MLB week of 4-20

[Justin7]

4-20
Was UND8.5 -115
SD/Phi UND10 -102
SD + 144
Col/Ari OV10.5 -105

Record pending.

[Justin7]

AL for 4-20:
Bal/Bos OV10.5 -105
Bos -206
Oak +173
Oak/NYY UND9.5 +105

YTD: 22-23; -1.25u

[Justin7]

4-21:
Atl -117
Atl/WAS UND9.5 -118
Milw +122
Mil/Phi UND10 +101
LAA -112
Det/LAA OV8.5 -103

[reno cool]

u got lines for tomorrow already. ****ing ay

[Justin7]

4-20 results:
3-1; +1.95u (with 4 plays canceled due to weather)
YTD: 25-24; +0.7u

[The General]

All the best Justin

[Justin7]

On 4-21, there's a pitching change in Milw/Phili. Milw is no play.
On the total, I'll add
Milw(Parra)/Phili(Moyer) UND 10 +100.

[nosniboR11]

good luck sir

[Justin7]

4-21 - adding KC+180

[Justin7]

4-22 play
Mil+120
Hou-115
Oak +240
Cle -191
Tor -148
Col/ARI OV9.5 +115
Mil/Phi UND10 -111
Atl/WAS UND8.5 -105
Det/LAA Ov8.5 -105
Kc/Cle OV9 -110

[Justin7]

4-21: 2-4; -2.2u
YTD: 27-28; -1.5u

[Justin7]

4-23
Milw +155
NYM +139
CHC -159

[Justin7]

4-22 res: 6-4; +1.19u
YTD: 34-33; -0.31u

[Justin7]

4-23:
NYM -260
Fla -133
LAD/COL OV10.5 -109
Col +102
Det OV8.5 +100

[Justin7]

4-23:
NYM -260
Fla -133
LAD/COL OV10.5 -109
Col +102
Det OV8.5 +100

Er, these are for 4-24.

[Justin7]

4-25 plays
Atl/CIN UND9
NYM -182
Fla -132
Ari-120
LAD/COL OV10.5 +100
SD -120
Bos -130
Oak +117
LAA-115
Sea/LAA OV9 -125

[Justin7]

Atl/Cin UND9 was at -110 for 4-25...

[homerbush]

4-25 plays
Atl/CIN UND9
NYM -182
Fla -132
Ari-120
LAD/COL OV10.5 +100
SD -120
Bos -130
Oak +117
LAA-115
Sea/LAA OV9 -125

4-24?

[durito]

Apr 24 3:18pm Baseball - Pending
1. Baseball - Arizona Diamondbacks - moneyline (-115)
for the entire game held on Apr 25 at 7:10pm [pending]
R Johnson -L must start and M Scherzer -R must start for action

good luck justin

[Justin7]

4-24?

No... overnights for tomorrow.

[Justin7]

Apr 24 3:18pm Baseball - Pending
1. Baseball - Arizona Diamondbacks - moneyline (-115)
for the entire game held on Apr 25 at 7:10pm [pending]
R Johnson -L must start and M Scherzer -R must start for action

good luck justin

Great number. Where?

[durito]

Great number. Where?

greek opener

[Justin7]

4-23
Milw +155
NYM +139
CHC -159

1-2; -1.04
YTD: 35-35; -1.35u

[Justin7]

Er, these are for 4-24.
NYM -260
Fla -133
LAD/COL OV10.5 -109
Col +102
Det OV8.5 +100

2-3; -1.33u
YTD: 37-38; -2.68u

[Justin7]

4-26 plays
NYM -175
Atl/Cin UND9.5 +100
Col +130
SD -171
Pit/SD UND7.5 -110
SF/Ari OV9 -108
Cle -122
KC +140
LAA -118 - 2 unit weight
TB/Oak UND9 -102
Bos -138

[Justin7]

4-25: 5-5; -0.8u
YTD: 42-43; -3.48u

[Justin7]

4-25: 5-5; -0.8u
YTD: 42-43; -3.48u

Adjustment from 4/21: Mil/Phi and Mil plays were canceled (Parra started instead of Blanton).

Revised YTD: 42-41; -1.48u

[Chi_archie]

Justin do you expect since alot of the "bad" teams that are streaking right now ie (pirates, padres, M's, florida) and the good teams are slumping ie (TB, philly, Laa, NYM, NYY, cubs) that there will be a big correction/regression to the mean coming up for your "model"

in other words, might there be a large 65% winning % coming up over a two week window of time for your picks in the future?

[Justin7]

Justin do you expect since alot of the "bad" teams that are streaking right now ie (pirates, padres, M's, florida) and the good teams are slumping ie (TB, philly, Laa, NYM, NYY, cubs) that there will be a big correction/regression to the mean coming up for your "model"

in other words, might there be a large 65% winning % coming up over a two week window of time for your picks in the future?

Nope. There could be, but it would just be luck.

I think I have the best of it - but only if I get the early numbers. If I have a 1% edge (and I think I do), I'm happy. with a 1% edge against openers, 52-53% is more reasonable.