                              #15
                              This game is gonna be a good one. Nuggets are gonna be hitting some shots. I would love to see JR Smith go off for like 7 3's.
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388208

                                #16
                                I took Denver in 1st qtr -1.5
                                Comment
                                • Pecos Bill
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-27-09
                                  • 1958

                                  #17
                                  I just dropped half of my bankroll on the nuggets.
                                  Comment
                                  • BeatTheJerk
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-19-07
                                    • 31802

                                    #18
                                    Be aware AnnthonyDiamondLC is a sharp player ..................... you might wanna hop on board and cash your ticket! I'm on the Denver ML myself.
                                    Comment
                                    • alukk
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-29-09
                                      • 1544

                                      #19
                                      im on denver 1q, 1st half HEVy, and game for a small bet
                                      Comment
                                      • bobbyfk
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-19-09
                                        • 15218

                                        #20
                                        on Denver-5
                                        Comment
                                        • losturmarbles
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-01-08
                                          • 4604

                                          #21
                                          pinny lines from sbr

                                          05/28 12:51AM: +6 -106 / -6 +100
                                          05/28 12:56AM: +6 -124 / -6 +118
                                          05/28 01:06AM: +6 -118 / -6 +112
                                          05/28 01:21AM: +5½ -109 / -5½ +103
                                          05/28 01:36AM: +5½ -106 / -5½ +100
                                          05/28 02:37AM: +5½ -108 / -5½ +102
                                          05/28 03:11AM: +5½ -111 / -5½ +105
                                          05/28 09:41AM: +5½ -115 / -5½ +109
                                          05/28 10:01AM: +5 -106 / -5 +100
                                          05/28 10:21AM: +5 -103 / -5 -103
                                          05/28 10:26AM: +5 -101 / -5 -105
                                          05/28 06:57PM: +5 +100 / -5 -106
                                          05/28 07:02PM: +5 +102 / -5 -108
                                          05/28 07:52PM: +5 +105 / -5 -111
                                          05/28 08:47PM: +5 +104 / -5 -110
                                          05/28 09:02PM: +5 +105 / -5 -111
                                          05/28 11:40PM: +5 +106 / -5 -112
                                          05/29 01:30AM: +5 +105 / -5 -111
                                          05/29 01:35AM: +5 +110 / -5 -116
                                          05/29 01:40AM: +5 +106 / -5 -112
                                          05/29 02:10AM: +5½ -103 / -5½ -103
                                          05/29 08:45AM: +5½ -104 / -5½ -102
                                          05/29 09:10AM: +5½ -106 / -5½ +100
                                          05/29 09:40AM: +5½ -107 / -5½ +101
                                          05/29 09:45AM: +5½ -104 / -5½ -102


                                          6 cent lines opened at -6

                                          denver is probably going to cover
                                          Comment
                                          • pimike
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-23-08
                                            • 37139

                                            #22
                                            If you go by the late action going on Denver you would think that. However lostmarbles don't get sucked into Vegas deceiving the bettors.

                                            Just go with the team you like tonight
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94464

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by anthonydiamondLC
                                              Denver -5.5 is the play. This series is going 7 for sure don't be fooled by the Lakers win last game, they will not beat Denver tonight, in Denver, in a close out game. Denver has been great all year at home and like the Cavs last night will rally and pull the big home win. Look back to the Lakers last game 6 to just realize how they can exactly not show up. They got the shit kicked out of them in Houston. The Lakers are playing this series to win it at home on there floor. Everything would have to be on tonight for the Lakers to pull the win. Kobe may drop 30pts, but if the bench doesen't score and Kobe gets limited help from Gasol, Fisher, Bynum, and the rest of them Denver will win this game just how they won game 4. The -5.5 right now is actually the biggest home line Denver has had yet. The books aren't stupid there not gonna give the Lakers the most amount of points they've given them all series for no point at all. The more points you give the Lakers the more the public will follow. Right now about 55% are on the Lakers. Denver is definitely the play tonight. Get on it.
                                              i like you but your due to be wrong
                                              Comment
                                              • SportsChic
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-11-09
                                                • 1161

                                                #24
                                                Lakers ML

                                                Lakers +3.5 and over 104.5 first half

                                                KOBE IS GOING TO BE ON A MISSION IN THIS GAME...AFTER LEBRON'S PERFORMANCE LAST NIGHT, DONT THINK HE WONT BE OUT TO PROVE SOMETHING!!
                                                Comment
                                                • ChuteBoxe
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-21-07
                                                  • 6885

                                                  #25
                                                  Consensus is split as of now...51% is on the Nuggets. 49% on the Lakers.

                                                  Sharp money went on the Lakers, since the line fell a full point, while the public favored the Nuggets from when it opened at +6. Yesterday afternoon the consensus liked the Nuggets at 62% of total bets.

                                                  This is the numbers I'm getting from a $300/month pro line service.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • losturmarbles
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-01-08
                                                    • 4604

                                                    #26
                                                    pimike, my point was pinny opened with 6 cent lines, ie sharp lines. they opened at -6 while greek opened at -4.5 later in the day. pinny was inviting any early action on lakers, while offering denver at a point more than they would 12 hours later. that screams to me the sharp play is denver -5.

                                                    but i'll be playing denver ml mostly.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • losturmarbles
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-01-08
                                                      • 4604

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ChuteBoxe
                                                      Consensus is split as of now...51% is on the Nuggets. 49% on the Lakers.

                                                      Sharp money went on the Lakers, since the line fell a full point, while the public favored the Nuggets from when it opened at +6. Yesterday afternoon the consensus liked the Nuggets at 62% of total bets.

                                                      This is the numbers I'm getting from a $300/month pro line service.
                                                      what book?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pimike
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 03-23-08
                                                        • 37139

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by losturmarbles
                                                        pimike, my point was pinny opened with 6 cent lines, ie sharp lines. they opened at -6 while greek opened at -4.5 later in the day. pinny was inviting any early action on lakers, while offering denver at a point more than they would 12 hours later. that screams to me the sharp play is denver -5.

                                                        but i'll be playing denver ml mostly.
                                                        Good Luck, maybe get Lakers second half. LAKERS are my only play today.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Tsoprano
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-14-08
                                                          • 26374

                                                          #29
                                                          No, we are on LA +5.5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChuteBoxe
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-21-07
                                                            • 6885

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by losturmarbles
                                                            what book?
                                                            Pinnacle.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SexyMit
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-12-06
                                                              • 6139

                                                              #31
                                                              I told you the RLM can't work all week! I didn't like this game thank goodness I didn't honestly mess with it!
                                                              If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                              I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Shortstop
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 01-02-09
                                                                • 27281

                                                                #32
                                                                Whatever pal!




                                                                .
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Shortstop
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 01-02-09
                                                                  • 27281

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I guess I'm a square then.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SexyMit
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-12-06
                                                                    • 6139

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Lol... you have been putting up alot of winners in the Best Bet Thread Short! You see I'm climbing up and trying to catch you guys up there at the top!
                                                                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dank_Fire
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-13-09
                                                                      • 2274

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Pecos Bill
                                                                      I just dropped half of my bankroll on the nuggets.
                                                                      Joking right?
                                                                      Comment
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