MNF POLL : Bears at Chargers

[rake922]

One of the biggest games of the year features the Chicago Bears led by Jay Cutler traveling to take on the Chargers.

Don't forget to vote as this one will be an amazing game


DAMN IT. I PUT CHARGERS +4.5 as a POLL OPTION... MODS CHANGE IT TO CHARGERS -4.5 OR MY ASS IS TOAST

[KVB]

[GunShard]

[GunShard]

Everyone it's actually Chargers -4.5 that you're voting on.

[sshz]

"One of the biggest games of the year"...........you are delusional Rake. Stinky game!!!

S.D. is so banged up on Defense, they haven't been able to stop anyone the last few games. Chicago keeps it close, covers easily.

[ttwarrior1]

over

[xdodger19]

chargers -2 first half

[snip3r2006]

Chicago 24.29 - 28.35 San Diego

Pass

[blackHIPPY]

pass

[rpesi9955]

Under is my play.

[grease lightnin]

Not much action in this thread. When the total is this high...and the spread is less than six points, seems like there is value in the dog ml...is my thinking off here?

[DOM_Toretto]

Not much action in this thread. When the total is this high...and the spread is less than six points, seems like there is value in the dog ml...is my thinking off here?

Probably value in chi ML. I took the points nonetheless

[JIBBBY]

Very good capping write up on this game.. Basically says Chicago plays teams tough all year long and has a knack for covering the spreads... Value with the +5 points..

http://www.sbnation.com/odds/2015/11/9/9694892/chargers-bears-2015-odds-lines-monday-night-football

[frugalgambler]

One of the biggest games of the year, LOL. Who even cares about these pathetic teams ? I might watch a rerun of Dancing with the Stars instead.

[Bcatswin]

Rake can you send me that money i won in a bet with you? KK Thanks.

[Bcatswin]

One of the biggest games of the year, LOL. Who even cares about these pathetic teams ? I might watch a rerun of Dancing with the Stars instead.

This is a very big game! Major!

[eidolon]

Two teams with horrible defenses; I'll take the Bears +4.5 because it's giving me two nice numbers: 3 and 4

[Time is Money]

Bears +200

Big fan of Langford, kid is fast. Fastest 40 time by any back this combine, was solid and overlooked at MSU. Cutler has quietly been playing good turnover free ball and I expect that to continue against a Chargers Pass D that's swiss cheese. Jeffery looks 100% and has been dominating and I like Bennett to create some match up problems. Take away Gates and who does Rivers have?

[KVB]

chargers -2 first half

If you must buy points off of the 3 for 1st half, and if you do this shit often, stop at -2.5; no need to pay extra commision, it will eat into profits or increase your losses faster than you think.

Good Luck.

[Bcatswin]

Rivers over Passing yards. 305.5 Let's get it!

[Bcatswin]

Rake where can i book this, i'll take the Bolts getting 4.5 thanks guy.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Chargers and over

thanks

[Trmeyer]

Bears+4.5. They might sneak this one out.

[KVB]

Chargers and over

thanks

It seems a quick perusal of SBR finds a lot of reasons why Chicago can do this or that and why San Diego won't do this or that.

Seems like a lot of focus on the Bears while San Diego and Rivers prepare for a home game.

[JIBBBY]

I think the Over could be the call in this one also.

Cutler playing better of late should shred the very average Charger secondary.. Flipside home game for the Chargers and Phillip Rivers typically always puts up big numbers.. This came could very well be a shoot out..

[recon1]

It seems a quick perusal of SBR finds a lot of reasons why Chicago can do this or that and why San Diego won't do this or that.

Seems like a lot of focus on the Bears while San Diego and Rivers prepare for a home game.

What's your take on the game KVB?

[pavyracer]

Biggest games of the year maybe in Manta Teo Tei's village.

Bears should win this. Phil Rivers is horrible.

[zlaroc]

Over !

[KVB]

What's your take on the game KVB?

I have a predicted score of Chicago winning 28-24. This differs from most forecasts who have SD winning by anywhere from 4 to 12 points. The higher the margin for San Diego, in general, the lower the Total predicted. Basic models predicting San Diego by about 4 have totals of about 50. More sophisticated models can predict San Diego by more with a total closer to 45.

While my model differs on the winner I have plenty of reason to side with the more common numbers. I have metrics indicating my moneyline prediction will fail here but it is difficult to predict the spread.

It seems that most discussion pulls this common money away from San Diego towards my line. This money is split as the more sophisticated common models seek San Diego.

I think there is a target group of bettors tonight that should fail. Those bettors are, for the most part, likely buying Chicago and the books will take any extra money that way. Those seeking San Diego may get a win here tonight but shouldn’t feel too emboldened when they do.

Because of this last warning to those bettors, I believe we will see attempts to embolden those bettors.

This would imply San Diego to not only win, but possibly kill many teasers with Chicago in them.

[paco]

Cash those charger bets boys

[DOM_Toretto]

Cash those charger bets boys

Lol classic SBR early celebration mush

[Bbfromgpt]

Bahahahahahaha same ole Cutler. One of the most awful QBs ever to lay money on

[paco]

Cutler

walking to the cash window now with my chargers ticket

[Bbfromgpt]

3rd trip inside the 40. Will they finally get some points

[Bbfromgpt]

Funny how these refs in the NFL have selective terms when they are going to throw a flag. Just like missing that easy alignment issue in the Dallas game against the Boys late last night. They're mugging the Bear receivers and haven't seen a flag yet