I'm taking the Miami Heat ML tonight..

[SBR Lou]

Atlanta are 0-11 SU and ATS their last 11 road playoff games. Their last road win was 1997.

Their average losing margin -17.7 points. They lost one game by 7 points, other 10 losses were all by double-digits with the second closest game being 10 points.

Their last eight losing margins were 34,25,19,23,13,12,19,16.

Miami at less than -200 is a great opportunity.

[LT Profits]

Don't be a wuss, lay the 4.5 like I did.

[LT Profits]

By the way, nice research and a solid play.

1997 is irrelevant but most recent road losing margins is very relevant.

[pavyracer]

Atlanta Hawks will crash the Heat tonight. Series goes back to 2-2.

[dennisback]

MIAMI -- Jamario Moon of the Miami Heat will not play Monday night in Game 4 of the team's Eastern Conference first-round series against the Atlanta Hawks because of a strained lower abdominal muscle.

no problem anyway??

[SBR Lou]

By the way, nice research and a solid play.

1997 is irrelevant but most recent road losing margins is very relevant.

Thanks, hopefully we both cash.

[LT Profits]

No Moon is a non-factor I think

[dennisback]

http://espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3249

he is pretty good from the field 100% from 3point 100% and played 28min in G2 (thats a lot)

[SBR Lou]

http://espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3249

he is pretty good from the field 100% from 3point 100% and played 28min in G2 (thats a lot)

This guys pretty good too.

[LT Profits]

http://espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?playerId=3249

he is pretty good from the field 100% from 3point 100% and played 28min in G2 (thats a lot)

He usually plays limited minutes though, and he hardly played in Game 3 when the Heat won in a rout.

[Fiasco]

This guys pretty good too.

is that Kanye West?

I didn't know he played basketball.

[dennisback]

He usually plays limited minutes though, and he hardly played in Game 3 when the Heat won in a rout.

yes but thats because he got injured in 2Q ... otherwise he would have played 20+ minutes. which coach doesnt want to leave a 100% shooter on the floor?

[HoulihansTX]

MIAMI -- Jamario Moon of the Miami Heat will not play Monday night in Game 4 of the team's Eastern Conference first-round series against the Atlanta Hawks because of a strained lower abdominal muscle.

no problem anyway??

The Hawks may be without one of their small forwards as well. Marvin Williams has a sprained right wrist and his status will be determined shortly before game time.

[pat venditto]

Lou is giving out the loser again. Answer this for me lou. We know you don't bet since you're not aloud to have offshore accounts, so why post picks? To give out losers. The more losing posters there are the more money sbrforum makes. IE just like how bill dozer made a thread about the pistons +900 was juicy against the cavs. Fuking disgraceful business decisions if you ask me.

[007Fatty]

Lou is giving out the loser again. Answer this for me lou. We know you don't bet since you're not aloud to have offshore accounts, so why post picks? To give out losers. The more losing posters there are the more money sbrforum makes. IE just like how bill dozer made a thread about the pistons +900 was juicy against the cavs. Fuking disgraceful business decisions if you ask me.

arent you the guy
that is losing all his money?
if anything i would fade a guy losing all his money.
so if your saying this is the wrong choice
i take that as a jump on miami!!

[SexyMit]

Thanks Lou I'm taking Atlanta...

[csimmalavong]

i just dont understand why:

miami blows atl out by about 30 points in game 3.
2 nights later, its game 4, and the line opens up only 1/2 point higher than it opened up for game 3.
as a matter of fact, LVSC had it opened at -3.5 (their game 3 line was -4.5)
in that case, game 4's line is actually lower than game 3's.

the books are pushing for an atlanta win.

[LT Profits]

i just dont understand why:

miami blows atl out by about 30 points in game 3.
2 nights later, its game 4, and the line opens up only 1/2 point higher than it opened up for game 3.
as a matter of fact, LVSC had it opened at -3.5 (their game 3 line was -4.5)
in that case, game 4's line is actually lower than game 3's.

the books are pushing for an atlanta win.

