Anyone doing any work on next weekends Pacquiao/Hatton fight?

Matt Rain · 04-23-09, 02:11 PM

Great matchup. Seems to me that the value is on Hatton at the current price (+221 @ Pinny, opened at about +175), but I'm not exactly eager to bet against Mini Bruce Lee.

Will most likely pass.

SlickFazzer · 04-23-09, 02:13 PM

Total is at 9.5 i believe

I should be able to come up with something here.

SBR Lou · 04-23-09, 02:14 PM

Hatton is going to get outworked and floored just like he did when he faced Mayweather Jr. He's just British hype, who'd the guy fight to be undefeated for a while there anyway?

SlickFazzer · 04-23-09, 02:18 PM

That is what i was thinking Crazy. Gut feeling is to expect a similar situation that
happened in the Mayweather fight.

MBENZ · 04-23-09, 02:24 PM

Pacquaio takes him out,the only figuring is when.If you looking at rounds,the under is best.

Matt Rain · 04-23-09, 02:25 PM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

Hatton is going to get outworked and floored just like he did when he faced Mayweather Jr. He's just British hype, who'd the guy fight to be undefeated for a while there anyway?

He KOed Kostya Tszyu, who was considered top 3 P4P at the time. He also annihilated JL Castillo (who was over the hill but still very dangerous) in 4 rounds and he recently toyed with a very game Paulie Malignaggi.

It does look like it could be a repeat of Mayweather-Hatton, but I don't think Pacquiao has enough one-punch power to keep Hatton at bay. IMO, he will have to trade.

Pacquiao is probably a good bet at -200 or better, but I think it's going to be a much closer fight than expected. Either way, should be a great one.

MBENZ · 04-23-09, 02:35 PM

Originally posted by Matt Rain

He KOed Kostya Tszyu, who was considered top 3 P4P at the time. He also annihilated JL Castillo (who was over the hill but still very dangerous) in 4 rounds and he recently toyed with a very game Paulie Malignaggi.

It does look like it could be a repeat of Mayweather-Hatton, but I don't think Pacquiao has enough one-punch power to keep Hatton at bay. IMO, he will have to trade.

Pacquiao is probably a good bet at -200 or better, but I think it's going to be a much closer fight than expected. Either way, should be a great one.

Nothing will match Marquez/Diaz this year,people that missed that really lost.

SweetPeafan · 04-23-09, 02:43 PM

I think the under is the best bet for this one. I'm throwing some money on pac by KO as well. He's just too fast, and I think he is a lot stronger than Hatton's camp is giving him credit for.

Matt Rain · 04-23-09, 02:46 PM

Yeah BENZ, that was sick. One of the most intense trilogies of all time too. The little guys don't get as much recognition for some reason.

Rio DiNero · 04-26-09, 02:07 PM

I see the value in Hatton +200, Pacquiao is a quick fighter with good power, but Hatton is a naturally bigger fighter. Pacquiao is coming off his biggest pay day of his career,a win over a slow washed up Delahoya, while Hatton, still looking boost to himself into the world's upper echolon of fighters, gets another shot, still feeling the loss to Pretty Boy Floyd Mayweather. I also think Pacquiao is going to have more problems with Hatton's style than Hatton will have with with Pacquiao's speed. I see improvment in Hatton's boxing the last two fights since switching trainers to Floyd Mayweather Sr. I belive Floyd Sr. will have Ricky more than ready to resurrect his career and take care of the Pac-man.

illmatick · 04-26-09, 02:11 PM

hatton loses this fight 99 out of 100 times, with that said I will probably be on hatton small and the over rounds fairly large

BatemanPatrickl · 04-26-09, 02:12 PM

Hatton goes down. He gets knocked the fu(k out.

j0hnnyv · 04-26-09, 02:14 PM

hatton will not win this fight. im taking pacquiao ml and pacquiao to win by decision.

hatton is a nobody who in his only real big fight he got destroyed. totally mocked - see floyd mayweather

cant back that avg alligator arm brawler whos 5'0

j0hnnyv · 04-26-09, 02:18 PM

the best part about this fight will be him coming into the ring as ricky fatton:

illmatick · 04-26-09, 02:18 PM

yeah baby arms loses in a decision, like that play a lot

TheLock · 04-26-09, 06:46 PM

I'm gonna be watching this bad boy closed captioned from Mandalay Bay.

