Capy's 2016 MLB Action

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  • Capybara
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-17-08
    • 11803

    #351
    Red Sox -1.5, -110 (1x)
    Comment
    • Capybara
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-17-08
      • 11803

      #352
      Well, I was okay up until the two late Red Sox additions, which of course fukked me just like I said they would.

      Today: 4-6, -3.32x.

      YTD: +26.71x = +$2,671.00.

      Anyone have thoughts on tonight's game? I didn't like it on my first take, but going to take a closer look and see if perhaps a couple of units can be had from it.
      Comment
      • Capybara
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-17-08
        • 11803

        #353
        Dodgers/Giants over 7.5, -108 (1x)
        Comment
        • Capybara
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-17-08
          • 11803

          #354
          Changed my mind.

          [Live bet] Under 7, -130 (1x)

          [Live bet] Under 6.5, -109 (1x)
          Comment
          • JayDr3am
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-06-14
            • 18260

            #355
            Originally posted by Capybara
            Changed my mind.

            [Live bet] Under 7, -130 (1x)

            [Live bet] Under 6.5, -109 (1x)
            good switch capy, that might have made the difference.
            Comment
            • Capybara
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-17-08
              • 11803

              #356
              Originally posted by JayDr3am
              good switch capy, that might have made the difference.
              Thanks, Man. I knew right away the over was an awful play, thank god for live betting! I even added (but didn't post) an under 3.5 that hit too, lol.
              Comment
              • Capybara
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-17-08
                • 11803

                #357
                YTD: +27.63x = +$2,763.00.
                Comment
                • JayDr3am
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-06-14
                  • 18260

                  #358
                  Originally posted by Capybara
                  Thanks, Man. I knew right away the over was an awful play, thank god for live betting! I even added (but didn't post) an under 3.5 that hit too, lol.
                  Comment
                  • milwaukee mike
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-22-07
                    • 26914

                    #359
                    Originally posted by Capybara
                    Thanks, Man. I knew right away the over was an awful play, thank god for live betting! I even added (but didn't post) an under 3.5 that hit too, lol.
                    yeah really
                    Comment
                    • Capybara
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-17-08
                      • 11803

                      #360
                      Here we go for this evening. May have more for the later action... Let's crush!

                      Tigers -104 (2x)

                      DBacks -139 (1x)

                      DBacks -1.5, +155 (1x)
                      Comment
                      • Capybara
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-17-08
                        • 11803

                        #361
                        Think I'm gonna puke. Game was 7-0 Detroit, then 9-7 Detroit with two outs in the ninth, now 9-9. K-Rod's second blown save of the year. Need the extra innings magic now.

                        Needed Tigers to finish a four-teamer too... come onnnnnn!
                        Comment
                        • mikmik
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-13-12
                          • 5457

                          #362
                          Yup I hear you. I had Tigers as well.
                          Comment
                          • Capybara
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-17-08
                            • 11803

                            #363
                            I had an 11-unit swing (4 units in the thread) with the Tigers choke last night. Killed a 4-team parlay w Cavs, D'Backs and under. Not catching the needed breaks lately. Soon a new run will start I hope.

                            YTD, +25.55x = +$2,555.00.

                            Cubs -125 (2x)

                            Prob a couple more later. Good luck tonight!
                            Comment
                            • Capybara
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-17-08
                              • 11803

                              #364
                              Also, Mariners +113 (1x)
                              Comment
                              • Capybara
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-17-08
                                • 11803

                                #365
                                Dodgers/D'Backs under 9, -105 (1x)

                                Lets go 3-0 here!
                                Comment
                                • Capybara
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-17-08
                                  • 11803

                                  #366
                                  And more late shit, couldn't help it:

                                  Giants -1.5, -120 (1x)

                                  Pads/Fish under 7, +105 (1x)

                                  Padres -138 (1x)

                                  Angels -135 (1x)
                                  Comment
                                  • Capybara
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-17-08
                                    • 11803

                                    #367
                                    [Live bet, bottom 4th] Giants -1.5, -140 (1.5x)

                                    Expecting Bummie to give up 0 or 1. Giants eventually get a few.
                                    Comment
                                    • Capybara
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-17-08
                                      • 11803

                                      #368
                                      Similar refrain in here today, a late lead blown to kill a play, couple crappy plays, some late chasing... All equaling further dwindling of our nest egg. Down 303. Sorry, boys.

                                      One change I'm going to try to make from here on in is NO half-ass betting. In other words, some days I'm super busy at work (like today), or I may be having a hectic weekend day, whatever, and I want to make plays (because don't we all??), but I have no actual time to do any of the research I like (i.e., looking at pitchers' game logs, recent team/player trends, lineups, head-to-head stats, umpires, etc.). Well from now on, if I don't have time to look at everything I ordinarily would want to before deciding on plays, I'm just not playing anything. I've got to protect what I've built here. Discipline!

