Threads/posts galores touting chalky sides that have 4% of covering.
unde0087
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-27-08
28956
#2
Burial threads is what keeps sbr nights hopping, let's see how it turns out
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newguy
SBR Hall of Famer
12-27-09
6100
#3
Originally posted by CanuckG
Threads/posts galores touting chalky sides that have 4% of covering.
Like??
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FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#4
Canuck, it's all about winning. Learn life
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TxAaron
SBR MVP
08-25-11
2082
#5
4% lol
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#6
Canuck your upper top 15% here as far as sharpness
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#7
You want a decent play for the line offered? Go ahead and take Nebraska +12 points, despite the injury to Shields.
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DOM_Toretto
Restricted User
01-28-13
9035
#8
Lay chalk with UNC CanuckG, some Canadien told me it has 87.65% chance of winning
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#9
Lets see how good NC is
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DOM_Toretto
Restricted User
01-28-13
9035
#10
Originally posted by jjgold
Lets see how good NC is
And how bad Duke really is
#GraysonWalked
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CanuckG
SBR Posting Legend
12-23-10
21978
#11
Is UNC A LOCK??
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Russian Rocket
SBR Aristocracy
09-02-12
43910
#12
Originally posted by CanuckG
Threads/posts galores touting chalky sides that have 4% of covering.
So what's the play here?
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FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#13
Originally posted by CanuckG
Is UNC A LOCK??
too much speed, experience and at home. Moneyline is a lock yes, spread very tasty.
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#14
Originally posted by KVB
You want a decent play for the line offered? Go ahead and take Nebraska +12 points, despite the injury to Shields.
I still think the line was worth a shot as there seemed to be a bit of market overreaction in this one.
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CanuckG
SBR Posting Legend
12-23-10
21978
#15
Originally posted by FlipsideRM
too much speed, experience and at home. Moneyline is a lock yes, spread very tasty.
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The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#16
Props to KVB.
Whenever you see a guy bumping his own loser, it means he's a winner.
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FlipsideRM
SBR Posting Legend
09-28-11
10518
#17
Congrats scrub go buy yourself some new Js.
Clown
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#18
Buried
many guys lost big
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MoneyLineDawg
SBR Posting Legend
01-01-09
13253
#19
Squares had a rough night to say the least
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#20
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CanuckG
SBR Posting Legend
12-23-10
21978
#21
Originally posted by FlipsideRM
Congrats scrub go buy yourself some new Js.
Clown
Flipper put the gun down. Reload the 5d account tomorrow pal.
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Mase of Base
SBR MVP
07-24-12
3622
#22
I have a high level of disgust with the Tigers of LSU, you penetrates. Simmons sucks, drafted in the 107th round and will play in the Saharan Desert Basketball League.
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Biff41
SBR MVP
07-23-14
1234
#23
I noticed a quick downward shift to -4 on Elon. Sharpies are seeing something on Drexel. I would look for some surprising strength from Drexel at +4
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unde0087
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-27-08
28956
#24
Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
Squares had a rough night to say the least
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JMobile
SBR Posting Legend
08-21-10
19074
#25
I like lock threads that I don't have interest on because later on posters come on to fight and complain about how buried they are. Makes me happy.
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PittsburghPlayer
SBR Hall of Famer
01-11-10
6760
#26
Originally posted by JMobile
I like lock threads that I don't have interest on because later on posters come on to fight and complain about how buried they are. Makes me happy.
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BIGDAY
SBR Aristocracy
02-17-10
48245
#27
Glad I was a square yesterday.
Arizon was too easy.
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klemopixx
SBR MVP
10-02-14
3807
#28
Originally posted by FlipsideRM
too much speed, experience and at home. Moneyline is a lock yes, spread very tasty.
There you go, using that "L" word!
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#29
Who are the squares on today?
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BIGDAY
SBR Aristocracy
02-17-10
48245
#30
Originally posted by jjgold
Who are the squares on today?
Pound the winners.
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CanuckG
SBR Posting Legend
12-23-10
21978
#31
Originally posted by jjgold
Who are the squares on today?
Spurs
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#32
Canuck your not A SQUARE
We all know this
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#33
Originally posted by Biff41
I noticed a quick downward shift to -4 on Elon. Sharpies are seeing something on Drexel. I would look for some surprising strength from Drexel at +4
This is where trying to read lines and line movement can fall short. I was just posting about this in the think tank. If you do not create your own line that more reflects the final score than the oddsmakers and bookmakers, you can get eaten alive by the books.
Curiously, do you make your own line? Why do you think this line dropping from 4.5 to 4 is "sharpies" seeing something? Do you think, because of percentages being reported, that this is some kind of reverse line movement? How do you know the books aren't fooling you here? Do you think the books could try to fool players? Do you think the markets are efficient?
I ask these questions not to troll you, Biff, but to illustrate a point for the forum. You must have some kind of yardstick to measure by to even begin to determine the cause of a line shift.
And, it could be argued, that the move from 4.5 to 4, in this case, is hardly a shift at all.
These markets are more dynamic than many believe and what appears to be is often not what it seems.
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eidolon
SBR Hall of Famer
01-02-08
9531
#34
I always take the -300 to win lines when I'm drunk and depressed
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cankid
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-08
7227
#35
Originally posted by eidolon
I always take the -300 to win lines when I'm drunk and depressed