Turkey Day SBR Special and The Winner Is

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  • bobbywaves
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-06-08
    • 13280

    #106
    Originally posted by ArunSh
    Yes BJ specials have lower variance, but to claim they are better EV is not true at all.
    In my experience BJ specials have been better +EV, as I never lost. I'm sure there's many others who haven't lost on BJ specials as well. The same simply can't be said for book specials.

    It's a matter of opinion, I prefer the guaranteed win.
    Comment
    • ArunSh
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-24-07
      • 6801

      #107
      Originally posted by bobbywaves
      In my experience BJ specials have been better +EV, as I never lost. I'm sure there's many others who haven't lost on BJ specials as well. The same simply can't be said for book specials.

      It's a matter of opinion, I prefer the guaranteed win.

      To a point it's an opinion - in some sense I agree, I like the security of a guaranteed win. That said though, as a poker player if you are playing a cash game, is it better to win $200 on each of two days or to win $1000 one day and lose $100 the second? Likewise if you consider say the SBR daily tourneys, is it better to min-cash or close two consecutive days or to win first place one day and not cash the second?

      I don't know the exact EV of a Blackjack promo, depends how long, how fast u play etc. etc. But based on my instincts, them giving us three games today with hugely +EV lines compared to say a one hour blackjack special, the former was a way better EV opportunity..
      Comment
      • trytrytry
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-13-06
        • 23649

        #108
        i never saw a real texas t tech special line listed

        what was it?
        Comment
        • ArunSh
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-24-07
          • 6801

          #109
          Originally posted by trytrytry
          i never saw a real texas t tech special line listed

          what was it?

          Was Texas Tech +3. Glad I didn't chicken out after the first special got destroyed - second and third both won pretty cleanly for a good day overall, thanks SBR!
          Comment
          • daneblazer
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 09-14-08
            • 27861

            #110
            Let's have a Black Friday deal in the book...

            i think the main thing about thanksgiving is time. Many don't have an hour to burn on blackjack
            Comment
            • yisman
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-01-08
              • 75682

              #111
              blackjack is not a guaranteed win

              look at the past blackjack threads, every time there were posters who lost points

              the EV of a blackjack special vs. the sportsbook specials we had yesterday are not comparable, and that's without even factoring in the time element involved.

              The main reason is the discrepancy in the limits. Yesterday's NFL, you could've bet 10k.

              Blackjack you can play a lot of hands, but the limit is so low, that no matter how fast you play in an hour (sometimes less), it will not come close to the kind of special we saw on Dallas (loss, but hugely +EV play) or Texas Tech (win).

              The sportsbook special is actually a guaranteed win if you know how to play it.

              Blackjack not only has a lesser EV, it is definitely not a guaranteed win. Over the course of an hour, it is very possible to play basic blackjack strategy and show a loss even with 3/1 blackjack payouts (sometimes you go long runs without hitting one).
              Last edited by yisman; 11-27-15, 02:46 PM.
              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
              [/quote]

              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
              Comment
              • d2bets
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-10-05
                • 39990

                #112
                I made over 25k net pts on Texas Tech/Chicago.
                If SBR book crashes, now you'll all know why.
                Comment
                • SharpAngles
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-15-14
                  • 9467

                  #113
                  Turkey Day SBR Special and The Winner Is....

                  The SBR book


                  Cowboys made them nice and fat this holiday season.
                  Comment
                  • BiTeMe UsAdOj
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-18-11
                    • 7537

                    #114
                    Originally posted by SharpAngles
                    Turkey Day SBR Special and The Winner Is....

                    The SBR book


                    Cowboys made them nice and fat this holiday season.
                    Yeah, I truly can't believe the number of peeps that fell for that

                    Cowgirls

                    Ticket #: 3015401
                    Nov 26 12:30 PM
                    Nov 26 04:30 PM
                    NFL
                    NFL
                    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
                    [106] DETROIT -145
                    [107] CAROLINA -105
                    1500.00 / 3448.28 3448.28 WIN
                    WIN
                    WIN
                    11/26/2015 12:10 PM
                    Comment
                    • mikejamm
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-24-09
                      • 11038

                      #115
                      Originally posted by BiTeMe UsAdOj
                      Yeah, I truly can't believe the number of peeps that fell for that

                      Cowgirls

                      Ticket #: 3015401
                      Nov 26 12:30 PM
                      Nov 26 04:30 PM
                      NFL
                      NFL
                      PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
                      [106] DETROIT -145
                      [107] CAROLINA -105
                      1500.00 / 3448.28 3448.28 WIN
                      WIN
                      WIN
                      11/26/2015 12:10 PM
                      Hell of a nice hit Bite!
                      Comment
                      • d2bets
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-10-05
                        • 39990

                        #116
                        Originally posted by SharpAngles
                        Turkey Day SBR Special and The Winner Is....

                        The SBR book


                        Cowboys made them nice and fat this holiday season.
                        SBR Book lost 2 of the 3 specials.
                        Comment
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