How could you not love Orlando tomorrow?

RogueJuror · 05-24-09, 12:49 AM

gl anthony

jjgold · 05-24-09, 06:49 AM

A typical NBA trap game, it looks way too easy to take Orlando. Another angle though to look at it is that Orlando has played two great games and can they do it again??

MadTiger · 05-24-09, 08:10 AM

I am a Cavs homer, but that aside, I implore you to NOT think this is an easy bet on the Magic ML. It may even be an ATS fool's gold. Watch out.

Cavs are storming today.

NBA Hero · 05-24-09, 09:53 AM

cause some games hedo and lewis shooting sucks at the same time

Mac4Lyfe · 05-24-09, 11:55 AM

This game is really a coin toss. I see one of the teams blowing the other team out. I just don't know who. So far this has been a series of 2 halves. Cleveland's players have all played horribly (except Lebron of course) and that would lean you towards Cleveland especially when Orlando has seemed to play their best. Also you have to figure that Orlando's legs should start to be a factor coming off a game 7 in Boston and this series being played every other day. I also think Cleveland will benefit being on the road and playing the underdog role to some extent.

I'm a Cleveland homer and I'm leaning Cleveland in this game but I won't be betting the trailer. If Orlando gets off to a fast start and gets a 10+ lead then the Cav's are toast. If Cleveland can hang around until the half then I think they will win.

I've won a bunch of money betting on the Cav's this year. I don't think they've not covered 3 straight games this season.

anthonydiamondLC · 05-24-09, 12:54 PM

I hear what everyone is saying, but I don't see this as a trap game because the public is on Cleveland already. If there was a trap the public would be on Orlando and then a Cavs cover would make vegas money, right now a cavs cover losses vegas money. I also love the fact that Orlando has handled the Cavs already twice at home. Orlando also has a great homecourt crowd. There fans get pretty into it and get loud. All you need is the Magic to come out firing and hitting shots and this game will be over quick. I would really not be surprised to see Orlando win this game by like 12 pts tonight.

NBA Hero · 05-24-09, 12:58 PM

nicely said mac. cavs still in the running cause only LBJ has shown up. And as JJ said, orl has started poorly on two games but finished strong with their two road games.

orl and cavs have been our bread and butter this season. both team can get it done.

just bet wisely. im on cavs also.

frostno98 · 05-24-09, 03:04 PM

I still not sold on the Magic yet. I just don't believe a jump shooting team can win it all in the long run against a physical team like the Cavs, that play strong around the paint. Even though Dwight Howard is dominate around the paint, that guy can't make a jump shot if his life depended on it. So I like the Cavs here.

flyingillini · 05-24-09, 03:27 PM

I am taking the cavs ML

anthonydiamondLC · 05-24-09, 03:31 PM

Well seems like I'm in the minority with the Magic. I'm feeling pretty confident with this pick will see though.

suckatmyjob · 05-24-09, 03:33 PM

some reasons for cavs? dogs been covering in these last matches between them and lakers/denver hmmmm

i'm not back tracking but would think it be over too and cleveland but we will see

suckatmyjob · 05-24-09, 03:36 PM

also i havent looked at the data but seems like its been whoever covers 1st quarter and 1st half dont cover whole game

losturmarbles · 05-24-09, 04:00 PM

orlando wins

andrewevans512 · 05-24-09, 04:03 PM

just play the over 189.5 ull be ok

Brock Landers · 05-24-09, 04:12 PM

flip flop, like i have mentioned before.

Orlando wins here, Just like LA Last night

anthonydiamondLC · 05-24-09, 05:11 PM

There is no reason to believe with how good Orlando has been playing in Cleveland that all of a sudden now in Game 3 with there home crowd they are not gonna win this game. They will completely be in control of the tempo. They are also playing with a chip on there shoulder for letting up the game winner. The crowd is gonna be electric and Orlando is gonna thrive off of it. I really couldn't go any other way on this game. I'm just surprised more people aren't taking this angle I see.

X-Rated · 05-24-09, 05:12 PM

Recently dogs have been covering because the spreads were set at 3.5 and up. But this time 1.5? What's the chance of a dog covering a 1.5 spread?

X-Rated · 05-24-09, 05:13 PM

I see what you're seeing.

Originally posted by anthonydiamondLC

There is no reason to believe with how good Orlando has been playing in Cleveland that all of a sudden now in Game 3 with there home crowd they are not gonna win this game. They will completely be in control of the tempo. They are also playing with a chip on there shoulder for letting up the game winner. The crowd is gonna be electric and Orlando is gonna thrive off of it. I really couldn't go any other way on this game. I'm just surprised more people aren't taking this angle I see.

tullamore · 05-24-09, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by X-Rated

Recently dogs have been covering because the spreads were set at 3.5 and up. But this time 1.5? What's the chance of a dog covering a 1.5 spread?

IF you like Cleveland, I think you play the money line, and get a slighty better payoff. Would be somthing if 3 games in row were decided by 1 point.

macadams · 05-24-09, 05:20 PM

Overlooked about LeBron, he recuperates very well, he'll have more spring than the people trying to guard him, if they start a run, magic will feel the pain of "the one that got away", if the 'fecta isn't there it could be a long night for them...

dova · 05-24-09, 05:21 PM

I like the Magic shutting down the Cavs tonight. They get over that horrendous buzzer beater loss and please the fans, it will be rocking in Orlando tonight.

