Interesting NFL point total method

[BennyBigNuts]

it's an honest mistake...and yes to correct my prior statement, I went 0-3, record is 17-11.

I was fukin heated about that last minute BS TD in TB game and not paying attention

This is an interesting system you're tracking, even though I think it has no lean either way on the outcome of a winning total wager.
You can't come out ahead betting totals at -110 but if it's consistent enough and you have reduced juice somewhere, maybe you can profit a tiny bit who knows.
Sounds like you wouldn't even have to use it with just totals, you could do it with game spreads as well on your correct numbers.


It was an innocent mistake on your part in this thread saying you won one that lost, you know you're not gonna get away with it on here with these brokediks who have nothing better to do except bust balls.

But I've been betting sports since I was old enough to crawl to a phone and I know 100% if my real money bets have won or lost.
The reality is you probably are not betting these plays while doing this.

Just tell these idiots you're TRACKING it and not betting it for now.

Hope you continue to keep track of this for a while.

[mcgeezer1883]

One bad week out of 9 won't keep me from keeping track of the plays. I got caught by the hook on 2 of the games and was a combined 1 pt from a positive day.

Benny,
I'm not sure how it would translate into ATS selections....nor how to interpret it? Thoughts?

[alamo]

it's an honest mistake...and yes to correct my prior statement, I went 0-3, record is 17-11.

I was fukin heated about that last minute BS TD in TB game and not paying attention

No worries. As previous poster says if your betting the plays I think you know if you go 0-3 or 1-2. If not its a genuine mistake. Apology accepted. It was a beat of the worst kind on that Bucs under. No question

[Notorious_Donk]

Very interesting approach. I'm eager to see what the full season return will be

[mcgeezer1883]

For anyone that was curious...the final outcome for the teaser experiment crossing two Key numbers went 8-4-1 on 13 possible plays

[mcgeezer1883]

***1st qualifier for week 10

KC/DEN open at 42.5, and fell to 41.5 at several books...play is over 41.5 or lower

BUF/NYJ is on the radar as it's falling fast and almost past 42

[mcgeezer1883]

***2nd qualifier week 10

BUF/NYJ open at 44, down to 41.5 in most books passing 42. The play is OVER 41.5 or lower

[mcgeezer1883]

Bills/jets was again a close one, but came short. Thanks for not kicking a field goal todd Bowles.

Updated record 17-12 and 19-12 on actual qualifiers

[mcgeezer1883]

***3rd and 4th qualifying plays for week 10

GB/DET open at 48, rose to 49.5 currently on Pinnacle. The play is under 49.5 or higher

MIA/PHI open at 47, rose to 49.5 at most books even 50 at Pinnacle and Bovada. The play is under 49.5 or higher...50.5 or higher would be ideal due to crossing two key numbers.

[mcgeezer1883]

***5th qualifier for week 10

STL/CHI open at 42.5, now at 41.5 at bookmaker. The play is over 41.5 or lower

[mcgeezer1883]

3-0 on the early afternoon schedule

DEN/KC pending

Updated record 20-12 official, 22-12 on qualifiers

[mcgeezer1883]

Ended with a perfect 4-0 this Sunday.....the jets offensive blunder Thursday night after the Bills punter gifted them with great field position cost me a perfect week to make up for the horrific showing last week

***updated record thru week 10
21-12 official
23-12 on qualifiers

[iloseagain]

ur a tool

[mcgeezer1883]

nice edit loser

recuse yourself from this thread

[sweethook]

i like this , atlest your tryin with both hands , gl sir.

[matt711]

Great job....

[mcgeezer1883]

****2 qualifying plays already for week 11

STL/BAL open at 43, dropped to 41.5 at most books. The play is OVER 41.5 or lower

NE/BUF open at 49.5, dropped to 48.5 at most books. The play is OVER 48.5 or lower

[mcgeezer1883]

***3rd qualifier for week 11

DEN/CHI open at 43, dropped to 41 now at several books. The play is over 41 or lower. 41.5 is acceptable but the official play is 41 or lower as it is the current line

[ZINISTER]

q

Been following this thread. Tonights game has moved across a multiple of 7 from 43 to 41.5. The Dickey Boy DC'n for Titans has me a lil concerned. But, other then that I think both these Qb's look to be figuring things out and Bortles always impressed me. He has some help this year. Mariota puts up points. Thinkn this is a good spot to use the system. GL

[mcgeezer1883]

Been following this thread. Tonights game has moved across a multiple of 7 from 43 to 41.5. The Dickey Boy DC'n for Titans has me a lil concerned. But, other then that I think both these Qb's look to be figuring things out and Bortles always impressed me. He has some help this year. Mariota puts up points. Thinkn this is a good spot to use the system. GL

You are correct....tonight's game just qualified

***4th qualifier for week 11

TEN/JAX open at 45, down to 41.5 at bookmaker and heritage, the play is over 41.5 or lower

[mcgeezer1883]

No good thus far, 0-3 with BUF/NE pending

Updated record 21-15

[alamo]

tough week bro. 0-4 brings the experiment back to earth.

[mcgeezer1883]

That it does...

Updated record 21-16 official
23-16 on actual qualifiers

[mcgeezer1883]

No games qualify yet for week 12...but 2 are on the radar

MIA/NYJ -moving down towards 42
CLE/BAL - staying at 41, may likely move down past 40 due to QB situations for both teams, but could move up past 42 as well

[mcgeezer1883]

***Only qualifier for week 12

HOU/NO open at 48, now has risen to 50.5 at several books crossing two key numbers. The play is under 50.5 or higher.

[mcgeezer1883]

Only play this week was a winner

Updated record 22-16 official...24-16 on qualifiers

[mcgeezer1883]

****1st qualifying play week 13

HOU/BUF open at 42.5, dropped to 41.5 also 41 at some books. The play is over 41.5 or lower

*ON THE RADAR
CAR/NO about to cross 50.5 upward from 49.5 open, also ARI/STL moving downward from an open of 44.5 down to 42.5 at some books.

[mcgeezer1883]

***2nd qualifying play week 13

SEA/MIN open at 41, now up to 42.5 on heritage....the play is under 42.5 or higher

[mcgeezer1883]

1-1 week 13

23-17 updated official record

25-17 on actual qualifiers

[mcgeezer1883]

***1st qualifying play for week 14

CIN/PIT open at 47.5, now at 49.5 at most books. The play is under 49.5 or lower