Worst bet of all time?

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  • fearless
    Restricted User
    • 08-14-06
    • 4950

    #1
    Worst bet of all time?
    I don't know about other books but bookmaker has the Lakers odds of winning the title at +105.

    I would think the Lakers would be at least +130 to +150 dogs v. the Cavs. So, you're taking +105 now and the Lakers have to beat a very tough Denver team then you lose badly on the line for the next series (almost definitely).

    The only way Lakers +105 to win the title is a good bet is if you think the Magic will beat the Cavs and I think almost everyone knows that would take a miracle.

    Lakers +105 to win the title is the worst bet I've ever seen. Any thoughts on that?

    On the flip side, if you can find a book that allows you to parlay these two bets (odds from bookmaker):

    Lakers win title (+105)
    Magic over Cavs (+540)

    That pays out 12.12 to 1. That's a tremendous bet that everyone should take, imho.
  • Smogs
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-08
    • 4173

    #2
    Might be a brilliant trading opportunity, lay them off on betfair and then back them at higher odds and make a profit either way
    Comment
    • fearless
      Restricted User
      • 08-14-06
      • 4950

      #3
      Originally posted by Smogs
      Might be a brilliant trading opportunity, lay them off on betfair and then back them at higher odds and make a profit either way
      What do you mean, "lay them off on betfair", I don't know that lingo.
      Comment
      • wtf
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-22-08
        • 12983

        #4
        Selections: (4) 101.1% Back Lay 99.8%


        Los Angeles Lakers
        » $0.00
        2.86
        $163 2.88
        $1315 2.9
        $1569
        2.92
        $4
        2.94
        $336 2.96
        $354
        Cleveland Cavaliers
        » $0.00
        1.83
        $1830 1.84
        $350 1.85
        $1934
        1.87
        $434
        1.89
        $210 1.9
        $1325
        Orlando Magic
        » $0.00
        19
        $105 21
        $112 22
        $27
        23
        $376
        24
        $239 28
        $93
        Denver Nuggets
        » $0.00
        11.5
        $173 12
        $102 12.5
        $52
        13
        $3
        13.5
        $192 14.5
        $12
        Comment
        • wtf
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-22-08
          • 12983

          #5
          that didnt come out right, but lay them on exchange (bet them to lose)
          Comment
          • fearless
            Restricted User
            • 08-14-06
            • 4950

            #6
            Originally posted by wtf
            that didnt come out right, but lay them on exchange (bet them to lose)
            I got it. That's a good bet. If a book was offering "Lakers don't title -125" or something I'd jump on it immediately.
            Comment
            • wtf
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-22-08
              • 12983

              #7
              ~2.90 to lose on bf now so it is close

              that is about -1.45 in usa terms

              you should make bet before series starts, especially if they lose first game , market will move
              Comment
              • fearless
                Restricted User
                • 08-14-06
                • 4950

                #8
                Originally posted by wtf
                ~2.90 to lose on bf now so it is close

                that is about -1.45 in usa terms

                you should make bet before series starts, especially if they lose first game , market will move
                That should be a money maker.
                Comment
                • Smogs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-08
                  • 4173

                  #9
                  Sorry i didn't make it clear, in England we have a betting website called 'Betfair' where you can bet against something happening. Essentially you take the role of the bookie. So for instance, Lakers are +105, to bet against them would be +110, so you bet to win £100 but risk to lose £110 if they did actually win the NBA this year. I'm sure it's on wikipedia if i didn't make it clear, my mates don't even understand it but it is better than betting the other team sometimes
                  Comment
                  • reno cool
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-02-08
                    • 3567

                    #10
                    I doubt that shit books who offer +105 on Lakers will offer a line on Lakers no.
                    And nobody in their right mind would give out the parlay on something so correlated as Magic series with Lakers champs.
                    But you're right about that bet being very bad and your thinking along the right lines.
                    bird bird da bird's da word
                    Comment
                    • durito
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-03-06
                      • 13173

                      #11
                      pinny:

                      Tue 5/19 Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2008-09 Title?
                      Maximum Wager: 5000.00 USD
                      06:05 PM 613 Yes +205
                      614 No -235
                      Comment
                      • fearless
                        Restricted User
                        • 08-14-06
                        • 4950

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Smogs
                        Sorry i didn't make it clear, in England we have a betting website called 'Betfair' where you can bet against something happening. Essentially you take the role of the bookie. So for instance, Lakers are +105, to bet against them would be +110, so you bet to win £100 but risk to lose £110 if they did actually win the NBA this year. I'm sure it's on wikipedia if i didn't make it clear, my mates don't even understand it but it is better than betting the other team sometimes
                        Thanks for the explanation.
                        Comment
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