I see value in Houston +1000 ML

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  • remmy358
    SBR MVP
    • 07-18-07
    • 2199

    #1
    I see value in Houston +1000 ML
    I know it sounds crazy to bet Houston in LA in game 7, but I think +1000 has a lot of value. Is anyone else taking this?
  • UntilTheNDofTimE
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-29-08
    • 9285

    #2
    might as well burn your money or give it to charity
    Comment
    • big joe 1212
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 06-01-08
      • 19380

      #3
      I might not like the rockets at 10-1, but I sure as hell wouldnt lay that kind of money on the lakers
      Comment
      • DwightShrute
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-17-09
        • 103750

        #4
        Lakers at home game 7 , I say the Lakers will win BIG. 20 +
        Comment
        • d2bets
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-10-05
          • 39995

          #5
          They definitely win in more than 1 in 11 games. Yes, there is value. Play the spread and 1/5 of that on the ML.
          Comment
          • Tsoprano
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-14-08
            • 26374

            #6
            Rockets moneyline and spread for me
            Comment
            • pavyracer
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-12-07
              • 82905

              #7
              The problem with this bet is David Stern. Not only you are fighting Kobe on the road but also Stern's will which the refs are already aware. Look for Hayes and Battier to be called on cheap fouls early to help the Lakers post up game and open the lanes for Kobe.
              Comment
              • d2bets
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-10-05
                • 39995

                #8
                Originally posted by Tsoprano
                Rockets moneyline and spread for me
                I like it.
                Comment
                • remmy358
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-18-07
                  • 2199

                  #9
                  Originally posted by UntilTheNDofTimE
                  might as well burn your money or give it to charity
                  yeah that's what some people said when i bet the rockets +400 last game, don't worry, i wouldn't use anymore than 1/20th of my winnings on the +1000 bet.
                  Comment
                  • RonPaul2008
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-08-07
                    • 6741

                    #10
                    Good luck!
                    Comment
                    • d2bets
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 39995

                      #11
                      Love people who think longshots can never happen.
                      Comment
                      • RonPaul2008
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-08-07
                        • 6741

                        #12
                        Houston could win, but I think L.A. will take game 7.

                        Originally posted by d2bets
                        Love people who think longshots can never happen.
                        Comment
                        • d2bets
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-10-05
                          • 39995

                          #13
                          Originally posted by RonPaul2008
                          Houston could win, but I think L.A. will take game 7.
                          At what probability?
                          Comment
                          • RonPaul2008
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 06-08-07
                            • 6741

                            #14
                            I think L.A. will win by 7.

                            Originally posted by d2bets
                            At what probability?
                            Comment
                            • d2bets
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-10-05
                              • 39995

                              #15
                              Originally posted by RonPaul2008
                              I think L.A. will win by 7.
                              Didn't answer my question. What chance does Houston have to win? 2%? 8%? 12%? 20%?
                              Comment
                              • UntilTheNDofTimE
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-29-08
                                • 9285

                                #16
                                Originally posted by remmy358
                                yeah that's what some people said when i bet the rockets +400 last game, don't worry, i wouldn't use anymore than 1/20th of my winnings on the +1000 bet.
                                i was on the rockets last game i just dont feel theyll win a game 7 in la , it can happen but very unlikely specially when the nba wants la vs cle so u got everything going against you here,
                                Comment
                                • remmy358
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-18-07
                                  • 2199

                                  #17
                                  the point of this thread isn't to say that i think houston will win. i def. think LA will win the game. but at 10 to 1 odds i think houston plays good enough defense to maybe stay in the game and have a shot of shocking the world in the 4th quarter. adelman would love to get revenge for those kings/lakers series he got screwed out of in the early 2000's too, not that it matters, but there's history between these coaches. if the artest and battier can lock kobe down again anything can happen because brooksy and scola are playing great. i just think the line should maybe be +700 not +1000, LA has been matched step for step by houston this series and it's not unthinkable that they can't pull off the upset.
                                  Comment
                                  • d2bets
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-10-05
                                    • 39995

                                    #18
                                    Houston already won in LA. I think they win this 1 out of every 5 tries. Line should be around LA -8. Hou is great value.
                                    Comment
                                    • remmy358
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-18-07
                                      • 2199

                                      #19
                                      like KG says, anything is possssssssssibbbbbbbbbbbbleeeeeeeeeeee

                                      basically, if KG can win a title, anything is possible. and that's the truth.
                                      Comment
                                      • d2bets
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 39995

                                        #20
                                        If Hou is hitting 3's and LA is cold...

                                        I just cant count on Fisher, Ariza, Walton et al
                                        Comment
                                        • flyingillini
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 41219

                                          #21
                                          I am on the Rockets ML
                                          המוסד‎
                                          המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                          Comment
                                          • pavyracer
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-12-07
                                            • 82905

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by d2bets
                                            Houston already won in LA. I think they win this 1 out of every 5 tries. Line should be around LA -8. Hou is great value.
                                            That win was when Yao was playing.
                                            Comment
                                            • RonPaul2008
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-08-07
                                              • 6741

                                              #23
                                              16%


                                              Originally posted by d2bets
                                              Didn't answer my question. What chance does Houston have to win? 2%? 8%? 12%? 20%?
                                              Comment
                                              • d2bets
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-10-05
                                                • 39995

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                That win was when Yao was playing.
                                                Big whoop. I like Yao, but they may be more dynamic and loose without him.
                                                Comment
                                                • VegasDave
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-03-07
                                                  • 8056

                                                  #25
                                                  Considering the series has gone to 7, you'd think Houston had a 10% chance of winning.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • d2bets
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 08-10-05
                                                    • 39995

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by RonPaul2008
                                                    16%
                                                    Sounds reasonable.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • paco
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-07-09
                                                      • 62873

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by d2bets
                                                      At what probability?
                                                      what was that horse name? Mine that bird? 50-1 odds?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DeeWizzle
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-08-09
                                                        • 3316

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                        The problem with this bet is David Stern. Not only you are fighting Kobe on the road but also Stern's will which the refs are already aware. Look for Hayes and Battier to be called on cheap fouls early to help the Lakers post up game and open the lanes for Kobe.

                                                        Ding Ding Ding! Couldn't have said it better myself.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • theplagy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-21-09
                                                          • 1915

                                                          #29
                                                          Exactly....

                                                          Same thing with the UEFA champions league lock

                                                          Platini didn't want another all-English finals

                                                          gave the game to Barca..

                                                          It's not the beauty of the game. It's business
                                                          Comment
                                                          • d2bets
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 08-10-05
                                                            • 39995

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by paco
                                                            what was that horse name? Mine that bird? 50-1 odds?
                                                            I had MTB at 130-1 at 5Dimes.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RonPaul2008
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 06-08-07
                                                              • 6741

                                                              #31
                                                              nice hit! Did they knock down your limits yet?


                                                              Originally posted by d2bets
                                                              I had MTB at 130-1 at 5Dimes.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • walbjj
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 10-28-08
                                                                • 105

                                                                #32
                                                                goddam lakers dont deserve the series, but they will most probably win. famous last words
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Shumakov
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 03-30-08
                                                                  • 983

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Lakers 20+
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • LT Profits
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                                    • 90963

                                                                    #34
                                                                    No value at all at +1000, I feel I am being generous when I say that the Rockets win this Game 7 on the road with their current roster 5% of the time. That makes break-even price +1900.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JRS21386
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 04-13-08
                                                                      • 2213

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Lakers by 15
                                                                      Comment
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