My new gambling strategy and bets

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  • RudyRuetigger
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-24-10
    • 65084

    #1
    My new gambling strategy and bets
    Guys know I double or nothing or bet way too big for action then am out of the game for a few weeks or month.

    Here's my new strategy for action:

    $1,000 bankroll

    Every single fukkin day, bet 5%, 4%, and 3% on designated games.

    I don't care if I love 1 game or 20 games.

    I don't care if I have to bet on Sahara Desert skiing or Arctic track and field.

    I'm betting 3 games per day until my bankroll is under $500 then I'll go double or nothing and either win to start over or lose it all.
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Rudy it is a little better plan that your past plans

    I would also have 2 beers a day only

    4 on Saturdays
    Comment
    • Russian Rocket
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-02-12
      • 43910

      #3
      Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
      Guys know I double or nothing or bet way too big for action then am out of the game for a few weeks or month.

      Here's my new strategy for action:

      $1,000 bankroll

      Every single fukkin day, bet 5%, 4%, and 3% on designated games.

      I don't care if I love 1 game or 20 games.

      I don't care if I have to bet on Sahara Desert skiing or Arctic track and field.

      I'm betting 3 games per day until my bankroll is under $500 then I'll go double or nothing and either win to start over or lose it all.
      Why set yourself up for failure? Stick to betting 4-5% and don't change that amount until you either win big or lose your entire roll.

      The only way to learn how to be disciplined is to stay disciplined 100% of the time.


      GL!
      Comment
      • RudyRuetigger
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-24-10
        • 65084

        #4
        Originally posted by jjgold
        Rudy it is a little better plan that your past plans

        I would also have 2 beers a day only

        4 on Saturdays
        no more drinking and gambling

        gonna try to put my bets in by noon then be done with the sports account until next day

        Originally posted by Russian Rocket
        Why set yourself up for failure? Stick to betting 4-5% and don't change that amount until you either win big or lose your entire roll.

        The only way to learn how to be disciplined is to stay disciplined 100% of the time.


        GL!
        good point

        it is a major downfall i have
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          Sasha as sharp as they come Rudy
          Comment
          • RudyRuetigger
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-24-10
            • 65084

            #6
            $50 on capitals +100
            $40 on cubs -1.5 +130
            $30 on marlins +110


            fukkin killin me to bet this small, watch all 3 win the day i start this
            Comment
            • tatddy
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-02-10
              • 10779

              #7
              Rudy. No. Call me and we'll figure out an actual strategy that will work. This is a disaster.

              I don't know you all that well but I do know that you'll be more incensed by a sweep of $50 bets than you would losing a 1K bet.

              This is a noble strategy for most of the gambling world but not you. You're 100K payday is still on the horizon.
              Comment
              • RudyRuetigger
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 08-24-10
                • 65084

                #8
                another great point and you are 100% correct

                but its just something i gotta fukkin deal with and get used to

                time for me to find some self discipline.

                this thread isnt even for me to show my picks because everyone knows i lose more than win..

                its to try to hold myself accountable.
                Comment
                • RudyRuetigger
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 08-24-10
                  • 65084

                  #9
                  also i dont need some fukkin math guys coming in to laugh at the numbers

                  i know a pro hopes for a 2-3% roi or so.

                  i know i will have crazy losing streaks and most likely lose too much betting like this especially since i wont have an edge

                  i know it wont be a steady increase.

                  but lets say in a perfect world you hit 60% over the 3 plays for 365 days with just a steady increase and no fukkin swings.

                  your fukkin bankroll would be $554,409.63 in 1 year
                  Comment
                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-30-08
                    • 81450

                    #10
                    Rudy what's the $700 play today?
                    Comment
                    • The Giant
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-21-12
                      • 21480

                      #11
                      Rudy, this isn't you.

                      You're not capable of this kind of discipline. People that plan on making changes don't announce it to the world, they just do it. It's like suicide, those that talk about it, aren't really going to do it.

                      You're an alcoholic with no money management. Just embrace it and hope for that huge winning streak that allows you to consume a lifetime of Budweiser without a second thought.
                      Comment
                      • RudyRuetigger
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 08-24-10
                        • 65084

                        #12
                        Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                        Rudy what's the $700 play today?
                        anything less than 4 figures would be a parlay
                        Originally posted by The Giant
                        Rudy, this isn't you.

                        You're not capable of this kind of discipline. People that plan on making changes don't announce it to the world, they just do it. It's like suicide, those that talk about it, aren't really going to do it.

                        You're an alcoholic with no money management. Just embrace it and hope for that huge winning streak that allows you to consume a lifetime of Budweiser without a second thought.
                        giant you just fukkin pissed me off





























                        i drink BUD LIGHT ONLY
                        Comment
                        • RudyRuetigger
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 08-24-10
                          • 65084

                          #13
                          my 1k play wouldve been capitals...i was always certain theyd win this series even tho i like pens...its why i bet them game 1,2,3,5,6 and would in 7...(didnt in 4)
                          Comment
                          • RudyRuetigger
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 08-24-10
                            • 65084

                            #14
                            i actually have 2k in 5dimes right now, was gonna withdraw 1500...move 500 to betdsi and 1k back to bank

                            maybe ill use 1k for double or nothing...1k for this experiment
                            Comment
                            • The Giant
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-21-12
                              • 21480

                              #15
                              I'm playing poker right now at 5D.

