Baseball Play I Won't be Able to Get in my Video

[VegasDave]

Video usually comes out around noon, too close to starting time.

Chicago White Sox -130

John Danks is still underrated, and while Rick Porcello may have a bright future ahead of him, he is outclassed in this match up. You won't get Danks against rookie pitchers so inexpensive as the season goes on; lets jump on this

[Chi_archie]

yeah on this as well as a bit on the -1.5 RL and the under......

only one day game today

[VegasDave]

yeah on this as well as a bit on the -1.5 RL and the under......

only one day game today

Indeed.

I can't get used to game starting times out here in Central Time.

In Cali, we had 10AM games and then the early evening games (7ET) started at 4PM, and then the west coast games at 7PM. I liked that setup.

[AMBlai01]

I think I am going to play this as well...

[pavyracer]

Thanks for the fade. You are chasing last night's huge losses.

[VegasDave]

Thanks for the fade. You are chasing last night's huge losses.

Last night's "huge" loss of the same one unit I bet across the board?

Feel free to fade the play, but you'd be foolish to do so on this logic. It is a long season, I'm not going to get rattled by a 1-2 day in mid April. I have a video coming out soon with my plays for this evening; I wouldn't start a thread just for a "chase" game.

[wtf]

how much you NOT bet on this one vd?

[VegasDave]

how much you NOT bet on this one vd?

One million monopoly dollars!

I always found it interesting that how much someone wagers on a game somehow makes their opinion on the game more valid. My opinion is simply that; an educated guess that I believe to be a good bet. Whether I'm betting $0 or $1000 doesn't really change the opinion, or change your right to agree or disagree with me on it.

[onthewhat]

Dave no offense but it is easy to post plays here on forum when you have nothing on it.

Many times I have put in play, then on confirm screen start rethinking and back out or something...it's definitely different.

[TPowell]

Dave no offense but it is easy to post plays here on forum when you have nothing on it.

Many times I have put in play, then on confirm screen start rethinking and back out or something...it's definitely different.

not really, unless you're just strapped for cash. Most of the time if it jumps off the board in your eyes and it passes the trap test, its a solid play and I'll bet it

[VegasDave]

Dave no offense but it is easy to post plays here on forum when you have nothing on it.

Many times I have put in play, then on confirm screen start rethinking and back out or something...it's definitely different.

Everyone is different.

My pride is a lot more valuable to me than money. Losing a pick publicly is much worse for me than losing money privately. I play to win and I make my picks to win.

I'm sure some people post plays they don't fully believe in "just because". I don't.

In all of my time at SBR, find me a single post where I ever said "I wouldn't have bet that if it were real money" or "it was just a pick I wasn't taking seriously". Browse all you want, you won't find it.

[wtf]

your unique vd

you work for a gambling web site, and post picks yet you do not gamble

give you credit for your "spin" all them years in college sure did pay off

[DFoster]

So Dave, do you actually put money on these games?

[PER$I$TENT_LUCK]

On the sox as well...

[j0hnnyv]

I can get the sox at 5dimes right now for -118. should I really play these guys???? is tailing vegas dave a good idea?

[Ringo]

I can get the sox at 5dimes right now for -118. should I really play these guys???? is tailing vegas dave a good idea?

If you like to use monopoly money

[wtf]

NO he does not bet real currency that you purchase goods and services with

[pavyracer]

No money is risked on these plays. Loses all credibility.

[VegasDave]

I know what I am.

I am a huge sports fan (both figuratively and literally) and I know football, baseball, and hockey very well. Baseball probably more than any other sport; I know just about every player in the league, their style, where they bat in the order, etc. Same goes with pitchers.

For all my knowledge, every season I always only end up at around 51-52% (-110 betting), and just break even or lose a little. I haven't been able to get to a level where I'm picking 54 or 55% winners so I can grind out a profit. I'm only 23. I hope that over the next few years I can hone my craft and become a profitable bettor.

I choose to hone my craft publicly. Some people think my opinion is worthwhile, others think it is a complete waste of time. Totally up to you.

There are plenty of great cappers here at SBR that post their plays and opinions. I don't care what they are betting on them, if I value their opinion I pay attention to what they are saying. If I don't, I don't.

[crisp]

bet your house on under 9.5