brettels, ACoochy, Bbr, Shari, Kingsr, Gee...etc

**brettels** · 03-31-12, 04:09 AM

The Ross Lyon effect, maybe?

**MatI** · 03-31-12, 04:10 AM

Lyon has definately had an effect on this side. Much better defensively. But here come the cats...

**brettels** · 03-31-12, 04:18 AM

Remember the saints had a defensive game plan for years under ross lyon, different players and a home ground built for speed has me wondering what sort of game plan he will bring, i don't think he can be so defensive minded with the dockers.

**brettels** · 03-31-12, 04:19 AM

This is going over, confident as can be about it right now.

**shari91** · 03-31-12, 04:21 AM

Well the 1Q in both matches ended nicely for me after a bit of a worrying start.

In a gambling mood now so hopefully they hang some nice 2H lines

**shari91** · 03-31-12, 04:43 AM

damn, now north melb and essendon are on a scoring spree... I should've listened to my own preaching and stuck to the over

might have to try to buy out of this one at half but I didn't put much on it anyway so might not be worth it

**MatI** · 03-31-12, 05:14 AM

Originally posted by brettels

Remember the saints had a defensive game plan for years under ross lyon, different players and a home ground built for speed has me wondering what sort of game plan he will bring, i don't think he can be so defensive minded with the dockers.

He definately has to adapt, but it reminds me of the same old Lyon game plan in many ways. Look at that press late in the 2nd! He will have to change a little though.

**Gee** · 03-31-12, 06:12 AM

That does it.

Cash the over with 13 minutes to go. Winner whatever line you got.

f\*\*k I love the return of AFL.

Tomorrow doesn't look great. Maybe Eagles and some overs... not sure yet though.

What are we betting on next?

**shari91** · 03-31-12, 06:14 AM

I'm still stressing Geelong over 90.5 2H and Essendon -1.5 2H.

Dego city in my house tonight.

Not sure about tomorrow yet. Might just tail you guys depending on when we get home in the morning.

**ACoochy** · 03-31-12, 06:16 AM

Scarlett will get 6 weeks for that hit

cheeky fukk...

**shari91** · 03-31-12, 06:17 AM

Gee, I think we should start looking at some of these scoring props this year. I was checking out the ones before the Freo/Geelong game and even if I'd just bet the guys I was really familiar with, I would've done well. I just don't know the ins and outs of every player in every position. Jimmy Bartel was paying quite well tonight and I had looked at it and thought I might've been missing something.

**shari91** · 03-31-12, 06:19 AM

haha my north/essendon under is still alive by the hook. 2Q they scored 69 pts. Every other one they won't even clear 50.

Can they not score for the next 3 mins?

**Gee** · 03-31-12, 06:24 AM

Oh no

After the siren.

Brutal.

**shari91** · 03-31-12, 06:26 AM

LOST BY THE HOOK MOTHER F'RS!!!!!!!!!!! THIS IS WHY I SHOULD GRAB PLAYS EARLY!

thank f for geelong and that 2H over

**shari91** · 03-31-12, 06:27 AM

Was it Gee???? I was just following on bet365 whilst watching Geelong on tv.

OMFG.

**Gee** · 03-31-12, 06:40 AM

Yeah, mark and chance to win the game after the siren.

Hard way to lose. Essendon just needed to control the ball for another possession and you were safe.

Totals are hard to grab early. Going to put some money into 365 so I can...

**shari91** · 03-31-12, 06:46 AM

Originally posted by Gee

Yeah, mark and chance to win the game after the siren.

Hard way to lose. Essendon just needed to control the ball for another possession and you were safe.

Totals are hard to grab early. Going to put some money into 365 so I can...

What a way to lose. At least I'd considered that one dead by half time so my hopes weren't up.

And yeah, 365 is good for that. But then you need Sporting or Centrebet for 2H's because 365 for some reason still requires phone in bets for those even though they're not technically "live". Such a mess. And Sporting didn't even put up a 2H total for the Essendon match although they did for Geelong. Not sure wtf they're thinking over there.