                              Getting killed.
                              Comment
                              • RudyRuetigger
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 08-24-10
                                • 65084

                                #16
                                5dimes only goes up to 1/2

                                PASS!
                                Comment
                                • RudyRuetigger
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 08-24-10
                                  • 65084

                                  #17
                                  think im gonna deposit 300 in ignition and see what happens at 3/6
                                  Comment
                                  • The Giant
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-21-12
                                    • 21480

                                    #18
                                    Had to take a break at Ignition. The bad beats started rolling in. I lost a couple thousand in a blink of an eye.

                                    5D doesn't have much volume, but has tremendous rakeback.
                                    Comment
                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 08-24-10
                                      • 65084

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by The Giant
                                      Had to take a break at Ignition. The bad beats started rolling in. I lost a couple thousand in a blink of an eye.

                                      5D doesn't have much volume, but has tremendous rakeback.
                                      there are like 2 nits that play 1/2 regularly and that it is

                                      what a waste of time
                                      Comment
                                      • The Giant
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-21-12
                                        • 21480

                                        #20
                                        Three full tables right now.
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Rudy your an emotional wreck right now

                                          God Bless
                                          Comment
                                          • RudyRuetigger
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 08-24-10
                                            • 65084

                                            #22
                                            crazy, i tried to play there this weekend and was only 2 people

                                            i would join a 5/10 there but im wanting to gamble more than 200 and know i would lose that in a sec whereas 3/6 with 300 ill be shoving and called lightly as you know
                                            Comment
                                            • RudyRuetigger
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 08-24-10
                                              • 65084

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                              Rudy your an emotional wreck right now

                                              God Bless
                                              jj

                                              i fukkin love it man

                                              i do not even need porn to jack off

                                              i just look at the amt wagered on my bets and can cu.m instantly (aside from today)
                                              Comment
                                              • The Giant
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-21-12
                                                • 21480

                                                #24
                                                These guys all know when I'm making a move.

                                                It's uncanny.

                                                When I get aces, they all fold.

                                                There is hardly any action at this place late at night.

                                                The rakeback is what helps. You can make a quick $100 just by playing an afternoon session.
                                                Comment
                                                • The Giant
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-21-12
                                                  • 21480

                                                  #25
                                                  Just got it in with top two, and the jerkoff flips over bottom set.

                                                  Fukk poker.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388179

                                                    #26
                                                    Giant you too easy to read

                                                    Every time you have a bad hand you smile

                                                    Good hands you put your hands to your chin

                                                    Bluffing you blink a lot
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 11-30-08
                                                      • 81450

                                                      #27
                                                      Giant, poker is not your thing.

                                                      Maybe take up stamp collecting or something.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RudyRuetigger
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 08-24-10
                                                        • 65084

                                                        #28
                                                        giant you can start collecting my bud light cans to rebuild your fukkin bankroll
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 11-30-08
                                                          • 81450

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                          giant you can start collecting my bud light cans to rebuild your fukkin bankroll
                                                          Damn Rudy. Tony is going to be pissed.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • funnyb25
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 07-09-09
                                                            • 39663

                                                            #30
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RudyRuetigger
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 08-24-10
                                                              • 65084

                                                              #31
                                                              my ignition casino will not fukkin open
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The Giant
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-21-12
                                                                • 21480

                                                                #32
                                                                You guys aren't very supportive.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RudyRuetigger
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 08-24-10
                                                                  • 65084

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                                  my 1k play wouldve been capitals...i was always certain theyd win this series even tho i like pens...its why i bet them game 1,2,3,5,6 and would in 7...(didnt in 4)
                                                                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                                  i actually have 2k in 5dimes right now, was gonna withdraw 1500...move 500 to betdsi and 1k back to bank

                                                                  maybe ill use 1k for double or nothing...1k for this experiment
                                                                  well I'm fukkin pissed
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #34
                                                                    In the old days, you'd be able to pick 2-4 games from a card and put a parlay together based on lines alone. Then the saber nerds and KenPom got involved. Now you get situations like Saturday, when Philly was even money against Washington for no reason, Atlanta was even money against St. Louis for no reason, and Kansas City was even money against Cleveland for no reason.

                                                                    There used to be a lot more common sense involved in a Vegas line. They'd basically "trap" your average Joes into making a play on a team because the line looked like free money. Now, with advanced stats, the line literally becomes free money sometime (i.e., Cardinals again tonight). So it's a lot harder to pick out a sharp line vs. a stupid one, given Vegas uses its "system" (i.e., tailing KenPom) more than ever to set numbers.

                                                                    As a result, the idea of finding the mark in, say, three games on a card in a given night and nailing all three are remote at best. For anyone.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                                      • 65084

                                                                      #35
                                                                      yep, would be up 1k tonight

                                                                      instead who knows, maybe down 20 bucks
                                                                      Comment
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