If you are betting every over in baseball this year?.....................

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  • Nicky Santoro
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-08-08
    • 16103

    #1
    If you are betting every over in baseball this year?.....................
    you are cleaning up.. Of the 30 mlb teams, ONLY 6 teams have played more unders than overs this year... and 2 of those 6 have ONLY played 1 more under than over games..

    If you are betting 1k a game on every over this year.. You are up close to 40,000$ already.. and we are not even a quarter through the season.


    What a year it's been for overs..
  • CaneDawg
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-25-08
    • 6256

    #2
    watered down pitching

    new ballparks

    MLB wants it this way
    Comment
    • PAPSMEAR
      SBR MVP
      • 02-13-09
      • 2581

      #3
      Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
      you are cleaning up.. Of the 30 mlb teams, ONLY 6 teams have played more unders than overs this year... and 2 of those 6 have ONLY played 1 more under than over games..

      If you are betting 1k a game on every over this year.. You are up close to 40,000$ already.. and we are not even a quarter through the season.


      What a year it's been for overs..
      Historically, is the over statistically a better result than the under? Do you have any information for say the last few years or so?
      Comment
      • Brock Landers
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 06-30-08
        • 45359

        #4
        the new yankee stadium is a joke, balls fly out like they are whiffle balls
        Comment
        • pavyracer
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-12-07
          • 82905

          #5
          It will even out by all star game. There is a huge variance right now that will shrink as the season goes by and the books adjust lines accordingly.
          Comment
          • Matt Rain
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-13-07
            • 5001

            #6
            If only I'd put $500 on that TOR-COL-NYY-PIT-TB-MIL-LAA-LAD 8-teamer yesterday, I'd be retired today.

            Just busting your balls Nicky. But I'm not sure what the point of these retroactive analyses is.
            Comment
            • onthewhat
              Restricted User
              • 05-14-08
              • 15411

              #7
              i think they are juicing the balls
              Comment
              • Matt Rain
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-13-07
                • 5001

                #8
                Originally posted by PAPSMEAR
                Historically, is the over statistically a better result than the under? Do you have any information for say the last few years or so?
                There's no absolute answer to that question. It's all relative to the number/book you use for grading purposes. At SIA, the under (closing line) is probably a lifetime winner, but at a book like CRIS, you lose both ways if you bet into the closer.
                Comment
                • Matt Rain
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-13-07
                  • 5001

                  #9
                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                  It will even out by all star game. There is a huge variance right now that will shrink as the season goes by and the books adjust lines accordingly.
                  It might take way longer than that for it to even out. Variance is ginormous at all times.
                  Comment
                  • Willie Bee
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-14-06
                    • 15726

                    #10
                    Nicky & OTW, good to know you guys are finally reading Chance Harper's articles...LINK
                    Comment
                    • MonkeyF0cker
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 06-12-07
                      • 12144

                      #11
                      Originally posted by PAPSMEAR
                      Historically, is the over statistically a better result than the under? Do you have any information for say the last few years or so?
                      Comment
                      • Matt Rain
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-13-07
                        • 5001

                        #12
                        Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
                        Comment
                        • Nicky Santoro
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-08-08
                          • 16103

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Matt Rain
                          meanwhile, if you bet every under in sports this year at the best price, you'd be up $$$.. nhl and nba have been winning well..
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            Good info Nicky

                            I never saw a guy that knows all the numbers

                            Thanks
                            Comment
                            • Matt Rain
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-13-07
                              • 5001

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                              meanwhile, if you bet every under in sports this year at the best price, you'd be up $$$.. nhl and nba have been winning well..
                              For sure Nicky. Bet anything at the best price and you're going to win. It's just not nearly that easy for the recreational bettor. Best numbers usually show up when most people are busy having a life.
                              Comment
                              • Brock Landers
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 06-30-08
                                • 45359

                                #16
                                Just like the Overs in Cincy Nicky...balls have been flying for weeks!
                                Comment
                                • MonkeyF0cker
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 06-12-07
                                  • 12144

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                                  meanwhile, if you bet every under in sports this year at the best price, you'd be up $$$.. nhl and nba have been winning well..
                                  2008-09 NBA Totals (O/U)
                                  1218-1206
                                  Unders: -108.6 units
                                  Comment
                                  • Nicky Santoro
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-08-08
                                    • 16103

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
                                    2008-09 NBA Totals (O/U)
                                    1218-1206
                                    Unders: -108.6 units


                                    you have no clue what you are talking about, so just the leave the gambling talk to people who do have a clue..


                                    at best # and getting lots of +104's in there too... unders are up close to 25 units alone in nba..


                                    nice try.. but you lose again to me.. as usual.. but keep trying..
                                    Comment
                                    • durito
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-03-06
                                      • 13173

                                      #19
                                      Do you have a database you'd like to share?
                                      Comment
                                      • pavyracer
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-12-07
                                        • 82905

                                        #20
                                        This is like me saying if you shop around 10 car dealers you should always get the best price for a car. I'm a fukking genius Nicky!
                                        Comment
                                        • Nicky Santoro
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-08-08
                                          • 16103

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                                          This is like me saying if you shop around 10 car dealers you should always get the best price for a car. I'm a fukking genius Nicky!

                                          doesn't always work that way.. if you shopped around the best price for every habs game this year, you'd be broke as hell.. if you bet the worst possible # for every jays bet this year, you'd be cleaning up..

                                          whether it's good # or not, they still have to win consistently.
                                          Comment
                                          • MonkeyF0cker
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 06-12-07
                                            • 12144

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                                            you have no clue what you are talking about, so just the leave the gambling talk to people who do have a clue..


                                            at best # and getting lots of +104's in there too... unders are up close to 25 units alone in nba..


                                            nice try.. but you lose again to me.. as usual.. but keep trying..
                                            Uh. Pretty much any bet at the BEST NUMBER would be up for the year, idiot. LOL. You just edited your post. It said that unders were 15 up on overs. Now they're up 25 units? LOL. If the over/under record is 1218-1206 as the numbers indicate (and I can provide multiple websites which will back up my numbers over yours even though I pulled it from my databse), unders would have to AVERAGE +103.07.
                                            Comment
                                            • MonkeyF0cker
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 06-12-07
                                              • 12144

                                              #23
                                              And what does the best number now have to do with "your" Pinny closing number "system" again?
                                              Comment
                                              • Tsoprano
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 04-14-08
                                                • 26374

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Willie Bee
                                                Nicky & OTW, good to know you guys are finally reading Chance Harper's articles...LINK
                                                Comment
                                                • onthewhat
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 05-14-08
                                                  • 15411

                                                  #25
                                                  have never read that guys article ever
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Nicky Santoro
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 04-08-08
                                                    • 16103

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Willie Bee
                                                    Nicky & OTW, good to know you guys are finally reading Chance Harper's articles...LINK

                                                    never heard of him..

                                                    i don't know any chance harper..

                                                    i know a Tommy Harper.. he was the 3rd base coach of the Montreal Expos back in the 80's.

                                                    are you talking about him?
                                                    Comment
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