Wasn't choking up 5 Hindu for a nosebleed.

I like under 9.5 for a KO.

dkgod · 04-28-09, 09:20 PM

Looks like a lock 5901 Manny Pacquiao ahead on points after 3 Rounds -180 any takers?

Matt Rain · 04-28-09, 09:27 PM

Originally posted by dkgod

Looks like a lock 5901 Manny Pacquiao ahead on points after 3 Rounds -180 any takers?

Where is that?

dkgod · 04-28-09, 09:30 PM

Its on BETUS i think i may hit that heavy looks too good to be true

Matt Rain · 04-28-09, 09:32 PM

At -180, it looks like a gift. Little chance of a draw score after 3.

Matt Rain · 04-28-09, 09:35 PM

I see that the prop is based on Harold Lederman's scorecard though. He's not the fairest guy around, but even then, he'd have to give 2 of the first 3 rounds to Hatton for you to lose. That seems highly unlikely. Hatton is much more likely to win later rounds.

If I were able to play there (they don't accept Canadians), I'd pound that bitch.

DuffMan · 05-01-09, 06:13 PM

Weigh-ins:

Pacquiao: 138
Hatton: 140

Matt Rain · 05-01-09, 06:50 PM

...

raydog · 05-01-09, 06:58 PM

hatton looks like a dyke who had plastic surgery. pacman has had the toughest 3 years of fights of just about anyone in the sport. hatton gets beat up good here.

JerseyRob · 05-01-09, 10:04 PM

Originally posted by Matt Rain

Yeah BENZ, that was sick. One of the most intense trilogies of all time too. The little guys don't get as much recognition for some reason.

Marquez vs. Diaz wasn't a trilogy you're thinking of Rafael Marquez vs. Israel Vazquez.

Tsoprano · 05-01-09, 10:06 PM

I'd beat these fukks up

Matt Rain · 05-01-09, 10:08 PM

Originally posted by JerseyRob

Marquez vs. Diaz wasn't a trilogy you're thinking of Rafael Marquez vs. Israel Vazquez.

Doh! I just read Marquez and assumed he was talking about that stunning trilogy. JMM/Diaz was also great, just not as bloody.

Matt Rain · 05-01-09, 10:13 PM

Originally posted by Tsoprano

I'd beat these fukks up

108-pounder Ivan Calderon would knock you out with one punch. I don't care how big you are - if you haven't trained your neck muscles/jaw to take a punch, it's lights out for T.

GatorFan · 05-02-09, 12:08 AM

Pacquiao is my lock

Jamie_UK · 05-02-09, 04:08 AM

25,000 piss heads there for Hatton, the weigh in was funny, it will be like a home bout.

Dont think it will help though. Manny for me.

raydog · 05-02-09, 04:59 AM

this is the bottom line on this fight... take it or leave it. pac to win 1st 3 rds. -180 is a solid bet. he outpunches every opponent heavily 1st 3 rds and if you are a true boxing gambler, you would have this info in front of you. its like every other game where the stats are your friends. fukk i hate these matches

FreshCoast · 05-02-09, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by Matt Rain

If I were able to play there (they don't accept Canadians), I'd pound that bitch.

They have this prop at bet365 as well.
Only thing is its -275

That's alot of juice, still worth a shot??

InTheHole · 05-02-09, 02:59 PM

Originally posted by Tsoprano

I'd beat these fukks up

Maybe with a gun

Matt Rain · 05-02-09, 03:05 PM

Originally posted by FreshCoast

They have this prop at bet365 as well.
Only thing is its -275

That's alot of juice, still worth a shot??

I'd have to do some research on Pacquiao's historical performance in the first 3 rounds before I paid that much - and even then, I'm not sure you can really apply Pacquiao's past to this fight at 140.

-180 (64%) seemed like a no brainer, but -275 is 73%. My knee-jerk reaction is that this sounds like a fair price, i.e. not good to bet.

If the prop is also based on Harold Lederman's card at bet365, I would simply pass. Guy's an old **** who's bound to experience the occasional brain fart.