                                      YTD: +22.52x = +$2,252.00.
                                      Comment
                                      • milwaukee mike
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-22-07
                                        • 26914

                                        #369
                                        no worries capy
                                        Comment
                                        • Capybara
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-17-08
                                          • 11803

                                          #370
                                          I have to laugh. Today was Day 1 of my new "disciplined bettor" strategy. I had very little down time for any serious capping, all I did was look at the card and check a couple of folks' threads. Last night I swore that if I couldn't put the proper time in, I wouldn't make or post plays. I did, however, have time to take note of what I would have played if I were doing my usual rushed betting. And yup, predictably, every one hit! Easy-peasy! Cueto RL, Syndegaard RL, Jays, and Red Sox. Easiest money I'd have made all season! At least I did tail Lep's first-inning winner and hit my one soccer play. But still, that's not the same as winning my own MLB plays in here. Fukkin hell.

                                          Now because of that, I think I have to skip another full day before I play again.
                                          Comment
                                          • JayDr3am
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 05-06-14
                                            • 18260

                                            #371
                                            Originally posted by Capybara
                                            I have to laugh. Today was Day 1 of my new "disciplined bettor" strategy. I had very little down time for any serious capping, all I did was look at the card and check a couple of folks' threads. Last night I swore that if I couldn't put the proper time in, I wouldn't make or post plays. I did, however, have time to take note of what I would have played if I were doing my usual rushed betting. And yup, predictably, every one hit! Easy-peasy! Cueto RL, Syndegaard RL, Jays, and Red Sox. Easiest money I'd have made all season! At least I did tail Lep's first-inning winner and hit my one soccer play. But still, that's not the same as winning my own MLB plays in here. Fukkin hell.

                                            Now because of that, I think I have to skip another full day before I play again.
                                            i understand ya here capy! take your time and come back strong bud
                                            Comment
                                            • Capybara
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-17-08
                                              • 11803

                                              #372
                                              [Live bet, middle of 1st] O's-Sox over 9.5, -112 (1x)
                                              Comment
                                              • Capybara
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-17-08
                                                • 11803

                                                #373
                                                Tigers -106 (1x)
                                                Comment
                                                • Capybara
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-17-08
                                                  • 11803

                                                  #374
                                                  Nats -1.5, -110 (2x)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Capybara
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-17-08
                                                    • 11803

                                                    #375
                                                    Today: 2-1, +$188.00.

                                                    YTD: +24.40x = +$2,440.00.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JayDr3am
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-06-14
                                                      • 18260

                                                      #376
                                                      Originally posted by Capybara
                                                      Tigers -106 (1x)
                                                      great call on this capy
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Capybara
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-17-08
                                                        • 11803

                                                        #377
                                                        Originally posted by JayDr3am
                                                        great call on this capy
                                                        Thank you, sir!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Capybara
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-17-08
                                                          • 11803

                                                          #378
                                                          Cubs -1.5, -110 (2x)

                                                          Square play but I don't know how you don't do this. Arrieta has dominated the Bucs, including twice this season, and Liriano hasn't been sharp at all, including a bludgeoning by the Cubs last month. The only possible negatives are No Kris Bryant, and the fact that Arrieta has looked more human this year. But even with that, he's still a beast, with numbers off the chart. So sign me up for two units; if it loses it loses.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Capybara
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-17-08
                                                            • 11803

                                                            #379
                                                            Adding:

                                                            Grand Salami, Total MLB runs under 128.5, -110 (1.5x)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Capybara
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-17-08
                                                              • 11803

                                                              #380
                                                              Think I may end up with a fair amount of action today... hope it's a moneymaker! Here are a few more:

                                                              Tigers -130 (1x)

                                                              Tigers/Royals FF under 4.5, -120 (0.6x)

                                                              Tigers FF -0.5, -105 (0.5x)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Capybara
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-17-08
                                                                • 11803

                                                                #381
                                                                Originally posted by Capybara
                                                                Cubs -1.5, -110 (2x)

                                                                Grand Salami, Total MLB runs under 128.5, -110 (1.5x)

                                                                Tigers -130 (1x)

                                                                Tigers/Royals FF under 4.5, -120 (0.6x)

                                                                Tigers FF -0.5, -105 (0.5x)
                                                                Adding:

                                                                Rays -116 (1.5x)

                                                                Mets -1.5, +110 (1.5x)

                                                                Rockies +116 (1x)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Capybara
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-17-08
                                                                  • 11803

                                                                  #382
                                                                  [Live bet, middle of 3rd] Nats -4.5, +100 (1.5x) LOL
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Capybara
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-17-08
                                                                    • 11803

                                                                    #383
                                                                    Grand Salami looks good... need that to come in. If I can get that and then hit the live Nats play, I'll be down like $50 on the day I think, no sweat there! Man, my evening picks were shit tonight. Don't really know what happened, thought they were perfectly reasonable plays.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Capybara
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-17-08
                                                                      • 11803

                                                                      #384
                                                                      Wow, started out great yesterday, two plays that were easy wins, and then everything else was shit. Down 2.94x. So:

                                                                      YTD: +21.46x = +$2,146.00.

                                                                      +2K sounds nice, but back on Page 8 of this thread it was +40x = 4K!!! Feeling pretty fadeable these days. I'm gonna keep pushing, but if I can't reverse the trend and keep on sinking, may just kill the thread and tail other folks here and there. We'll see, I guess!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Capybara
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 08-17-08
                                                                        • 11803

                                                                        #385
                                                                        Jays/O's over 9.5, -115 (1x)
                                                                        Comment
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