Lots of -5s out there now, so that should ease your mind a bit. It is not like the books are holding the line steady with the flood of Miami money, or worse yet, there is no RLM.

[dennisback]

the line for dallas was same for game 4 as game 3 and they still covered, same for denver... blowout in g1 and blowout again in g2... mia is the call!!
the only blowout of a home team didnt result in a cover in next game was atlantas... thats because wade had drunk too much be4 game 1 and played basketball again in g2. mia all the way

[SBR Lou]

the line for dallas was same for game 4 as game 3 and they still covered, same for denver... blowout in g1 and blowout again in g2... mia is the call!!
the only blowout of a home team didnt result in a cover in next game was atlantas... thats because wade had drunk too much be4 game 1 and played basketball again in g2. mia all the way

Good luck to us.

[brock]

-5 G/L Hope this don't look so good for any of the wrong reasons. Go Miami.

[pavyracer]

You are under-estimating the Hawks here. They have beat Heat earlier this year in Miami and I read in the paper today that JJ guaranteed a victory. JJ will have MVP numbers today. Watch out for the Hawks.

[SBR Lou]

You are under-estimating the Hawks here. They have beat Heat earlier this year in Miami and I read in the paper today that JJ guaranteed a victory. JJ will have MVP numbers today. Watch out for the Hawks.

If they fall as expected tonight do I receive some sort of acknowledgment for being correct in your signature?

[HoulihansTX]

You are under-estimating the Hawks here. They have beat Heat earlier this year in Miami and I read in the paper today that JJ guaranteed a victory. JJ will have MVP numbers today. Watch out for the Hawks.

I'll fade some asinine guarantee any day. put to much pressure on his out-coached team. Sounds like he knows his teammates lack morale, and he is trying to hype up the troops. FAIL

[pavyracer]

If they fall as expected tonight do I receive some sort of acknowledgment for being correct in your signature?

You said 2 wins. This series will go 7 games.

[BobHarvey]

Atlanta are 0-11 SU and ATS their last 11 road playoff games. Their last road win was 1997.

Their average losing margin -17.7 points. They lost one game by 7 points, other 10 losses were all by double-digits with the second closest game being 10 points.

Their last eight losing margins were 34,25,19,23,13,12,19,16.

Miami at less than -200 is a great opportunity.

I'm with you Lou and both the points and ML.

[BobHarvey]

MIAMI -- Jamario Moon of the Miami Heat will not play Monday night in Game 4 of the team's Eastern Conference first-round series against the Atlanta Hawks because of a strained lower abdominal muscle.

no problem anyway??

I don't think so. That just means more minutes for Beasley. Plus Marvin Williams is out for Atlanta.

[BobHarvey]

This guys pretty good too.

[kevindakota00]

miami will cover the spread

[BobHarvey]

Agreed and Wade goes for at least 40.

[pavyracer]

All the touts on Heat. I'm loving my Hawks bet even better now.

[sweetjones55]

All the touts on Heat. I'm loving my Hawks bet even better now.

I got a feeling you will never bet against Dwyane Wade in the playoffs @ home after tonight. He is going to have you all night. I have been a season ticket holder since he got here and he still amazes me and more so come playoff time. The Hawks don't have anyone to even contain him. He has been hitting his 3's and anyone who knows about basketball will tell you that he is unstoppable when he's hitting those.

[pavyracer]

Wade is overrated. Watch out JJ and JS to harass him all day and blow out the Heat on their home court.

[HoulihansTX]

Wade is overrated. Watch out JJ and JS to harass him all day and blow out the Heat on their home court.

Alright. You have now just made any post you make after this irrelevant. "Wade is overrated". I have heard it all know. Thanks dude.

[dennisback]

Charles Barkley said Heat is gonna win!! IM GOING WITH THE HALL OF FAMER HAHAHA! Also Kenny "The Jet" Smith and C.Webb said Heat are gonna win tonight!
go HEAT!