Capy's 2016 MLB Action

[Capybara]

Planning to make some coin in here, fellas. Been reading only about baseball for two months now. Should be a fun ride... I hope!

First play is a future:

D'Backs Over 82 wins, -125 (4x)

[Capybara]

D'Backs Over 82 wins, -125 (4x)

Am I the kiss of death? I place this and in less than 24 hours, A.J. Pollock breaks his elbow. Nice. Went from -125 to EV. Soon to be plus money and then to drop from 82. Hopefully still can hit. I bet Socrates Brito gets to play now and this kid looks good.

Debating some others... sort of liking:

Marlins over 80
Mariners over 83
Royals over 84
Red Sox under 88
Nats over 89
Dodgers under 90?

Opinions?

[Covy]

You're alive capy?

[Capybara]

You're alive capy?

Yessir, rumors of my demise were greatly exaggerated! Although the hand is still kind of fukked. Maybe should have gone to the ER.

Covster, what u think of those futures?

[milwaukee mike]

capy!

i think milwaukee goes under 69.5

[Covy]

I think Nats and Mets are neck to neck for NLE race. Philly and Atlanta will be 65-70 win teams and Marlins close to .500
Nats should go O

I can't really judge the rest

[Capybara]

Here we GOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Good luck to everyone this season!

No play for me in this first game... debating the others...

Also still debating the season-long O/U's...

[Duckshit]

Thanks capybara......good luck, I'll be following.

[Capybara]

Mariners +115 (1x)

Gotta back the King on opening day.

[Capybara]

Rays -115 (1x)

D'Backs -1.5, +115 (1.5x)

[Capybara]

[Live bet] Dodgers -3.5, +108 (1x)

First stupid live bet of the year!

[Capybara]

YTD: 1-3, -2.57.

Rough start. I guess Greinke had the flu, so hopefully that start of his was an anomaly. Otherwise my D'Backs future is fukked for sure. I can't believe I wasn't on Arrieta. Nearly added another live bet winner when it was 3-0, but didn't like the high price. Ah well.

Stros -120 (1.5x)

I like Keuchel to be sharp here and Houston lineup too deep for Spank-me's.

[Capybara]

Red Sox +111 (1x)

Sox/Price worth a shot at plus money here.

[Capybara]

That's more like it! 2-0 today to get us in the black!

Debating a play for the late games...

I feel compelled to play the Padres based on the crazy line movement... Anyone think they know why the price moved so far backwards toward SD? LA from -140 to -115, with what looks like 70%+ on them? Very interesting...

[Capybara]

Glad I laid off the Pads, punchless club there.

Today: 2-0, +2.61.

YTD: 3-3, +0.04.

Nice big card for tomorrow, 13 games. Time for shut-eye.

[Capybara]

M's/Rangers over 9.5, -105 (1.5x)

M's/Rangers FF over 5.5, +105 (1x)

Hoping it's a dumpster fire out there in Arlington today.

[Capybara]

A hook away from hitting five plays in a row, but guess I'll take it. Planned on more action tonight, but had plans right from work and no time to cap, oh well.

Today: 1-1, +0.50.

YTD: 4-4, +0.54.

Nine games tomorrow.

[Capybara]

Cubs/D'Backs over 9, -115 (2x)

[Capybara]

Couple more:

Rangers/Angels over 8, -115 (2x)

Angels -1.5, +155 (1x)

[Capybara]

Cubs/D'Backs over 9, -115 (2x)

Cashed in the third inning! These two lineups are absolutely chock-full of great hitters, they're gonna mash all season long... Although it looks like the Cubs will be down one stud for a while, Schwarber collided hard in the outfield and got carted off. Sucks.

[Conqueror]

Cubs/D'Backs over 9, -115 (2x)

[Capybara]

Damned Angels had so many chances to push more runs across last night, that was one frustrating failed over bet. And then of course buried by a run-line vs moneyline like always!

And yet... Right back to the run-line well, this one is just too seductive:

Mets -1.5, -115 (2x)

[Capybara]

Dodgers, -102 (1x)

2-tm parlay, Dodgers TT o3.5/ D'Backs ML, +257 (1x)

[Capybara]

YTD: 6-8, -0.20.

Taking a shot with these two early dogs, more to come later:

Red Sox +110 (1x)

Reds +118 (1x)

[Capybara]

Indians/White Sox under 7, -120 (1x)

Indians +158 (0.5x)

[Capybara]

Well nailed those first two anyway.

Trying two more doggies for this evening and that should do it for today:

Padres +115 (1x)

Twins +116 (1x)

[Capybara]

YTD: 9-11, +0.03. LOL. Treading water in the early going.

Racking my brain today but not finding much I feel great about. Still, playing:

Pirates/Reds over 8.5, -120 (1x)

Cards -1.5, +105 (1x)

[Capybara]

Cubs -1.5, -120 (1.5x)

Pretty much going to back Arrieta every single time, but it will have to be run lines.

[Capybara]

I'll take a 2-1 day. Least we're in the black now.

YTD: 11-12, +1.38.

11 games tomorrow...

[Capybara]

Red Sox -1.5, +105 (1.5x)

Looking for some Fenway magic in the home opener. Price likes pitching there, and the Sox have been playing playing much better this year already and that's without their best players even doing anything yet.

[Capybara]

So much for that Fenway magic. O's are a freight train right now.

Four shots for this evening:

Cubs -1.5, +115 (1x)

Reds/Cubs over 7, -120 (1x)

Angels, +135 (1x)

Mariners -1.5, +130 (1x)

[Louisvillekid1]

Nice thread buddy, gl

[Capybara]

Hey, thanks LKid, good to see ya!

Today: 3-2, +1.00

YTD: 14-14, +2.38

[jjgold]

Cubs was a good cash for many

[Capybara]

Pirates +110 (1.5x)

Looking for Pitt's latest reclamation project Nicasio to pay dividends this year. Dominated in the spring and dominated the Cards last week. Hoping Pitt lineup keeps momentum against Sanchez.