**brettels** · 03-31-12, 06:47 AM

Eagles -9.5 @2.00

**Bbr** · 03-31-12, 05:40 PM

Eagles play well in melb usually. What I can't picture is how well the eagles will do up front in the reg season with missing forwards

**Bbr** · 03-31-12, 05:47 PM

Anyone got a total for the eagles game? Maybe the over again

**benrama** · 03-31-12, 05:50 PM

Solid work fellas, that over cashed easily, it was my favourite play of the day. Not much I like today though, anyone got a line yet for the Eagles/Bulldogs over/under?

**Swizly** · 03-31-12, 06:28 PM

Got 4U on West Coast SU. Too much depth

**Gee** · 03-31-12, 09:12 PM

Yeah, I have the Eagles too.

I'm also going to take Port +16.5.

As much as I love overs early int the season.. I'm going to stay away today.

What player props are you looking at Shari? The ones I see are always pretty sharp. i.e. most possessions groups and dream team etc.

**brettels** · 03-31-12, 09:17 PM

Eagles/dogs go over is my lean, but my only play today is the eagles to cover -9.5

Good luck

**brettels** · 03-31-12, 09:20 PM

You can get props like quinten lynch, josh kennedy , jack darling to kick a goal AT ANY TIME, i don't remember these last year. low odds though cause they are putting in the forwards. of course they are going to kick a goal. sportsbet and TAB(vic) are two i'm seeing do it

**shari91** · 03-31-12, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by Gee

Yeah, I have the Eagles too.

I'm also going to take Port +16.5.

As much as I love overs early int the season.. I'm going to stay away today.

What player props are you looking at Shari? The ones I see are always pretty sharp. i.e. most possessions groups and dream team etc.

I was looking yesterday at the anytime scorers at 365. Today though, I don't know enough about any of the players to even venture a guess.

I'm on the Eagles and really tempted to take the over. Debating the St Kilda total too although I should probably just stay away from that match altogether.

**shari91** · 03-31-12, 09:22 PM

Yeah brettels, the over in the first one is my lean too. I saw someone else say to take the Eagles TT over because they doubt the Bulldogs can score enough to bring the number up. TT's in the AFL always freak me out though.

**Gee** · 03-31-12, 10:08 PM

Oh, yeah, I've looked at that prop before.. I think its usually about right.

You can do goal scorer by qtr on bet365 sometimes.. that looks more appealing than it is i think.

Good luck today all. Looks like a huge weekend for all whatever happens!

**raydog** · 03-31-12, 10:51 PM

west coast -8.5 my only play...got a fukking party to attend..hate missing afl action

... afl will probably cost me another gf...this time of year usually does it

...

**shari91** · 03-31-12, 11:06 PM

Looks like this one is going to sail over too. What will it be: 8/9 so far in the first week?

**ACoochy** · 03-31-12, 11:10 PM

Gee that Port game scares me. Staying away as have a feeling Ports early season form may have been nothing more than smoke and mirrors. Hope i am wrong here. GL

**shari91** · 04-01-12, 12:39 AM

Ok well there's our Eagles cover and the over for those on it!

For the last match I'm going to take the under. I know I shouldn't but I can get 175.5 at 365 while Sporting has 173.5. Going to take a chance that St Kilda can keep these guys locked down. GL Gee on your Port bet!

**brettels** · 04-01-12, 12:45 AM

Shari! I'm ending the week with the eagles win, a very good 1st week too and for all of us. If i had to play the total in the port/saints match i would again go the over. Just a gut feeling I have.

**brettels** · 04-01-12, 12:47 AM

No rain, not as hot as it is in melbourne all players will appreciate that. Saints new coach, i mentioned this earlier said when he took over that there will be a more offensive game plan for the saints.

**shari91** · 04-01-12, 12:48 AM

Originally posted by brettels

Shari! I'm ending the week with the eagles win, a very good 1st week too and for all of us. If i had to play the total in the port/saints match i would again go the over. Just a gut feeling I have.

Yeah I know I should've just stayed away or at least went with the over. I had forgotten until I was looking at lines that I had jumped on the Eagles 2H total over 97.5. So at least if I screw up with this St Kilda under, I can call those two a wash. Can't believe how some of these matches flew over. Even the team lines were way off this week. We should've known to bet bigger but it's so hard in Round 1.