darrell74 MLB Talk...

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  • Shortstop
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 01-02-09
    • 27281

    #1
    darrell74 MLB Talk...
    Let's start a new post for MLB tonight.

    I don't like the SF/LA game tonight. The line is way too high.
  • Shortstop
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 01-02-09
    • 27281

    #2
    Zito is way too erratic and unpredictable. Billingsley is strong. Thoughts?
    Comment
    • Shortstop
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 01-02-09
      • 27281

      #3
      I like the Pirates +1.5 at Shea Stadium tonight.
      Comment
      • Shortstop
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 01-02-09
        • 27281

        #4
        Originally posted by Shortstop
        I like the Pirates +1.5 at Shea Stadium tonight.

        My bad, Tax Payers' Stadium.
        Comment
        • darrell74
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-16-07
          • 14648

          #5
          Pirates +1.5- don't know
          Why?
          Mets have a minor leaguer, starting, I know nothing about

          Pirates are a fun team to watch if you watch the Larouche bros. Karstens is average
          Just not sure enough to lean, either way,

          NYM/CHC/NYY/BOS are the 4 teams I hate to bet for or against
          Comment
          • Enforcer_23
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-06-09
            • 470

            #6
            LA RL or nothing. -200 or more is lunatic
            Comment
            • darrell74
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-16-07
              • 14648

              #7
              Originally posted by Shortstop
              Zito is way too erratic and unpredictable. Billingsley is strong. Thoughts?
              Billingsley unbeatable
              LAD @ home

              Frisco on the road is crap
              Zito 15mill bust, or whatever he's paid, love to fade him

              However, LAD bully got exposed, last night
              Billingsley pitches 7, then what

              If 10 units is 100% of my bankroll
              I bet 2-3 (instead of 6-7) units on the Dodgers because I don't know if that bully fvcks up another 5 run lead
              Comment
              • Shortstop
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 01-02-09
                • 27281

                #8
                Liking the Buccos based on starting pitching. Really liking the over 9.5 instead of a side.
                Comment
                • darrell74
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-16-07
                  • 14648

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Enforcer_23
                  LA RL or nothing. -200 or more is lunatic
                  You can build bankrolls if you bet these kind of bankrolls, correctly
                  Cut your wager size down, so if they lose, you're not ass out
                  Wait for the day that a beautiful ml comes out

                  Personally, I killed on the LAD ml. on Tuesday loved it, bathed in it, looking for mofos at my work to cover my shifts because I won so much because of it
                  Comment
                  • Shortstop
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 01-02-09
                    • 27281

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Enforcer_23
                    LA RL or nothing. -200 or more is lunatic
                    The highest I see is -210. I'm not taking this game. I don't like it. I don't like the O/U either.
                    Comment
                    • Enforcer_23
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 04-06-09
                      • 470

                      #11
                      Originally posted by darrell74
                      Personally, I killed on the LAD ml. on Tuesday loved it, bathed in it, looking for mofos at my work to cover my shifts because I won so much because of it
                      Comment
                      • darrell74
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-16-07
                        • 14648

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Shortstop
                        Liking the Buccos based on starting pitching. Really liking the over 9.5 instead of a side.
                        You'd have to bet on Karstens getting shelled, then, if you want to hit the over
                        Pirates might not have a good scouting report on the Mets' minor leaguer.
                        Sometimes, you just don't know if some able, willing, and pitching like no tomorrow rook comes in and showsup a bunch of big leaguers
                        Comment
                        • Shortstop
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 01-02-09
                          • 27281

                          #13
                          Originally posted by darrell74
                          You'd have to bet on Karstens getting shelled, then, if you want to hit the over
                          Pirates might not have a good scouting report on the Mets' minor leaguer.
                          Sometimes, you just don't know if some able, willing, and pitching like no tomorrow rook comes in and showsup a bunch of big leaguers

                          All good points. I'm staying away from this game also.
                          Comment
                          • SamsNCharge99
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-22-08
                            • 41242

                            #14
                            LADOdgers RL..

                            Sorta like the Yanks to finally get a win
                            Like the Red Sox
                            Like the Philies
                            Comment
                            • darrell74
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-16-07
                              • 14648

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Shortstop
                              The highest I see is -210. I'm not taking this game. I don't like it. I don't like the O/U either.
                              This is how I do this because I like this:
                              LAD ml -210
                              LAD rl +105

                              rl bet 1 unit wins 1.05
                              ml bet 2.1 units wins 1 unit

                              Don't cover the run line but win the ml, I'm even

                              If I don't like the rl
                              bet ml1 unit to win 0.44 units

                              If they lose I'm not ass out of a lot of $
                              If they win, not a big win, but better than throwing it in a savings account accrueing .5% interest
                              Comment
                              • SamsNCharge99
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-22-08
                                • 41242

                                #16
                                NYY RL
                                Marlins ML
                                Dodgers RL

                                Maybe Sox and Philies
                                Comment
                                • darrell74
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-16-07
                                  • 14648

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                                  LADOdgers RL..

                                  Sorta like the Yanks to finally get a win
                                  Like the Red Sox
                                  Like the Philies
                                  Guthrie too dangerous, dude
                                  Watched Guthrie get shelled in preseason, threw a grip against him on opening day, and he annihalted them, can't even remember the team's name
                                  Point is, wait for C.C. to get smokin hot to bet on him
                                  Wait till July for C.C. to get consistent, and ride his ass till the NFL season
                                  Phillies/Bosox- can't call shit except when Wakefield takes the bump
                                  Now Wakefield still has it
                                  Comment
                                  • SamsNCharge99
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-22-08
                                    • 41242

                                    #18
                                    I mean, I know Cole Hammels is coming back for the Philies, but he has been a little shaken up all year. His last 2 starts have both been very good until he injured himself mid-game.

                                    He pitched 4-5 innings and Philies were winning both of them. I expect Hammels to go about 6 innings tonight hopefully, at least 6 and give up no more than 3 runs.

                                    As for Red Sox/Rays....I like Sox at home. Penny has been up and down, but Red Sox bats are RED HOT.

                                    Yanks, probably shouldn't bet them at all. I mean -160 ML and +100 RL...Dodgers are fukking -210 and +110 RL. Yanks get WAYYYY tooooo much money in all games. Their value is no where near as good as it could be.

                                    So no Yanks play....

                                    Staying 100% w/ Dodgers
                                    Marlins on the ML
                                    and most likely Philies RL and still maybe Sox

                                    Good lukc darrell
                                    Comment
                                    • darrell74
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-16-07
                                      • 14648

                                      #19
                                      Phills- Dude you'll hate yourself if you put serious jack on the game, and Cole doesn't make it to the sixth
                                      Philly first 5?

                                      Penny's a joke- fade that goofy mammoth

                                      Nolasco, I love that kid, got good stuff- however, ice cold,
                                      I'd wait untill I see him get his stuff back, cause he's lost his command
                                      Comment
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