Cavs/ Magic Capping

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  • StyleQ
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-23-09
    • 208

    #1
    Cavs/ Magic Capping
    Taken a look at the numbers, these teams scored over 184.5 on all three meetings and Orlando covered the spread all three times. Granted this is the post-season, but Orlando has picked up some momentum with two straight victories and seem to be hitting stride at the right time. However, the Over still seems like the extremely obvious call - is there some piece of information I am missing here?

    Thoughts?
  • BrandonLaz
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-18-08
    • 855

    #2
    Yea the Cavs haven't played in a while and are probably going to come out a little rusty. That is going to bring down the scoring some. I also expect Dwight Howard to really control the paint area today keeping Lebron from getting some of his usual easy layups/dunks. He is still going to get them just not as many. I haven't decided on the over/under yet, but I am thinking under for those reasons. I am going against the general concensus and taking the points with Orlando who should be coming in with a lot of momentum after the huge upset win against the Celtics.
    Comment
    • Fiasco
      SBR MVP
      • 11-02-08
      • 2406

      #3
      I lean Orlando 1h, under 1h

      then playing over at the half

      won't play it until tomorrow though... we'll see
      Comment
      • Enforcer_23
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-06-09
        • 470

        #4
        Orlando at +9 seems like value considering how they have played this team before
        Comment
        • SportsTerminator
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-18-09
          • 5179

          #5
          Lebron scored 43 against Orlando at home and they only won by 4! The Cavs lost to Orlando twice by double digits in Orlando. So I'm a little skeptical about taking the Cavs at any pointspread! But that was the regular season and the Cavs are playing at a whole new level so I don't know. I want to take the Cavs ML but it's a little risky. And the Cavs had a long break so who knows how rusty they are.
          Bet To Win
          Comment
          • BL
            SBR MVP
            • 05-11-09
            • 4070

            #6
            that rusty like denver last game? ;-)
            Orlando -> letdown

            Cavs by 18
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by StyleQ
              Taken a look at the numbers, these teams scored over 184.5 on all three meetings and Orlando covered the spread all three times. Granted this is the post-season, but Orlando has picked up some momentum with two straight victories and seem to be hitting stride at the right time. However, the Over still seems like the extremely obvious call - is there some piece of information I am missing here?

              Thoughts?
              The Cavaliers are amazingly allowing 78.1 points per game in the playoffs, and they have yet to allow more than 85 points! These are the top two defenses in the NBA in terms of points allowed. Forget regular season head-to-head scores, defense wins championships and both of these teams are doing it well at the right time.
              Comment
              • Razz_Donkey
                SBR MVP
                • 12-27-08
                • 1756

                #8
                Simply too much credit being given to the Cavs here. Yes, they are a better team, and yes they are likely to go on to the finals. But Orlando is in a different league then the Hawks and Pistons. I like the under 1st half as well Fiasco. These teams have a lot of set plays, run a half court game, and will keep it slow and cautious to start. The first quarter should provide a lot of info, and yield good half time bets.
                Comment
                • SamsNCharge99
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-22-08
                  • 41242

                  #9
                  I bought Cavs down to -3.5.....CASH MONEY
                  Comment
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