The last four road games for the Cavs have ended in scores like this: 158, 179, 177 and 147. So the under looks favorable here in a more defensive game.

Orlando -1.5 and the under. The halftime bet looks good as well for the Magic.

losturmarbles · 05-24-09, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

flip flop, like i have mentioned before.

Orlando wins here, Just like LA Last night

flip flop, ahhh that's how professionals decide on the winner.

gotcha

X-Rated · 05-24-09, 05:28 PM

This is what I think and I wrote it in my other thread:

Currently only 46% public is on Cleveland while 54% is on Orlando. As an update, the line opened at 2 and went down to 1.5. Because the majority of the public is on Cleveland and the line as moved down, seems like Cleveland would be the play, BUT in the other hand 71% public is on Cleveland ML while only 29% is only Orlando. Hmmm, maybe bettors on point spread almost even out on both sides, but only 29% of bettors are only Orlando ML. If Cleveland wins and cover tonight's game, wouldn't the book lose a lot of money? Another question is, would the bookies want to lose that much money? What you guys think? I think Orlando ML is more safe?

edlaw · 05-24-09, 05:31 PM

magic ML and under

anthonydiamondLC · 05-24-09, 05:36 PM

Well there's been plenty of pre game talk for this game. I just want to see it tip already. Will be catching the game at one of my favorite spots, Buffalo Wild Wings. The buffalo chicken wrap is simply amazing there. They also have a million beers on tap. Good stuff.

dova · 05-24-09, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by X-Rated

This is what I think and I wrote it in my other thread:

Currently only 46% public is on Cleveland while 54% is on Orlando. As an update, the line opened at 2 and went down to 1.5. Because the majority of the public is on Cleveland and the line as moved down, seems like Cleveland would be the play, BUT in the other hand 71% public is on Cleveland ML while only 29% is only Orlando. Hmmm, maybe bettors on point spread almost even out on both sides, but only 29% of bettors are only Orlando ML. If Cleveland wins and cover tonight's game, wouldn't the book lose a lot of money? Another question is, would the bookies want to lose that much money? What you guys think? I think Orlando ML is more safe?

I think the Orlando ML is very safe. My thoughts are even if Lebron has the game of his life, his supporting cast is still too weak to keep up with the Magic. Obviously, it's gambling and anything can happen (I thought Denver would win last night and they didn't) but I still think that betting on Orlando is the play tonight.

betplom · 05-24-09, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by anthonydiamondLC

Well seems like I'm in the minority with the Magic. I'm feeling pretty confident with this pick will see though.

You're not alone, but I only played Orlando for the first half.

edlaw · 05-24-09, 05:39 PM

well i think we nailed it

so good enjoy and BOL

SCRAGGS · 05-24-09, 06:10 PM

Originally posted by dova

I think the Orlando ML is very safe. My thoughts are even if Lebron has the game of his life, his supporting cast is still too weak to keep up with the Magic. Obviously, it's gambling and anything can happen (I thought Denver would win last night and they didn't) but I still think that betting on Orlando is the play tonight.

What am I missing here, The Cavs are 9-1 in the playoffs and 7-3
ATS how you don't take Lebron + the duce?

losturmarbles · 05-24-09, 06:18 PM

Originally posted by X-Rated

This is what I think and I wrote it in my other thread:

Currently only 46% public is on Cleveland while 54% is on Orlando. As an update, the line opened at 2 and went down to 1.5. Because the majority of the public is on Cleveland and the line as moved down, seems like Cleveland would be the play, BUT in the other hand 71% public is on Cleveland ML while only 29% is only Orlando. Hmmm, maybe bettors on point spread almost even out on both sides, but only 29% of bettors are only Orlando ML. If Cleveland wins and cover tonight's game, wouldn't the book lose a lot of money? Another question is, would the bookies want to lose that much money? What you guys think? I think Orlando ML is more safe?

your numbers are not accurate, maybe backwards?

and that's just the spread, not taking into account the ml.

and the bookies arent going to lose any money

X-Rated · 05-24-09, 06:18 PM

If the Cavs were given like 4 points or so, then maybe they should be the play but +1.5? Come on how impossible is that?

Originally posted by SCRAGGS

What am I missing here, The Cavs are 9-1 in the playoffs and 7-3
ATS how you don't take Lebron + the duce?

dova · 05-24-09, 06:26 PM

Originally posted by SCRAGGS

What am I missing here, The Cavs are 9-1 in the playoffs and 7-3
ATS how you don't take Lebron + the duce?

1. Cleveland's opponents: Miami/Atlanta < Orlando, you can already see that that after the first 2 games people now know it's not going to be a lopsided series, Magic have the edge because they are at home with a raucous crowd and they usually get off to fast starts in Amway Arena.
2. Orlando is battle tested, beating the reining champs at their building in a game 7, even without KG is very impressive.
3. Verajao/Big Z vs Lewis/Turkoglu is a huge mismatch. They are just not fast enough to cover Orlando's perimeter shooter while still having to stay honest to Howard, the floor will be really spread out tonight and Orlando gets a lot of good looks.
4. Pietrus hits clutch shots for Orlando and does a decent enough defensive job on LB when he his guarding him.
5. Mo and Delonte have to have 20 point games to help LB and I don't think they will in Orlando's house.